Addison
WR · MIN vs MIA
Proj pts
16.3pts
market
Rice
WR · KC vs LV
Proj pts
15.7pts
market
Jordan Addison or Rashee Rice: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Jordan Addison over Rashee Rice by 0.6. Jordan Addison leads at 16.3. Rashee Rice is the first one out, 0.6 short.
Crowd: 59% of managers started Addison, 88% started Rice.
Availability & news
Rashee RicePractice: Full
Highlights
Pros
- Every-down role85% of snaps
- Spike upside21.4 ceiling
Cons
- Shaky floor3.4 floor
Pros
- Alpha target share29% target share
- Target volume9.8 targets/g
- Red-zone role2.4 RZ targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is targets / game: Addison 5.6, Rice 9.8.
Rice is listed: Practice: Full.
Latest game on the card: Addison 20, Rice 15.8 (PPR points).
Why Jordan Addison
Start Jordan Addison — projects 16.3, an even matchup vs MIA, with a rising role.
Jordan Addison projects 16.3 points on a 3.4–21.4 range. The matchup grades as neutral against MIA. Usage: targets / game at 5.6. Net: start Jordan Addison this week.
Working for Addison: Every-down role (85% of snaps), Spike upside (21.4 ceiling).
Working against Addison: Shaky floor (3.4 floor).
Where Addison leads the head-to-head: Projection (16.3 vs 15.7); vs season (+0.7 vs -5.2); Boom rate (21% vs 12%); Snap share (85% vs 75%).
Why Rashee Rice
Sit Rashee Rice — projects 15.7, an even matchup vs LV, but the role is cooling.
Rashee Rice projects 15.7 points on a 11.4–26.3 range. The matchup grades as neutral against LV. Usage: targets / game at 9.8. Net: bench Rashee Rice this week.
Working for Rice: Alpha target share (29% target share), Target volume (9.8 targets/g), Red-zone role (2.4 RZ targets/g).
Where Rice leads the head-to-head: Floor (11.4 vs 3.4); Ceiling (26.3 vs 21.4); Target share (29% vs 18%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (B vs C); Implied team total (26.0 vs 24.5); Last 3 avg (12.7 vs 8.0); Last 5 avg (11.5 vs 7.7); Consistency (59% vs 42%); Bust rate (12% vs 21%); Targets / game (9.8 vs 5.6); Red zone targets (19 vs 13).
Recent form
Jordan Addison's last 5 games: PPR points 12.5, 1.8, 0, 4.1, 20 (oldest to newest).
Rashee Rice's last 5 games: PPR points 7.4, 12.1, 9.9, 12.3, 15.8 (oldest to newest).
Addison has already beaten Rice's 15.7 projection in 1 of his 5; Rice has beaten Addison's 16.3 in 0 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Jordan Addison (MIN) faces MIA, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 24.5, spread -10.5.
Rashee Rice (KC) faces LV, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 26.0, spread -4.5.
What flips it
Addison's edge is 0.6 points (16.3 to 15.7). Rice's ceiling (26.3) clears Addison's projection, so a big game from Rice flips it. Addison's floor (3.4) sits under Rice's projection, so a quiet game from Addison flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Jordan Addison comparisons
- Jordan Addison or Michael Wilson16.3 · 16.4
- Jordan Addison or Tee Higgins16.3 · 16.8
- Christian Watson or Jordan Addison16.8 · 16.3
- Jordan Addison or Matthew Golden16.3 · 15.3
More Rashee Rice comparisons
- Matthew Golden or Rashee Rice15.3 · 15.7
- Jaylen Waddle or Rashee Rice15.3 · 15.7
- Malik Nabers or Rashee Rice15.1 · 15.7
- Michael Wilson or Rashee Rice16.4 · 15.7
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)