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Week8 · 2026

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Scoring

New comparison

Allgeier

RB · ARI @ DAL

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Toe

Projected points5.9ptsUsage estimate

7.3 if he plays · 80% to play

Lloyd

RB · GB vs CAR

FinalGB 27 – 19 CAR

Final points2.6pts

projected 5.0

MarShawn Lloyd or Tyler Allgeier: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

MarShawn Lloyd already played (2.6 pts, final). If he's in your lineup, those points are banked; if not, he can't help you this week. Compare Tyler Allgeier with your other options.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 2:00 PM ET

AllgeierRB · ARI @ DALUsually 6.9−1.0pts this week

Helps him

+0.6ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.

Hurts him

−1.4ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 1.4 points off his projection.
21%touchesHe handles only 21% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
+7.0spreadEdgeHis team is expected to trail, which can cut his carries.

LloydRB · GB vs CARUsually 7.0−2.0pts this week

Helps him

CARvs RBsEdgeCAR is the 5th softest defense for running backs.
+0.7last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 0.7 points above his season average.

Hurts him

−1.3ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.21 touchdowns, below his usual 0.43.
−0.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 4.5 receiving yards, below his usual 10.0.
22%touchesHe handles only 22% of his team’s touches, so the work is shared.
2.9floorA quiet week could drop to about 2.9 points.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection5.95.0

TD pointsof the projectionOur estimate1.3

Expected TDsthis weekOur estimate0.21

Projected team points23.825.5

Goal line carriesper game0.30.4

Red zone carriesper game1.71.9

Red zone targetsper game0.40.4

Role

Snap share52%38%

Usage worthpts8.98.6

Touch share21%22%

Target share6%7%

Touches / game11.09.4

Targets / game2.42.3

Vacated touches this week0.010.2

High value touches / game3.12.7

Goal line carry share25%33%

Red zone touches / game2.12.3

Rush success rate31%31%

Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)1.6%0%

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 8.9Scored 6.9Earned by usage 8.6Scored 7.0

Rush yards / game25.120.3

Points from rushing49%53%

Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBelowAbove

WOPR0.080.09

RZ target share5%8%

Inside 10 target share0%11%

Catch rate94%75%

Rushing points / game3.4 pts / game3.7 pts / game

Rushing floor2.1 pts / game2.8 pts / game

Range

Floor3.82.9

Ceiling8.67.5

Points from TDssteadier when lower13%37%

Big weeks (20+ pts)0%0%

Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is better71%50%

SteadinessVery steady±3.3 pts · 7 gamesUp & down±5.5 pts · 6 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his positionA+2026, 7 gmA2026, 6 gm

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to lead

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better0.61.2

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp rush yds allowed31st (soft)32nd (soft)

Backfield roleCommitteeCommittee

Opp defender outBullard (DE)Phillips (LB)

Roof / surfaceRetractable roofturfOpengrass

Rest / scheduleNormalShort week (4d)

Opp pace9th (fast)6th (fast)

Opp stuff rate16%24th (soft)12%30th (soft)

Opp yards per carry allowed4.425th (soft)5.231st (soft)

Opp pass yds allowed15th (average)6th (tough)

Opp deep targets allowed / game1st (tough)0.00.0

Opp catch rate allowed80%18th (average)74%11th (average)

Starting QBBrissett (Active)Love (Active)

Form

Last 3 avg5.87.7

Last 5 avg7.07.4

vs season−1.1 (Cooling)+0.7 (Rising)

Yards per carry2.92.6

Carries / game8.77.7

Yards per route run0.791.00

Receiving aDOT−2.1−0.7

Touch share trendSteadySteady

Crowd

Nuvela position ranklower is betterRB40RB48

Yards linerushingOur estimate16.5

Deciding on someone else?

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