QBBUF vs NEQB118.8 projected (17.0–37.4)PPR

Should I start Josh Allen in Week 4?

Start Josh Allen in Week 4. Allen projects 18.8 PPR points to Jalen Hurts's 16.6.

Measured against the QB12 start line: Jalen Hurts, QB13 at 16.6 projected PPR points, the first quarterback below it.

Week 4 · Updated Tue 6:00 AM ET

Why Josh Allen

Start Josh Allen — projects 18.8, a tough matchup vs NE, with a rising role.

Josh Allen projects 18.8 points on a 17.0–37.4 range. The matchup grades as tough against NE. Usage: pass attempts / game at 28.8. Net: Josh Allen is start this week.

Working for Allen: Rushing floor (7.0 rush att/g), High-scoring spot (27.8 team total), High floor (17.0 floor).

Working against Allen: Tough matchup (Tough · D+ vs QB).

Matchup

Josh Allen (BUF) faces NE, kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 27.8, spread -7.0.

Recent form

Josh Allen's last 4 games: PPR points 25.2, 35.7, 40.8, 17.5 (oldest to newest).

What flips it

Allen's edge is 2.2 points (18.8 to 16.6). Hurts's ceiling (24.1) clears Allen's projection, so a big game from Hurts flips it. Confidence in the call: moderate.

Compare Josh Allen with…

The players closest to Josh Allenin this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.

Live stats. Market lines. AI-powered analysis.

Nuvela helps fantasy players and sports fans research athletes, compare matchups, evaluate prop markets, and make faster, more confident decisions across every sport we cover. From drafts to player props to deeper analysis, we surface the context behind the numbers so you can decide for yourself.

Nuvela is owned and operated by Sit or Start AI, Inc. and is intended for users 21 and older. It is an AI-powered research tool and does not accept bets, operate as a sportsbook, or have any affiliation with sportsbooks, daily fantasy operators, or gambling platforms.

All content is for research and entertainment purposes only.

Users should independently verify all stats, lines, and information before making any decisions based on it.

Gambling involves risk and can be addictive.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) or visit ncpgambling.org. Available 24/7.

Copyright © 2026 Sit or Start AI, Inc. All rights reserved. Nuvela.ai is a product of Sit or Start AI, Inc.