New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
New comparison
Lean

Wilson

WR · NYJ vs LV

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points14.5pts

First out

Burden

WR · CHI @ SEA

Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET

Projected points12.1pts

Lean

Bench

Garrett Wilson or Luther Burden III: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean Garrett Wilson over Luther Burden III.

Ahead by
+2.4pts
over Burden
Confidence
Moderate
Lean
Started
92%
of leagues

Flips if

Start Luther Burden III instead if you want more of the red zone targets (25% to 13%).

Risk

The risk: Wilson caught 2 for 26 yards last week (4.6 points).

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET
WilsonLeanWR · NYJ vs LVUsually 14.2+0.3pts this week

Helps him

  1. 26%targetsHe draws 26% of his team’s targets.
  2. LVvs WRsEdgeLV is the 10th softest defense for receivers.
  3. 24.0ceilingHis best weeks reach about 24.0 points.

Hurts him

  1. 4.6last weekHe caught 2 for 26 yards last week (4.6 points).
BurdenFirst outWR · CHI @ SEAUsually 13.9−1.8pts this week

Helps him

  1. 23.7last weekHe caught 4 for 130 yards and a touchdown last week (23.7 points).

Hurts him

  1. −1.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 51.0 receiving yards, below his usual 70.1.
  2. −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, below his usual 5.0.
  3. SEAvs WRsEdgeSEA is the 2nd toughest defense for receivers.
  4. 61%snapsHe plays only 61% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWilson: 14.5 (best)Burden: 12.1
TD pointsof the projectionWilson: 2.6 (best)Burden: 2.1
Expected TDsthis weekWilson: 0.43 (best)Burden: 0.35
Projected team pointsWilson: 23.5 (best)Burden: 21.8
Goal line carriesper gameWilson: 0.0Burden: 0.1 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameWilson: 0.0Burden: 0.4 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameWilson: 0.6Burden: 1.3 (best)
Role
Snap shareWilson: 90% (best)Burden: 61%
Usage worthptsWilson: 11.7Burden: 12.8 (best)
Touch shareWilson: 11% (best)Burden: 10%
Target shareWilson: 26% (best)Burden: 21%
Touches / gameWilson: 5.3Burden: 6.1 (best)
Targets / gameWilson: 7.3 (best)Burden: 6.7
Air yards shareWilson: 36% (best)Burden: 26%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsWilson: AboveBurden: In line
WOPRWilson: 0.64 (best)Burden: 0.49
RZ target shareWilson: 13%Burden: 25% (best)
Catch rateWilson: 73%Burden: 74% (best)
SeparationWilson: 2.5 ydsBurden: 3.1 yds (best)
YAC over expectedWilson: +0.6 (best)Burden: +0.5
Usage worth vs scoredWilson: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 14.2Burden: Earned by usage 12.8Scored 13.9
Rush yards / gameWilson: 0.0Burden: 4.1 (best)
Points from rushingWilson: 0%Burden: 3%
Vacated targets this weekWilson: 0.5Burden: 2.0 (best)
High value touches / gameWilson: 5.3 (best)Burden: 5.1
Goal line carry shareWilson: 0%Burden: 4% (best)
Red zone touches / gameWilson: 0.4Burden: 1.7 (best)
Rush success rateWilson: 0 carriesBurden: 50%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Wilson: 0 carriesBurden: 0%
Inside 10 target shareWilson: 25% (best)Burden: 20%
Rushing points / gameWilson: 0.0 pts / gameBurden: 0.4 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorWilson: 0.0 pts / gameBurden: 0.2 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorWilson: 7.7 (best)Burden: 7.4
CeilingWilson: 24.0 (best)Burden: 18.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWilson: 18%Burden: 12%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Wilson: 34% (best)Burden: 14%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWilson: 29%Burden: 14% (best)
SteadinessWilson: Steady±8.5 ptsBurden: Very steady (best)±6.5 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmWilson: B (best)Burden: F
Game scriptWilson: Expected to lead (best)Burden: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWilson: 1.7Burden: 1.7
Defense funnelWilson: NeutralBurden: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWilson: 22nd (soft) (best)Burden: 1st (tough)
Starting QBWilson: Smith (Active)Burden: Williams (Active)
Roof / surfaceturfWilson: OpenBurden: Open
Rest / scheduleWilson: NormalBurden: 11 days rest
Opp paceWilson: 9th (fast)Burden: 9th (fast)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWilson: 4.7 (best)30th (soft)Burden: 2.911th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedWilson: 57% (best)4th (tough)Burden: 56%3rd (tough)
Opp rush yds allowedWilson: 30th (soft) (best)Burden: 6th (tough)
Opp stuff rateWilson: 13% (best)29th (soft)Burden: 22%4th (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedWilson: 5.2 (best)31st (soft)Burden: 3.42nd (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgWilson: 12.1Burden: 16.7 (best)
Last 5 avgWilson: 13.8Burden: 16.3 (best)
vs seasonWilson: −2.1 (Cooling)Burden: +2.8 (Rising) (best)
Yards per carryWilson: 0 carriesBurden: 3.6
Carries / gameWilson: 0.0Burden: 1.1 (best)
Yards per route runWilson: 2.23Burden: 2.87 (best)
Receiving aDOTWilson: 9.6Burden: 8.5
Target share trendWilson: CoolingBurden: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesWilson: 93% (best)Burden: 85%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWilson: WR14 (best)Burden: WR21
Yards linereceivingWilson: 63.5 (best)Burden: 51.0

Deciding on someone else?

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