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Week8 · 2026
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Scoring
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Mitchell

RB · LAC @ LA

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points4.8pts

Strong

RB · GB vs CAR

FinalGB 27 – 19 CAR

Final points0.2pts

projected 4.6

Keaton Mitchell or Pierre Strong: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Pierre Strong already played (0.2 pts, final). If he's in your lineup, those points are banked; if not, he can't help you this week. Compare Keaton Mitchell with your other options.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 3:00 PM ET
MitchellRB · LAC @ LAUsually 6.2−1.3pts this week

Helps him

  1. 8.3ceilingHis best weeks reach about 8.3 points.

Hurts him

  1. −1.3pts2 linesRushing yards 15.5 (usual 23.2) and catches 1.5 (usual 2.0) both sit below his usual.
  2. 17%touchesHe handles only 17% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
  3. 19.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 19.3 points.
StrongRB · GB vs CARUsually 5.5−0.9pts this week

Helps him

  1. +1.0ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
  2. CARvs RBsEdgeCAR is the 5th softest defense for running backs.
  3. −3.5spreadEdgeHis team was expected to lead, which tends to mean more carries late.

Hurts him

  1. −0.4ptsinjuryHis injury tag takes 0.4 points off his projection.
  2. −1.3ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
  3. 16%touchesHe handles only 16% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
  4. 2.8floorA quiet week could drop to about 2.8 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionMitchell: 4.8 (best)Strong: 4.6
TD pointsof the projectionMitchell: 1.1Strong: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekMitchell: 0.19Strong: Our estimate
Projected team pointsMitchell: 19.3Strong: 25.5 (best)
Goal line carriesper gameMitchell: 0.0Strong: 0.3 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameMitchell: 0.5Strong: 2.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameMitchell: 0.2 (best)Strong: 0.0
Role
Snap shareMitchell: 32%Strong: 36% (best)
Usage worthptsMitchell: 6.6Strong: 8.1 (best)
Touch shareMitchell: 17% (best)Strong: 16%
Target shareMitchell: 9%Strong: 9%
Touches / gameMitchell: 7.8Strong: 8.0 (best)
Targets / gameMitchell: 2.5Strong: 3.3 (best)
Vacated touches this weekMitchell: 0.0Strong: 10.2 (best)
High value touches / gameMitchell: 2.2Strong: 3.3 (best)
Goal line carry shareMitchell: 0%Strong: 25% (best)
Red zone touches / gameMitchell: 0.7Strong: 2.0 (best)
Rush success rateMitchell: 37%Strong: 38% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Mitchell: 2.9% (best)Strong: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredMitchell: Earned by usage 6.6Scored 6.2Strong: Earned by usage 8.1Scored 5.5
Rush yards / gameMitchell: 23.2 (best)Strong: 11.7
Points from rushingMitchell: 37%Strong: 21%
WOPRMitchell: 0.12Strong: 0.13 (best)
RZ target shareMitchell: 5% (best)Strong: 0%
Inside 10 target shareMitchell: 8% (best)Strong: 0%
Catch rateMitchell: 80%Strong: 80%
Rushing points / gameMitchell: 2.3 pts / game (best)Strong: 1.2 pts / game
Rushing floorMitchell: 1.8 pts / game (best)Strong: 1.2 pts / game
Range
FloorMitchell: 2.6Strong: 2.8 (best)
CeilingMitchell: 8.3 (best)Strong: 7.1
Points from TDssteadier when lowerMitchell: 16%Strong: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Mitchell: 0%Strong: 2 games
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterMitchell: 67%Strong: 2 games
SteadinessMitchell: Volatile±5.4 pts · 6 gamesStrong: 2 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionMitchell: D+2026, 7 gmStrong: A (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptMitchell: Expected to trailStrong: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterMitchell: 0.9 (best)Strong: 1.2
Defense funnelMitchell: NeutralStrong: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedMitchell: 18th (average)Strong: 32nd (soft) (best)
Backfield roleMitchell: BackupStrong: Backup
Opp defender outMitchell: None listedStrong: Phillips (LB)
Roof / surfaceMitchell: DometurfStrong: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleMitchell: Off a byeStrong: Short week (4d)
Opp paceMitchell: 3rd (fast) (best)Strong: 6th (fast)
Opp stuff rateMitchell: 19%14th (average)Strong: 12% (best)30th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedMitchell: 3.88th (tough)Strong: 5.2 (best)31st (soft)
Opp pass yds allowedMitchell: 4th (tough)Strong: 6th (tough) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameMitchell: 0.1 (best)24th (soft)Strong: 0.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedMitchell: 78% (best)16th (average)Strong: 74%11th (average)
Starting QBMitchell: Herbert (Active)Strong: Love (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgMitchell: 5.9 (best)Strong: 5.5
Last 5 avgMitchell: 7.2 (best)Strong: 5.5
vs seasonMitchell: −0.3 (Steady)Strong: Cooling (best)
Yards per carryMitchell: 4.0 (best)Strong: 2.2
Carries / gameMitchell: 5.8 (best)Strong: 5.3
Yards per route runMitchell: 0.83Strong: 1.32 (best)
Receiving aDOTMitchell: −1.8Strong: −0.7
Touch share trendMitchell: CoolingStrong: Steady
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterMitchell: RB49 (best)Strong: RB54
Yards linerushingMitchell: 15.5Strong: Our estimate

Deciding on someone else?

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