Raridon
TE · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points6.5pts
Mayer
TE · LV @ NYJ
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points6.6pts
Toss-up
Bench
Eli Raridon or Michael Mayer: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Eli Raridon gets the nod over Michael Mayer.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Mayer
The case for Mayer is a safer floor (3.7 to 3.1) and more big weeks (29% of his games to 0%).
Flips if
Start Michael Mayer instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (29% of his games to 0%).
Risk
The risk: Mayer faces a Jets defense without linebacker David Bailey.
Highlights
RaridonToss-upTE · NE @ MIAUsually 7.4−0.8pts this week
Helps him
- MIAvs TEsEdgeMIA is the 6th softest defense for tight ends.
Hurts him
- −0.8ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.26 touchdowns, below his usual 0.40.
- 9%targetsHe draws only 9% of his team’s targets.
- 2.7per gameHe sees only 2.7 targets a game.
MayerFirst outTE · LV @ NYJUsually 9.5−2.9pts this week
Helps him
- +0.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.26 touchdowns, above his usual 0.14.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 4.4.
- −1.7ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 25.5 receiving yards, below his usual 42.6.
- 3.7floorA quiet week could drop to about 3.7 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionRaridon: 6.5Mayer: 6.6 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionRaridon: 1.6Mayer: 1.6
Expected TDsthis weekRaridon: 0.26Mayer: 0.26
Projected team pointsRaridon: 25.0 (best)Mayer: 22.0
Red zone targetsper gameRaridon: 0.8 (best)Mayer: 0.3
Role
Snap shareRaridon: 50%Mayer: 81% (best)
Usage worthptsRaridon: 5.2Mayer: 8.1 (best)
Target shareRaridon: 9%Mayer: 15% (best)
Targets / gameRaridon: 2.7Mayer: 5.3 (best)
Air yards shareRaridon: 8%Mayer: 9% (best)
Vacated targets this weekRaridon: 9.0 (best)Mayer: 0.0
RZ target shareRaridon: 20% (best)Mayer: 5%
Inside 10 target shareRaridon: 25% (best)Mayer: 14%
Catch rateRaridon: 75%Mayer: 84% (best)
SeparationRaridon: 3.0 ydsMayer: 3.2 yds (best)
YAC over expectedRaridon: −0.3Mayer: +0.5 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredRaridon: Earned by usage 5.2Scored 6.8Mayer: Earned by usage 8.1Scored 9.5
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsRaridon: AboveMayer: 2 RZ targets
WOPRRaridon: 0.19Mayer: 0.27 (best)
Range
FloorRaridon: 3.1Mayer: 3.7 (best)
CeilingRaridon: 11.0Mayer: 11.2 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerRaridon: 29%Mayer: 9%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Raridon: 0%Mayer: 29% (best)
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterRaridon: 40%Mayer: 14% (best)
SteadinessRaridon: Up & down±5.4 pts · 5 gamesMayer: Steady (best)±5.8 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionRaridon: A- (best)2026, 6 gmMayer: C2026, 7 gm
Game scriptRaridon: Expected to lead (best)Mayer: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterRaridon: 0.8 (best)Mayer: 1.1
Defense funnelRaridon: NeutralMayer: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedRaridon: 18th (average) (best)Mayer: 5th (tough)
Starting QBRaridon: Maye (Active)Mayer: Cousins (Active)
Opp defender outRaridon: None listedMayer: Bailey (LB)
Roof / surfaceRaridon: OpengrassMayer: Openturf
Rest / scheduleRaridon: 10 days restMayer: Normal
Opp paceRaridon: 31st (slow)Mayer: 28th (slow) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameRaridon: 0.5 (best)14th (average)Mayer: 0.14th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedRaridon: 92% (best)32nd (soft)Mayer: 72%14th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgRaridon: 9.1 (best)Mayer: 8.0
Last 5 avgRaridon: 6.7Mayer: 10.5 (best)
vs seasonRaridon: +2.3 (Rising) (best)Mayer: −1.6 (Cooling)
Yards per route runRaridon: 2.71 (best)Mayer: 1.61
Receiving aDOTRaridon: 8.3Mayer: 4.9
Target share trendRaridon: SteadyMayer: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterRaridon: TE24Mayer: TE22 (best)
Yards linereceivingRaridon: 24.5Mayer: 25.5 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
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