New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

Pass TD

New comparison

Lean

Murray

QB · MIN @ DET

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points17.4pts

First out

Herbert

QB · LAC @ LA

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points15.7pts

Lean

Bench

Justin Herbert or Kyler Murray: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean Kyler Murray over Justin Herbert.

Ahead by: +1.7pts; over Herbert
Confidence: Moderate; Lean
Started: 46%; of leagues

Flips if

Start Justin Herbert instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (16% of his games to 0%).

Risk

The case for Herbert is more points with his legs (2.7 a game to 2.2).

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 12:00 PM ET

MurrayLeanQB · MIN @ DETUsually 13.5+3.9pts this week

Helps him

+3.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 0.75.
+1.1ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.18 rushing TDs, above his usual 0.00.
+1.0ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 224.5 passing yards, above his usual 198.5.
DETvs QBsEdgeDET is the softest defense for quarterbacks.

Hurts him

−0.7ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 23.5 rushing yards, below his usual 30.8.
50%dud weeks50% of his games have been dud weeks.

HerbertFirst outQB · LAC @ LAUsually 10.4+5.3pts this week

Helps him

+2.7ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 0.83.
+1.0ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.17 rushing TDs, above his usual 0.00.
+0.7ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 206.5 passing yards, above his usual 190.2.
25.2ceilingHis best weeks reach about 25.2 points.

Hurts him

−0.5ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 23.5 rushing yards, below his usual 28.0.
19.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 19.3 points.
11.3floorA quiet week could drop to about 11.3 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection17.415.7

Rush TD pointsof the projection1.11.0

Rush TDs expectedthis week0.180.17

Projected team points21.319.3

Goal line carriesper game0.00.3

Red zone carriesper game0.20.8

Pass attempts / game25.030.0

Role

Snap share83%100%

Touch share10%11%

Touches / game5.04.8

Yards per attempt6.56.3

Pass TD rate2%3%

Rush yards / game26.428.0

Points from rushing25%27%

Rushing points / game2.6 pts / game2.8 pts / game

Rushing floor2.2 pts / game2.7 pts / game

Designed runs / game0.41.7

Scrambles / game3.03.2

Dropbacks / game30.236.5

Designed runs inside the 10 / game0.00.3

Sacks per dropback8%10%

INT rate1.6%4.4%

Pass aDOT6.97.8

High value touches / game0.00.7

Goal line carry share0%33%

Red zone touches / game0.21.0

Rush success rate59%45%

Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)5.9%6.9%

Range

Floor13.611.3

Ceiling22.625.2

Points from TDssteadier when lower0%0%

Big weeks (25+ pts)0%16%

Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is better50%48%

SteadinessVery steady±3.5 pts · 4 gamesSteady±7.4 pts

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his positionA+2026, 6 gmC2026, 7 gm

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.00.9

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed32nd (soft)4th (tough)

Opp sacks / game3.51.4

Roof / surfaceturfDomeDome

Rest / scheduleNormalOff a bye

Opp pace4th (fast)3rd (fast)

Opp pressure rate21%16th (average)17%29th (soft)

Pressure faced21%25%

Opp rush yds allowed12th (average)18th (average)

Opp stuff rate16%18th (average)18%12th (average)

Opp yards per carry allowed4.317th (average)4.213th (average)

Opp deep targets allowed / game5.731st (soft)2.97th (tough)

Opp catch rate allowed71%28th (soft)60%2nd (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg14.59.5

Last 5 avg10.79.8

vs season+3.8 (Rising)−0.9 (Cooling)

Yards per carry5.35.8

Carries / game5.04.8

Pass volume trendCoolingSteady

Crowd

Started in leagues46%Not widely started

Nuvela position ranklower is betterQB8QB17

Yards linepassing224.5206.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?