Johnson
RB · BUF vs NE
Proj pts
6.8pts
market
Miller
RB · NO vs ATL
Proj pts
6.6pts
market
Kendre Miller or Ty Johnson: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Ty Johnson over Kendre Miller by 0.2. Ty Johnson leads at 6.8. Kendre Miller is the first one out, 0.3 short.
Availability & news
Kendre Miller
Miller was a non-participant in Thursday's practice due to an illness, Mike Triplett of NewOrleans.Football reports.(rotowire, Sep 24, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- High-scoring spot27.8 team total
Cons
- Committee back8% of touches
- Tough matchupTough · F vs RB
Pros
- Positive game scriptFavored
Cons
- Committee back6% of touches
- Shaky floor5.7 floor
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone carries: Johnson 19, Miller 5.
Miller: “Miller was a non-participant in Thursday's practice due to an illness, Mike Triplett of NewOrleans.Football reports.” — RotoWire, Sep 24, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Johnson 9, Miller 3.9 (PPR points).
Why Ty Johnson
Start Ty Johnson — projects 6.8, a tough matchup vs NE, with a rising role.
Ty Johnson projects 6.8 points on a 5.8–15.2 range. The matchup grades as tough against NE. Usage: carries / game at 2.9. Net: start Ty Johnson this week.
Working for Johnson: High-scoring spot (27.8 team total).
Working against Johnson: Committee back (8% of touches), Tough matchup (Tough · F vs RB).
Where Johnson leads the head-to-head: Projection (6.8 vs 6.6); Floor (5.8 vs 5.7); Ceiling (15.2 vs 10.4); Touch share (8% vs 6%); Implied team total (27.8 vs 25.8); Last 3 avg (12.1 vs 4.5); Last 5 avg (10.0 vs 4.7); vs season (+0.9 vs -0.2); Target share (7% vs 2%); Snap share (30% vs 24%); Goal line carries (6 vs 0); Red zone carries (19 vs 5).
Why Kendre Miller
Sit Kendre Miller — projects 6.6, an even matchup vs ATL.
Kendre Miller projects 6.6 points on a 5.7–10.4 range. The matchup grades as neutral against ATL. Usage: carries / game at 6.7. Net: bench Kendre Miller this week.
Working for Miller: Positive game script (Favored).
Working against Miller: Committee back (6% of touches), Shaky floor (5.7 floor).
Where Miller leads the head-to-head: Opportunity score (5.3 vs 4.6); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (C vs F); Consistency (54% vs 20%); Boom rate (25% vs 14%); Bust rate (0% vs 29%); Carries / game (6.7 vs 2.9); Touches / game (7.4 vs 4.4); Yards per carry (4.1 vs 4.0).
Recent form
Ty Johnson's last 5 games: PPR points 5.8, 7.6, 7.8, 19.6, 9 (oldest to newest).
Kendre Miller's last 5 games: PPR points 5.9, 4.2, 0.7, 9, 3.9 (oldest to newest).
Johnson has already beaten Miller's 6.6 projection in 4 of his 5; Miller has beaten Johnson's 6.8 in 1 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Ty Johnson (BUF) faces NE, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 27.8, spread -7.0.
Kendre Miller (NO) faces ATL, kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 25.8, spread -3.0.
What flips it
Johnson's edge is 0.2 points (6.8 to 6.6). Miller's ceiling (10.4) clears Johnson's projection, so a big game from Miller flips it. Johnson's floor (5.8) sits under Miller's projection, so a quiet game from Johnson flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Omarion Hampton or Tony Pollard12.1 · 12.1
- Alvin Kamara or Quinshon Judkins17.8 · 17.8
- Emanuel Wilson or Jadarian Price9.8 · 9.7
- Bhayshul Tuten or David Montgomery17.0 · 17.1
- Ashton Jeanty or Jeremiyah Love22.6 · 22.4
- Christian McCaffrey or Jonathan Taylor28.2 · 28.4
- More RB start/sit calls (running backs this week)