Start Nico Collins. Bench Justin Jefferson. Nico Collins leads at 11.4. Justin Jefferson is the first one out, 1.3 short.

Crowd: started Collins 97% · Jefferson 98%

Nuvela’s read

Nico Collins projects 11.4 points on a 7.7–19.5 range. The matchup grades as tough against BUF. Usage: targets / game at 8.0. Net: Nico Collins is start this week.

Justin Jefferson projects 10.1 points on a 4.5–12.9 range. The matchup grades as neutral against GB. Usage: targets / game at 8.3. Net: Justin Jefferson is a bench this week.

What flips it: Sit Justin Jefferson — projects 10.1, an even matchup vs GB, with a rising role.

Ask a follow up

Week 1 hasn’t kicked off — recent form, opportunity and matchup are based on the 2025 season, and update as the season is played.

	CollinsStart	JeffersonBen
Projection (median)	11.4	10.1
Floor	7.7	4.5
Ceiling	19.5	12.9
Target share	24%	31%
Matchup grade (recency weighted)	D+	C+
Implied team total	21.5	23.5

History

Recents

Start Nico Collins. Bench Justin Jefferson. Nico Collins leads at 11.4. Justin Jefferson is the first one out, 1.3 short.

Start Nico Collins. Bench Justin Jefferson. Nico Collins leads at 11.4. Justin Jefferson is the first one out, 1.3 short.