Washington
WR · MIA vs MIN
Proj pts
11.3pts
market
Flournoy
WR · DAL vs HOU
Proj pts
10.7pts
market
Malik Washington or Ryan Flournoy: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Malik Washington over Ryan Flournoy by 0.6. Malik Washington leads at 11.3. Ryan Flournoy is the first one out, 0.6 short.
Crowd: 38% of managers started Washington.
Highlights
Cons
- Low target share14% target share
- Thin volume3.8 targets/g
Cons
- Low target share11% target share
- Thin volume3.7 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is consistency: Washington 50%, Flournoy 16%.
Latest game on the card: Washington 11.1, Flournoy 4.2 (PPR points).
Why Malik Washington
Start Malik Washington — projects 11.3, a tough matchup vs MIN, with a rising role.
Malik Washington projects 11.3 points on a 5.6–15.0 range. The matchup grades as tough against MIN. Usage: targets / game at 3.8. Net: start Malik Washington this week.
Working against Washington: Low target share (14% target share), Thin volume (3.8 targets/g).
Where Washington leads the head-to-head: Projection (11.3 vs 10.7); Floor (5.6 vs 5.1); Ceiling (15.0 vs 12.2); Target share (14% vs 11%); Last 3 avg (8.7 vs 5.2); Last 5 avg (7.9 vs 7.1); vs season (+0.9 vs -1.8); Consistency (50% vs 16%); Boom rate (24% vs 15%); Bust rate (12% vs 31%); Targets / game (3.8 vs 3.7); Snap share (57% vs 48%); Red zone targets (11 vs 7).
Why Ryan Flournoy
Sit Ryan Flournoy — projects 10.7, a tough matchup vs HOU.
Ryan Flournoy projects 10.7 points on a 5.1–12.2 range. The matchup grades as tough against HOU. Usage: targets / game at 3.7. Net: bench Ryan Flournoy this week.
Working against Flournoy: Low target share (11% target share), Thin volume (3.7 targets/g).
Where Flournoy leads the head-to-head: Matchup grade (recency weighted) (D- vs F); Implied team total (22.8 vs 14.0).
Recent form
Malik Washington's last 5 games: PPR points 1.5, 11.8, 6.3, 8.7, 11.1 (oldest to newest).
Ryan Flournoy's last 4 games: PPR points 12.8, 4.2, 7.3, 4.2 (oldest to newest).
Washington has already beaten Flournoy's 10.7 projection in 2 of his 5; Flournoy has beaten Washington's 11.3 in 1 of his 4.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Malik Washington (MIA) faces MIN, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 14.0, spread +10.5.
Ryan Flournoy (DAL) faces HOU, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 22.8, spread +3.0.
What flips it
Washington's edge is 0.6 points (11.3 to 10.7). Flournoy's ceiling (12.2) clears Washington's projection, so a big game from Flournoy flips it. Washington's floor (5.6) sits under Flournoy's projection, so a quiet game from Washington flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
More Malik Washington comparisons
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- Emeka Egbuka or Malik Washington11.4 · 11.3
- Malik Washington or Tre Tucker11.3 · 11.5
- Malik Washington or Wan'Dale Robinson11.3 · 10.8
More Ryan Flournoy comparisons
- Makai Lemon or Ryan Flournoy10.7 · 10.7
- Michael Pittman or Ryan Flournoy10.7 · 10.7
- Ryan Flournoy or Wan'Dale Robinson10.7 · 10.8
- Kalif Raymond or Ryan Flournoy10.5 · 10.7
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Jakobi Meyers or Khalil Shakir11.8 · 11.9
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)