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Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Toss-up

Downs

WR · IND @ JAX

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points10.3ptsUsage estimate

First out

Meyers

WR · JAX vs IND

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Hamstring

Projected points9.6pts

if he plays · 80% to play

Toss-up

Bench

Jakobi Meyers or Josh Downs: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Josh Downs gets the nod over Jakobi Meyers.

Ahead by: +0.7pts; over Meyers if he plays
Confidence: Lower; Jakobi Meyers may not play (about 80% to play)
Started: 41%; of leagues

Downs's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Case for Meyers

The case for Meyers is an offense expected to score more (28.3 points to 18.3) and surer hands (71% of his targets caught to 57%).

Flips if

An injury tag on Josh Downs or a bigger role for Jakobi Meyers.

Risk

Jakobi Meyers was limited in practice (hamstring): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

DownsToss-upWR · IND @ JAXUsually 8.2+2.1pts this week

Helps him

+1.6ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
+1.2ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
JAXvs WRsEdgeJAX is the 4th softest defense for receivers.

Hurts him

−0.5ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
18.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 18.3 points.
43%dud weeks43% of his games have been dud weeks.

MeyersFirst outWR · JAX vs INDUsually 10.1−0.5pts this week

Helps him

28.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.3 points, a high scoring spot.

Hurts him

−1.0ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 37.0 receiving yards, below his usual 47.5.
4.7per gameHe sees only 4.7 targets a game.
5.6floorA quiet week could drop to about 5.6 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection10.39.6

TD pointsof the projectionOur estimate2.3

Expected TDsthis weekOur estimate0.39

Projected team points18.328.3

Red zone targetsper game0.71.0

Role

Snap share82%80%

Usage worthpts11.48.9

Target share20%16%

Targets / game6.64.7

Air yards share29%20%

Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBelowAbove

WOPR0.500.37

RZ target share23%18%

Catch rate57%71%

Separation2.4 yds3.0 yds

YAC over expected+0.7+0.5

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 11.4Scored 8.2Earned by usage 8.9Scored 10.1

Vacated targets this week3.50.0

Inside 10 target share0%23%

Range

Floor6.25.6

Ceiling16.514.7

Points from TDssteadier when lower0%20%

Big weeks (20+ pts)0%4%

Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is better43%34%

SteadinessVery steady±4.0 pts · 7 gamesVery steady±5.3 pts

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his positionA2026, 6 gmC+2026, 7 gm

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to lead

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.50.4

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed30th (soft)11th (average)

Starting QBJones (Active)Lawrence (Active)

Opp defender outNone listedTaylor-Britt (CB)

Roof / surfacegrassOpenOpen

Rest / scheduleNormalOff a bye

Opp pace23rd (slow)7th (fast)

Opp deep targets allowed / game4.027th (soft)3.625th (soft)

Opp catch rate allowed65%24th (soft)60%13th (average)

Form

Last 3 avg6.78.4

Last 5 avg7.59.7

vs season−1.5 (Cooling)−1.7 (Cooling)

Yards per route run1.391.82

Receiving aDOT10.710.6

Target share trendSteadySteady

Crowd

Started in leagues41%46%

Nuvela position ranklower is betterWR32WR36

Yards linereceivingOur estimate37.0

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?