WRMIN vs MIAWR3211.1 projected (5.3–17.6)PPR

Should I start Justin Jefferson in Week 4?

Sit Justin Jefferson in Week 4. Jefferson projects 11.1 PPR points to Malik Washington's 11.4.

Measured against the WR36 start line: Malik Washington, WR36 at 11.4 projected PPR points, the last wide receiver inside it.

Week 4 · Updated Tue 6:00 AM ET

Why Justin Jefferson

Sit Justin Jefferson — projects 11.1, an even matchup vs MIA, with a rising role.

Justin Jefferson projects 11.1 points on a 5.3–17.6 range. The matchup grades as neutral against MIA. Usage: targets / game at 8.3. Net: Justin Jefferson is a bench this week.

Working for Jefferson: Alpha target share (31% target share).

Working against Jefferson: Shaky floor (5.3 floor).

Matchup

Justin Jefferson (MIN) faces MIA, kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 24.5, spread -10.5.

Recent form

Justin Jefferson's last 5 games: PPR points 7, 18.4, 31.2, 8.5, 5.2 (oldest to newest).

At least 1 of these 5 were played before the 2026 season — the card does not date them.

What flips it

Washington's edge is 0.3 points (11.4 to 11.1). Jefferson's ceiling (17.6) clears Washington's projection, so a big game from Jefferson flips it. Washington's floor (5.6) sits under Jefferson's projection, so a quiet game from Washington flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.

Compare Justin Jefferson with…

The players closest to Justin Jeffersonin this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.