Dulcich
TE · MIA vs MIN
Proj pts
8.4pts
market
Engram
TE · DEN vs SF
Proj pts
7.7pts
market
Evan Engram or Greg Dulcich: who should I start in Week 4?
Start Greg Dulcich. Bench Evan Engram. Greg Dulcich leads at 8.4. Evan Engram is the first one out, 0.8 short.
Highlights
Cons
- Thin volume3.7 targets/g
- Low team total14.0 team total
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · B+ vs TE
Cons
- Rotational role42% of snaps
- Shaky floor2.8 floor
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is bust rate: Dulcich 11%, Engram 31%.
Latest game on the card: Dulcich 10.5, Engram 0 (PPR points).
Why Greg Dulcich
Start Greg Dulcich — projects 8.4, a tough matchup vs MIN.
Greg Dulcich projects 8.4 points on a 4.9–9.8 range. The matchup grades as tough against MIN. Usage: targets / game at 3.7. Net: start Greg Dulcich this week.
Working against Dulcich: Thin volume (3.7 targets/g), Low team total (14.0 team total).
Where Dulcich leads the head-to-head: Projection (8.4 vs 7.7); Floor (4.9 vs 2.8); Target share (15% vs 14%); Last 3 avg (6.0 vs 5.7); Last 5 avg (6.3 vs 6.1); Consistency (47% vs 41%); Bust rate (11% vs 31%); Snap share (44% vs 42%); Touchdown dependence (9% vs 6%).
Why Evan Engram
Sit Evan Engram — projects 7.7, a favorable matchup vs SF.
Evan Engram projects 7.7 points on a 2.8–11.7 range. The matchup grades as favorable against SF. Usage: targets / game at 4.8. Net: bench Evan Engram this week.
Working for Engram: Favorable matchup (Favorable · B+ vs TE).
Working against Engram: Rotational role (42% of snaps), Shaky floor (2.8 floor).
Where Engram leads the head-to-head: Ceiling (11.7 vs 9.8); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B+ vs D); Implied team total (22.3 vs 14.0); vs season (-0.1 vs -0.9); Boom rate (19% vs 11%); Targets / game (4.8 vs 3.7); Red zone targets (12 vs 7); Grade vs TE (recency weighted) (B+ vs D); Implied total (22.3 vs 14.0).
Recent form
Greg Dulcich's last 4 games: PPR points 7.1, 3.8, 3.7, 10.5 (oldest to newest).
Evan Engram's last 5 games: PPR points 6.1, 7.5, 14.3, 2.7, 0 (oldest to newest).
Dulcich has already beaten Engram's 7.7 projection in 1 of his 4; Engram has beaten Dulcich's 8.4 in 1 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Greg Dulcich (MIA) faces MIN, kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 14.0, spread +10.5.
Evan Engram (DEN) faces SF, kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 22.3, spread +3.0.
What flips it
Dulcich's edge is 0.7 points (8.4 to 7.7). Engram's ceiling (11.7) clears Dulcich's projection, so a big game from Engram flips it. Dulcich's floor (4.9) sits under Engram's projection, so a quiet game from Dulcich flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Colston Loveland or Hunter Henry11.3 · 11.2
- Juwan Johnson or Tucker Kraft12.3 · 12.2
- Hunter Henry or AJ Barner11.2 · 11.2
- Tucker Kraft or Isaiah Likely12.2 · 12.2
- Brenton Strange or Colston Loveland11.4 · 11.3
- Colston Loveland or AJ Barner11.3 · 11.2
- More TE start/sit calls (tight ends this week)