Sanders
RB · CLE vs PIT
Proj pts
7pts
market
Gainwell
RB · TB vs GB
Proj pts
6.4pts
opportunity
Kenny Gainwell or Raheim Sanders: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Raheim Sanders over Kenny Gainwell by 0.6. Raheim Sanders leads at 7.0. Kenny Gainwell is the first one out, 0.5 short.
Availability & news
Raheim Sanders
Sanders caught his sole target for seven yards, had two rushes for four yards and returned two kickoffs for 50 yards in Sunday's 23-19 win over the Buccaneers.(rotowire, Sep 22, 2026)
Kenny Gainwell
Gainwell turned three carries into minus-4 yards and added two catches (on five targets) for 14 yards in Sunday's 23-16 loss to the Vikings. He also returned six kickoffs for 160 yards and added a tackle.(rotowire, Sep 28, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Goal-line back1.0 GL carries/g
- Reliable86% consistency
Cons
- Committee back4% of touches
- Low team total18.0 team total
Pros
- Pass-game role5.0 targets/g
- Spike upside20.8 ceiling
Cons
- Committee back24% of touches
- Low team total18.0 team total
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is touch share: Sanders 4%, Gainwell 24%.
Sanders: “Sanders caught his sole target for seven yards, had two rushes for four yards and returned two kickoffs for 50 yards in Sunday's 23-19 win over the Buccaneers.” — RotoWire, Sep 22, 2026.
Gainwell: “Gainwell turned three carries into minus-4 yards and added two catches (on five targets) for 14 yards in Sunday's 23-16 loss to the Vikings. He also returned six kickoffs for 160 yards and added a tackle.” — RotoWire, Sep 28, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Sanders 9.1, Gainwell 3 (PPR points).
Why Raheim Sanders
Start Raheim Sanders — projects 7.0, a tough matchup vs PIT.
Raheim Sanders projects 7.0 points on a 4.6–7.0 range. The matchup grades as tough against PIT. Usage: carries / game at 6.8. Net: start Raheim Sanders this week.
Working for Sanders: Goal-line back (1.0 GL carries/g), Reliable (86% consistency).
Working against Sanders: Committee back (4% of touches), Low team total (18.0 team total).
Where Sanders leads the head-to-head: Projection (7.0 vs 6.4); Last 3 avg (5.6 vs 3.4); vs season (-0.3 vs -4.6); Consistency (86% vs 34%); Bust rate (0% vs 29%); Carries / game (6.8 vs 6.7).
Why Kenny Gainwell
Sit Kenny Gainwell — projects 6.4, an even matchup vs GB, but the role is cooling.
Kenny Gainwell projects 6.4 points on a 5.9–20.8 range. The matchup grades as neutral against GB. Usage: carries / game at 6.7. Net: bench Kenny Gainwell this week.
Working for Gainwell: Pass-game role (5.0 targets/g), Spike upside (20.8 ceiling).
Working against Gainwell: Committee back (24% of touches), Low team total (18.0 team total).
Where Gainwell leads the head-to-head: Floor (5.9 vs 4.6); Ceiling (20.8 vs 7.0); Touch share (24% vs 4%); Opportunity score (11.4 vs 5.8); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (C+ vs D); Last 5 avg (7.7 vs 5.0); Boom rate (24% vs 0%); Touches / game (11.0 vs 7.5); Target share (16% vs 4%); Yards per carry (4.7 vs 3.4); Snap share (50% vs 26%); Goal line carries (9 vs 4); Red zone carries (23 vs 7).
Recent form
Raheim Sanders's last 5 games: PPR points 4.1, 4.3, 5.6, 2.1, 9.1 (oldest to newest).
Kenny Gainwell's last 5 games: PPR points 6.8, 21.4, 2.8, 4.5, 3 (oldest to newest).
Sanders has already beaten Gainwell's 6.4 projection in 1 of his 5; Gainwell has beaten Sanders's 7 in 1 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Raheim Sanders (CLE) faces PIT, kickoff Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 18.0, spread +2.5.
Kenny Gainwell (TB) faces GB, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 18.0, spread +3.5.
What flips it
Sanders's edge is 0.6 points (7 to 6.4). Gainwell's ceiling (20.8) clears Sanders's projection, so a big game from Gainwell flips it. Sanders's floor (4.6) sits under Gainwell's projection, so a quiet game from Sanders flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Omarion Hampton or Tony Pollard12.1 · 12.1
- Alvin Kamara or Quinshon Judkins17.8 · 17.8
- Emanuel Wilson or Jadarian Price9.8 · 9.7
- Bhayshul Tuten or David Montgomery17.0 · 17.1
- Ashton Jeanty or Jeremiyah Love22.6 · 22.4
- Christian McCaffrey or Jonathan Taylor28.2 · 28.4
- More RB start/sit calls (running backs this week)