New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Lean

Johnson

RB · BUF vs BAL

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points5.9pts

First out

Mitchell

RB · LAC @ LA

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points4.8pts

Lean

Bench

Keaton Mitchell or Ty Johnson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean Ty Johnson over Keaton Mitchell.

Ahead by: +1.1pts; over Mitchell
Confidence: Moderate; Lean

Flips if

Start Keaton Mitchell instead if you want more of the snaps (32% to 24%).

Risk

The risk: Johnson is the backup in his backfield.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

JohnsonLeanRB · BUF vs BALUsually 7.0−1.1pts this week

Helps him

+0.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.15 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
28.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.8 points, a high scoring spot.

Hurts him

−2.3ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 15.5 receiving yards, below his usual 38.8.
−0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 3.0.
7%touchesHe handles only 7% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
BALvs RBsEdgeBAL is the 4th toughest defense for running backs.

MitchellFirst outRB · LAC @ LAUsually 6.2−1.3pts this week

Helps him

8.3ceilingHis best weeks reach about 8.3 points.

Hurts him

−1.3pts2 linesRushing yards 15.5 (usual 23.2) and catches 1.5 (usual 2.0) both sit below his usual.
17%touchesHe handles only 17% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
19.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 19.3 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection5.94.8

TD pointsof the projection0.91.1

Expected TDsthis week0.150.19

Projected team points28.819.3

Goal line carriesper game0.00.0

Red zone carriesper game0.30.5

Red zone targetsper game0.30.2

Role

Snap share24%32%

Usage worthpts4.76.6

Touch share7%17%

Target share13%9%

Touches / game3.57.8

Targets / game3.02.5

Vacated touches this week0.00.0

High value touches / game3.02.2

Goal line carry share0%0%

Red zone touches / game0.50.7

Rush success rate0%37%

Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)0%2.9%

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 4.7Scored 7.0Earned by usage 6.6Scored 6.2

Rush yards / game1.523.2

Points from rushing2%37%

WOPR0.180.12

RZ target share6%5%

Inside 10 target share0%8%

Catch rate100%80%

Rushing points / game0.2 pts / game2.3 pts / game

Rushing floor0.2 pts / game1.8 pts / game

Range

Floor3.22.6

Ceiling8.58.3

Points from TDssteadier when lower0%16%

Big weeks (20+ pts)0%0%

Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is better83%67%

SteadinessVolatile±5.2 ptsVolatile±5.4 pts · 6 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmD+D+

Game scriptExpected to leadExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better0.90.9

Defense funnelPassNeutral

Opp rush yds allowed9th (tough)18th (average)

Backfield roleBackupBackup

Opp defender outRobinson (LB)None listed

Roof / surfaceturfOpenDome

Rest / scheduleOff a byeOff a bye

Opp pace17th (average)3rd (fast)

Opp stuff rate22%6th (tough)19%14th (average)

Opp yards per carry allowed8th (tough)3.83.8

Opp pass yds allowed15th (average)4th (tough)

Opp deep targets allowed / game0.01st (tough)0.124th (soft)

Opp catch rate allowed74%13th (average)78%16th (average)

Starting QBAllen (Active)Herbert (Active)

Form

Last 3 avg6.45.9

Last 5 avg7.07.2

vs season−0.7−0.3 (Steady)

Yards per carry2 carries4.0

Carries / game0.55.8

Yards per route run3.690.83

Receiving aDOT−0.6−1.8

Touch share trendSteadyCooling

Crowd

Nuvela position ranklower is betterRB39RB49

Yards linerushing9.815.5

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?