Washington
WR · JAX vs IND
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points15.2pts
Jefferson
WR · MIN @ DET
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points15.8pts
Toss-up
Bench
Justin Jefferson or Parker Washington: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Need a safe week? Parker Washington. Swinging for a big week? Justin Jefferson.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
- Started
- 95%
- of leagues
Case for Jefferson
Washington has the safer floor (9.9 to 8.5); Jefferson has more upside (a ceiling of 25.5 to 24.0).
Flips if
Start Justin Jefferson instead if you need a big week: he has more big weeks (25% of his games to 18%).
Risk
Justin Jefferson has played 2 games since missing time.
Highlights
WashingtonToss-upWR · JAX vs INDUsually 15.3−0.1pts this week
Helps him
- 28.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.3 points, a high scoring spot.
Hurts him
- 9.9floorA quiet week could drop to about 9.9 points.
JeffersonFirst outWR · MIN @ DETUsually 16.7−0.9pts this week
Helps him
- +0.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 76.5 receiving yards, above his usual 67.5.
- DETvs WRsEdgeDET is the 2nd softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.43 touchdowns, below his usual 0.75.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWashington: 15.2Jefferson: 15.8 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionWashington: 4.1 (best)Jefferson: 2.6
Expected TDsthis weekWashington: 0.68 (best)Jefferson: 0.43
Projected team pointsWashington: 28.3 (best)Jefferson: 21.3
Red zone targetsper gameWashington: 1.3 (best)Jefferson: 1.2
Role
Snap shareWashington: 76%Jefferson: 77% (best)
Usage worthptsWashington: 14.2 (best)Jefferson: 11.2
Target shareWashington: 26%Jefferson: 26%
Targets / gameWashington: 7.7 (best)Jefferson: 6.2
Air yards shareWashington: 41% (best)Jefferson: 35%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsWashington: AboveJefferson: Above
WOPRWashington: 0.65Jefferson: 0.66 (best)
RZ target shareWashington: 24%Jefferson: 31% (best)
Catch rateWashington: 57%Jefferson: 74% (best)
SeparationWashington: 2.0 ydsJefferson: 2.9 yds (best)
YAC over expectedWashington: +2.5 (best)Jefferson: +1.0
Usage worth vs scoredWashington: Earned by usage 14.2Scored 15.3Jefferson: Earned by usage 11.2Scored 14.4
Vacated targets this weekWashington: 0.0Jefferson: 1.7 (best)
Inside 10 target shareWashington: 18%Jefferson: 25% (best)
Range
FloorWashington: 9.9 (best)Jefferson: 8.5
CeilingWashington: 24.0Jefferson: 25.5 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWashington: 26%Jefferson: 25%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Washington: 18%Jefferson: 25% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWashington: 18%Jefferson: 0% (best)
SteadinessWashington: Steady (best)±8.5 ptsJefferson: Steady±10.8 pts · 4 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionWashington: C+2026, 7 gmJefferson: A+ (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptWashington: Expected to lead (best)Jefferson: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWashington: 0.4 (best)Jefferson: 1.0
Defense funnelWashington: NeutralJefferson: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWashington: 11th (average)Jefferson: 32nd (soft) (best)
Starting QBWashington: Lawrence (Active)Jefferson: Murray (Active)
Opp defender outWashington: Taylor-Britt (CB)Jefferson: None listed
Roof / surfaceWashington: OpengrassJefferson: Dometurf
Rest / scheduleWashington: Off a byeJefferson: Normal
Opp paceWashington: 7th (fast)Jefferson: 4th (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWashington: 3.625th (soft)Jefferson: 4.3 (best)28th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedWashington: 60%13th (average)Jefferson: 66% (best)27th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgWashington: 14.3 (best)Jefferson: 10.8
Last 5 avgWashington: 14.5 (best)Jefferson: 14.4
vs seasonWashington: −1.1 (Steady) (best)Jefferson: −3.6 (Cooling)
Yards per route runWashington: 2.58Jefferson: 2.90 (best)
Receiving aDOTWashington: 13.0Jefferson: 10.9
Target share trendWashington: RisingJefferson: Left Week 3 hurt
Games since injuryWashington: None recentlyJefferson: 2
Crowd
Started in leaguesWashington: 95%Jefferson: 97% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWashington: WR11Jefferson: WR9 (best)
Yards linereceivingWashington: 65.5Jefferson: 76.5 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.