Maye
QB · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points17.4pts
Murray
QB · MIN @ DET
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points17.4pts
Toss-up
Bench
Drake Maye or Kyler Murray: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Drake Maye gets the nod over Kyler Murray.
- Ahead by
- Level
- with Murray
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
- Started
- 95%
- of leagues
Case for Murray
The case for Murray is fewer interceptions (1.6% of his throws to 3.7%) and a softer pass defense.
Flips if
If the weather in Drake Maye's game turns worse, start Kyler Murray.
Risk
Weather in Drake Maye's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
MayeToss-upQB · NE @ MIAUsually 19.8−2.4pts this week
Helps him
- 25.0ceilingHis best weeks reach about 25.0 points.
- 35%big weeks35% of his games have been big weeks.
- 4games in a rowHe has thrown two or more touchdowns in 4 straight games.
Hurts him
- −1.6pts2 linesPassing yards 233.5 (usual 254.9) and rushing yards 23.5 (usual 30.1) both sit below his usual.
- −1.4ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, below his usual 1.86.
- 6th softestper passEdgeMIA allows few QB chances because teams throw little against them; per pass they’re soft (0.65 pts, 6th softest).
- 3.7%INT rateHe throws an interception on 3.7% of his passes.
MurrayFirst outQB · MIN @ DETUsually 13.5+3.9pts this week
Helps him
- +3.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 0.75.
- +1.1ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.18 rushing TDs, above his usual 0.00.
- +1.0ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 224.5 passing yards, above his usual 198.5.
- DETvs QBsEdgeDET is the softest defense for quarterbacks.
Hurts him
- −0.7ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 23.5 rushing yards, below his usual 30.8.
- 50%dud weeks50% of his games have been dud weeks.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionMaye: 17.4Murray: 17.4
Rush TD pointsof the projectionMaye: 1.6 (best)Murray: 1.1
Rush TDs expectedthis weekMaye: 0.26 (best)Murray: 0.18
Projected team pointsMaye: 25.0 (best)Murray: 21.3
Goal line carriesper gameMaye: 0.4 (best)Murray: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameMaye: 0.7 (best)Murray: 0.2
Pass attempts / gameMaye: 30.6 (best)Murray: 25.0
Role
Snap shareMaye: 97% (best)Murray: 83%
Touch shareMaye: 11% (best)Murray: 10%
Touches / gameMaye: 5.4 (best)Murray: 5.0
Yards per attemptMaye: 8.3 (best)Murray: 6.5
Pass TD rateMaye: 6% (best)Murray: 2%
Rush yards / gameMaye: 30.1 (best)Murray: 26.4
Points from rushingMaye: 24%Murray: 25%
Rushing points / gameMaye: 4.7 pts / game (best)Murray: 2.6 pts / game
Rushing floorMaye: 3.6 pts / game (best)Murray: 2.2 pts / game
Designed runs / gameMaye: 1.0 (best)Murray: 0.4
Scrambles / gameMaye: 3.3 (best)Murray: 3.0
Dropbacks / gameMaye: 35.7 (best)Murray: 30.2
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameMaye: 0.4 (best)Murray: 0.0
Sacks per dropbackMaye: 5% (best)Murray: 8%
INT rateMaye: 3.7%Murray: 1.6% (best)
Pass aDOTMaye: 9.0Murray: 6.9
High value touches / gameMaye: 0.6 (best)Murray: 0.0
Goal line carry shareMaye: 50% (best)Murray: 0%
Red zone touches / gameMaye: 0.7 (best)Murray: 0.2
Rush success rateMaye: 63% (best)Murray: 59%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Maye: 6.7% (best)Murray: 5.9%
Range
FloorMaye: 13.4Murray: 13.6 (best)
CeilingMaye: 25.0 (best)Murray: 22.6
Points from TDssteadier when lowerMaye: 9%Murray: 0%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Maye: 35% (best)Murray: 0%
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterMaye: 27% (best)Murray: 50%
SteadinessMaye: Steady±10.4 ptsMurray: Very steady (best)±3.5 pts · 4 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmMaye: BMurray: A+ (best)
Game scriptMaye: Expected to lead (best)Murray: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterMaye: 0.8 (best)Murray: 1.0
Defense funnelMaye: NeutralMurray: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedMaye: 18th (average)Murray: 32nd (soft) (best)
Opp sacks / gameMaye: 1.0 (best)Murray: 3.5
WeatherMaye: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rainMurray: Indoors
Roof / surfaceMaye: OpengrassMurray: Dometurf
Rest / scheduleMaye: 10 days restMurray: Normal
Opp paceMaye: 31st (slow)Murray: 4th (fast) (best)
Opp pressure rateMaye: 20% (best)18th (average)Murray: 21%16th (average)
Pressure facedMaye: 24%Murray: 21% (best)
Opp rush yds allowedMaye: 16th (average) (best)Murray: 12th (average)
Opp stuff rateMaye: 19%11th (average)Murray: 16% (best)18th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedMaye: 4.213th (average)Murray: 4.3 (best)17th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameMaye: 2.52nd (tough)Murray: 5.7 (best)31st (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedMaye: 81% (best)32nd (soft)Murray: 71%28th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgMaye: 30.2 (best)Murray: 14.5
Last 5 avgMaye: 24.1 (best)Murray: 10.7
vs seasonMaye: +10.5 (Rising) (best)Murray: +3.8 (Rising)
Yards per carryMaye: 5.6 (best)Murray: 5.3
Carries / gameMaye: 5.4 (best)Murray: 5.0
Pass volume trendMaye: SteadyMurray: Cooling
Crowd
Started in leaguesMaye: 96% (best)Murray: 46%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterMaye: QB7 (best)Murray: QB8
Yards linepassingMaye: 233.5 (best)Murray: 224.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.