Allen
WR · IND vs WAS
QuestionableProj pts
6.5pts
market
Ayomanor
WR · TEN vs BAL
Proj pts
6.3pts
market
Elic Ayomanor or Keenan Allen: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Keenan Allen over Elic Ayomanor by 0.2. Keenan Allen leads at 6.5. Elic Ayomanor is the first one out, 0.2 short.
Crowd: 44% of managers started Allen.
Availability & news
Keenan AllenQuestionable · Practice: Limited
Allen was a limited participant in Thursday's practice due to a groin injury.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A- vs WR
Cons
- Rotational snaps56% of snaps
- Shaky floor4.1 floor
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A+ vs WR
Cons
- Low team total15.5 team total
- Shaky floor3.0 floor
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: Allen 17, Ayomanor 8.
Allen (Questionable · Practice: Limited): “Allen was a limited participant in Thursday's practice due to a groin injury.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Allen 18.3, Ayomanor 2.1 (PPR points).
Why Keenan Allen
Start Keenan Allen — projects 6.5, a favorable matchup vs WAS.
Keenan Allen projects 6.5 points on a 4.1–10.2 range. The matchup grades as favorable against WAS. Usage: targets / game at 7.2. Net: start Keenan Allen this week.
Working for Allen: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A- vs WR).
Working against Allen: Rotational snaps (56% of snaps), Shaky floor (4.1 floor).
Where Allen leads the head-to-head: Projection (6.5 vs 6.3); Floor (4.1 vs 3.0); Ceiling (10.2 vs 8.9); Target share (22% vs 19%); Implied team total (26.0 vs 15.5); Last 3 avg (9.7 vs 6.4); Last 5 avg (8.5 vs 8.2); Boom rate (24% vs 19%); Bust rate (18% vs 25%); Targets / game (7.2 vs 5.6); Red zone targets (17 vs 8).
Why Elic Ayomanor
Sit Elic Ayomanor — projects 6.3, a favorable matchup vs BAL.
Elic Ayomanor projects 6.3 points on a 3.0–8.9 range. The matchup grades as favorable against BAL. Usage: targets / game at 5.6. Net: bench Elic Ayomanor this week.
Working for Ayomanor: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A+ vs WR).
Working against Ayomanor: Low team total (15.5 team total), Shaky floor (3.0 floor).
Where Ayomanor leads the head-to-head: Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A+ vs A-); vs season (+1.7 vs +0.3); Consistency (44% vs 41%); Snap share (81% vs 56%).
Recent form
Keenan Allen's last 5 games: PPR points 2.7, 10.6, 9.2, 1.5, 18.3 (oldest to newest).
Elic Ayomanor's last 5 games: PPR points 13.7, 8, 8.1, 8.9, 2.1 (oldest to newest).
Allen has already beaten Ayomanor's 6.3 projection in 3 of his 5; Ayomanor has beaten Allen's 6.5 in 4 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Keenan Allen (IND) faces WAS, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 26.0, spread -3.5.
Elic Ayomanor (TEN) faces BAL, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 15.5, spread +11.5.
What flips it
Allen's edge is 0.2 points (6.5 to 6.3). Ayomanor's ceiling (8.9) clears Allen's projection, so a big game from Ayomanor flips it. Allen's floor (4.1) sits under Ayomanor's projection, so a quiet game from Allen flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)