Gainwell
RB · TB vs ATL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Hip
Projected points5.8pts
if he plays · 80% to play
Mitchell
RB · LAC @ LA
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points4.8pts
Start · check inactives
Bench
Keaton Mitchell or Kenny Gainwell: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Kenny Gainwell. If he's inactive, start Keaton Mitchell.
- Ahead by
- +1.0pts
- over Mitchell if he plays
- Confidence
- Depends on inactives
- Kenny Gainwell may not play (about 80% to play)
Flips if
If Kenny Gainwell is inactive, start Keaton Mitchell.
Risk
Kenny Gainwell was limited in practice (hip): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. If he sits, start Keaton Mitchell. Weather in Kenny Gainwell's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
GainwellStart · check inactivesRB · TB vs ATLUsually 5.6+0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +0.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.26 touchdowns, above his usual 0.14.
- ATLvs RBsEdgeATL is the 9th softest defense for running backs.
Hurts him
- −0.7ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 14.5 rushing yards, below his usual 21.3.
- 13%touchesHe handles only 13% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- 3.5floorA quiet week could drop to about 3.5 points.
MitchellIf he sitsRB · LAC @ LAUsually 6.2−1.3pts this week
Helps him
- OutGarrettEdgeHe faces a Rams defense without linebacker Myles Garrett.
Hurts him
- −1.3pts2 linesRushing yards 15.5 (usual 23.2) and catches 1.5 (usual 2.0) both sit below his usual.
- 17%touchesHe handles only 17% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
- 19.3team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score only 19.3 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionGainwell: 5.8 (best)Mitchell: 4.8
TD pointsof the projectionGainwell: 1.6 (best)Mitchell: 1.1
Expected TDsthis weekGainwell: 0.26 (best)Mitchell: 0.19
Projected team pointsGainwell: 23.0 (best)Mitchell: 19.3
Goal line carriesper gameGainwell: 0.0Mitchell: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameGainwell: 0.4Mitchell: 0.5 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameGainwell: 0.4 (best)Mitchell: 0.2
Role
Snap shareGainwell: 36% (best)Mitchell: 32%
Usage worthptsGainwell: 6.2Mitchell: 6.6 (best)
Touch shareGainwell: 13%Mitchell: 17% (best)
Target shareGainwell: 8%Mitchell: 9% (best)
Touches / gameGainwell: 6.4Mitchell: 7.8 (best)
Targets / gameGainwell: 2.4Mitchell: 2.5 (best)
Vacated touches this weekGainwell: 0.0Mitchell: 0.0
High value touches / gameGainwell: 1.7Mitchell: 2.2 (best)
Goal line carry shareGainwell: 0%Mitchell: 0%
Red zone touches / gameGainwell: 0.9 (best)Mitchell: 0.7
Rush success rateGainwell: 39% (best)Mitchell: 37%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Gainwell: 3.0% (best)Mitchell: 2.9%
Usage worth vs scoredGainwell: Earned by usage 6.2Scored 5.6Mitchell: Earned by usage 6.6Scored 6.2
Rush yards / gameGainwell: 21.3Mitchell: 23.2 (best)
Points from rushingGainwell: 38%Mitchell: 37%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsGainwell: AboveMitchell: 1 RZ target
WOPRGainwell: 0.09Mitchell: 0.12 (best)
RZ target shareGainwell: 11% (best)Mitchell: 5%
Inside 10 target shareGainwell: 20% (best)Mitchell: 8%
Catch rateGainwell: 71%Mitchell: 80% (best)
Rushing points / gameGainwell: 2.1 pts / gameMitchell: 2.3 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorGainwell: 1.7 pts / gameMitchell: 1.8 pts / game (best)
Range
FloorGainwell: 3.5 (best)Mitchell: 2.6
CeilingGainwell: 9.0 (best)Mitchell: 8.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerGainwell: 15%Mitchell: 16%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Gainwell: 0%Mitchell: 0%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterGainwell: 67%Mitchell: 67%
SteadinessGainwell: Steady (best)±3.2 pts · 6 gamesMitchell: Volatile±5.4 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmGainwell: B (best)Mitchell: D+
Game scriptGainwell: Expected to lead (best)Mitchell: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterGainwell: 1.3Mitchell: 0.9 (best)
Defense funnelGainwell: NeutralMitchell: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedGainwell: 4th (tough)Mitchell: 18th (average) (best)
Backfield roleGainwell: BackupMitchell: Backup
Opp defender outGainwell: None listedMitchell: Garrett (LB)
WeatherGainwell: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rainMitchell: Indoors
Roof / surfaceGainwell: OpengrassMitchell: Dometurf
Rest / scheduleGainwell: NormalMitchell: Off a bye
Opp paceGainwell: 21st (average)Mitchell: 3rd (fast) (best)
Opp stuff rateGainwell: 20%10th (tough)Mitchell: 19% (best)14th (average)
Opp yards per carry allowedGainwell: 4.1 (best)12th (average)Mitchell: 3.88th (tough)
Opp pass yds allowedGainwell: 29th (soft) (best)Mitchell: 4th (tough)
Opp deep targets allowed / game24th (soft)Gainwell: 0.1Mitchell: 0.1
Opp catch rate allowedGainwell: 70%4th (tough)Mitchell: 78% (best)16th (average)
Starting QBGainwell: Mayfield (Active)Mitchell: Herbert (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgGainwell: 6.0 (best)Mitchell: 5.9
Last 5 avgGainwell: 6.3Mitchell: 7.2 (best)
vs seasonGainwell: +0.4 (Steady) (best)Mitchell: −0.3 (Steady)
Yards per carryGainwell: 4.5 (best)Mitchell: 4.0
Carries / gameGainwell: 4.7Mitchell: 5.8 (best)
Yards per route runGainwell: 0.94 (best)Mitchell: 0.83
Receiving aDOTGainwell: −2.3Mitchell: −1.8
Touch share trendGainwell: SteadyMitchell: Cooling
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterGainwell: RB41 (best)Mitchell: RB49
Yards linerushingGainwell: 14.5Mitchell: 15.5 (best)
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