Flournoy
WR · DAL vs ARI
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points9.1pts
Waddle
WR · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Chest
Projected points7.7ptsUsage estimate
9.6 if he plays · 80% to play
Toss-up
Bench
Jaylen Waddle or Ryan Flournoy: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Ryan Flournoy gets the nod over Jaylen Waddle.
- Ahead by
- +1.4pts
- over Waddle
- Confidence
- Lower
- Jaylen Waddle may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 46%
- of leagues
Waddle's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
An injury tag on Ryan Flournoy or a bigger role for Jaylen Waddle.
Risk
Jaylen Waddle was limited in practice (chest): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 1:00 PM ET
Highlights
FlournoyToss-upWR · DAL vs ARIUsually 9.1+0.0pts this week
Helps him
- +1.0ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.31 touchdowns, above his usual 0.14.
- 30.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 30.8 points, a high scoring spot.
- +4.3last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 4.3 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- −0.7ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 36.5 receiving yards, below his usual 43.4.
- softestper targetEdgeARI allows few WR chances because few passes go to receivers against them; per target they’re soft (2.00 pts, softest).
- 5.8floorA quiet week could drop to about 5.8 points.
WaddleFirst outWR · DEN vs KCUsually 9.1−1.4pts this week
Helps him
- +1.8ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 1.9 points off his projection.
- −0.9ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- KCvs WRsEdgeKC is the 7th toughest defense for receivers.
- 66%snapsHe plays only 66% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionFlournoy: 9.1 (best)Waddle: 7.7
TD pointsof the projectionFlournoy: 1.9Waddle: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekFlournoy: 0.31Waddle: Our estimate
Projected team pointsFlournoy: 30.8 (best)Waddle: 19.8
Red zone targetsper gameFlournoy: 1.1 (best)Waddle: 0.7
Role
Snap shareFlournoy: 74% (best)Waddle: 66%
Usage worthptsFlournoy: 9.6Waddle: 10.9 (best)
Target shareFlournoy: 15%Waddle: 23% (best)
Targets / gameFlournoy: 5.7Waddle: 6.4 (best)
Air yards shareFlournoy: 13%Waddle: 37% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsFlournoy: In lineWaddle: In line
WOPRFlournoy: 0.31Waddle: 0.60 (best)
RZ target shareFlournoy: 17% (best)Waddle: 15%
Catch rateFlournoy: 68% (best)Waddle: 58%
SeparationFlournoy: 3.5 ydsWaddle: 3.7 yds (best)
YAC over expectedFlournoy: −0.3Waddle: +0.5 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredScored 9.1Flournoy: Earned by usage 9.6Waddle: Earned by usage 10.9
Vacated targets this weekFlournoy: 0.0Waddle: 3.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareFlournoy: 13% (best)Waddle: 0%
Range
FloorFlournoy: 5.8 (best)Waddle: 4.7
CeilingFlournoy: 13.8 (best)Waddle: 12.8
Points from TDssteadier when lowerFlournoy: 10%Waddle: 9%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Flournoy: 0%Waddle: 14% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterFlournoy: 29% (best)Waddle: 57%
SteadinessFlournoy: Steady (best)±4.6 pts · 7 gamesWaddle: Up & down±6.9 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionFlournoy: B- (best)2026, 7 gmWaddle: D2026, 6 gm
Game scriptFlournoy: Expected to lead (best)Waddle: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterFlournoy: 1.1 (best)Waddle: 1.7
Defense funnelFlournoy: PassWaddle: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedFlournoy: 21st (average) (best)Waddle: 12th (average)
Starting QBFlournoy: Prescott (Active)Waddle: Nix (Active)
Opp defender outFlournoy: None listedWaddle: Norman-Lott (DT)
Roof / surfaceFlournoy: Retractable roofturfWaddle: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleFlournoy: NormalWaddle: Normal
Opp paceFlournoy: 2nd (fast) (best)Waddle: 24th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameFlournoy: 3.115th (average)Waddle: 3.2 (best)17th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedFlournoy: 60% (best)11th (average)Waddle: 57%5th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgFlournoy: 13.3 (best)Waddle: 6.7
Last 5 avgFlournoy: 10.4 (best)Waddle: 8.2
vs seasonFlournoy: +4.3 (Rising) (best)Waddle: −2.5 (Cooling)
Yards per route runFlournoy: 1.46Waddle: 1.62 (best)
Receiving aDOTFlournoy: 6.8Waddle: 10.1
Target share trendFlournoy: SteadyWaddle: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesFlournoy: 47% (best)Waddle: 43%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterFlournoy: WR41 (best)Waddle: WR48
Yards linereceivingFlournoy: 36.5Waddle: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.