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Sit or start?
Week7 · 2026
Scoring

Updated Sat 24 Oct, 2:14 AM ET

Bench
QBATL

Michael Penix Jr.

Atlanta Falcons

vs San Francisco 49ersSun 1:00 PM ET

Projected
15.1pts
Week rank
QB19
Started
—

Range this weekFrom posted lines

Floor 12.1Ceiling 22.3

QBATL vs SFQB1915.1 projected (12.1–22.3)PPR

Should I start Michael Penix Jr in Week 7?

Sit Michael Penix Jr in Week 7.

Penix projects 15.1 PPR points to Tyler Shough’s 16.4.

Measured against the QB12 start line: Tyler Shough, QB12 at 16.4 projected PPR points, the last quarterback inside it.

ConfidenceModerateLean · 1.3 pts

Edge

Shough has more points with his legs (2.1 a game to 0.1).

Why

He drops back 42.7 times a game.

What flips it

If the weather in Tyler Shough's game turns worse, start Michael Penix Jr.

Why Michael Penix Jr.

Sit Michael Penix Jr., 1.3 pts behind Tyler Shough.

Working for Penix: More rushing TD chances (0.10 vs 0.00 usual).

Working against Penix: Pass rush pressure (27% pressure rate), Shaky floor (12.1 floor).

Matchup

Michael Penix Jr. (ATL) faces SF, kickoff Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. His team projects 23.5 points. It projects as a close game.

Recent form

Michael Penix Jr.'s last 5 games: PPR points 2025 Wk 11 · 7.9, Wk 3 · 14.0, Wk 4 · 12.7, Wk 5 · 14.4, Wk 6 · 23.1 (oldest to newest).

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Compare Michael Penix Jr with…

The players closest to Michael Penix Jr in this week’s PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.

Michael Penix JrQB19 · 15.1 proj

Pick 1 to 4 players to compare with Penix.

Closest calls

More close calls for Penix

More QB start/sit callsQuarterbacks this week: the Week 7 QB rankings and all 202 calls

Stats behind the call

Each of Penix’s figures beside the QB12 start line. Blue means he’s ahead of it.

StatPenixBenchvs SFQB12 lineShough · vs PIT
Scoring
ProjectionPenix: 15.1Shough: 16.4
TD pointsof the projectionPenix: 0.6Shough: 1.3
Expected TDsthis weekPenix: 0.10Shough: 0.21
Projected team pointsPenix: 23.5 (ahead of the line)Shough: 20.8
Goal line carriesper gamePenix: 0.0Shough: 0.7
Red zone carriesper gamePenix: 0.3Shough: 1.2
Pass attempts / gamePenix: 27.5Shough: 39.2
Range
Last 5 games PPR pointsQB12 line 16.4Avg 14.4Michael Penix Jr.’s last 5 games in PPR points, oldest to newest: 2025 Week 11, 7.9; Week 3, 14.0; Week 4, 12.7; Week 5, 14.4; Week 6, 23.1. Week 7 projection 15.1. The QB12 start line is 16.4.
FloorPenix: 12.1Shough: 13.9
CeilingPenix: 22.3 (ahead of the line)Shough: 21.9
Points from TDssteadier when lowerPenix: 0%Shough: 11%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Penix: 0%Shough: 17%
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterPenix: 22%Shough: 17%
SteadinessPenix: Very steady±6.4 pts (ahead of the line)Shough: Steady±9.9 pts · 6 games

Michael Penix Jr player props

Hit rates, game log and usage: Michael Penix Jr props.

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