Gordon
RB · MIA vs MIN
Proj pts
7.6pts
market
Sanders
RB · CLE vs PIT
Proj pts
7pts
market
Ollie Gordon II or Raheim Sanders: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Ollie Gordon II over Raheim Sanders by 0.6. Ollie Gordon II leads at 7.6. Raheim Sanders is the first one out, 0.6 short.
Crowd: 44% of managers started Gordon.
Availability & news
Raheim Sanders
Sanders caught his sole target for seven yards, had two rushes for four yards and returned two kickoffs for 50 yards in Sunday's 23-19 win over the Buccaneers.(rotowire, Sep 22, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Big-play upside40% boom weeks
Cons
- Committee back10% of touches
- Low team total14.0 team total
Pros
- Goal-line back1.0 GL carries/g
- Reliable86% consistency
Cons
- Committee back4% of touches
- Low team total18.0 team total
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is consistency: Gordon 11%, Sanders 86%.
Sanders: “Sanders caught his sole target for seven yards, had two rushes for four yards and returned two kickoffs for 50 yards in Sunday's 23-19 win over the Buccaneers.” — RotoWire, Sep 22, 2026.
Latest game on the card: Gordon 14.5, Sanders 9.1 (PPR points).
Why Ollie Gordon II
Start Ollie Gordon II — projects 7.6, a tough matchup vs MIN, with a rising role.
Ollie Gordon II projects 7.6 points on a 3.6–12.1 range. The matchup grades as tough against MIN. Usage: carries / game at 4.1. Net: start Ollie Gordon II this week.
Working for Gordon: Big-play upside (40% boom weeks).
Working against Gordon: Committee back (10% of touches), Low team total (14.0 team total).
Where Gordon leads the head-to-head: Projection (7.6 vs 7.0); Ceiling (12.1 vs 7.0); Touch share (10% vs 4%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (D+ vs D); Last 3 avg (5.8 vs 5.6); vs season (-0.2 vs -0.3); Boom rate (40% vs 0%); Goal line carries (6 vs 4); Red zone carries (19 vs 7).
Why Raheim Sanders
Sit Raheim Sanders — projects 7.0, a tough matchup vs PIT.
Raheim Sanders projects 7.0 points on a 4.6–7.0 range. The matchup grades as tough against PIT. Usage: carries / game at 6.8. Net: bench Raheim Sanders this week.
Working for Sanders: Goal-line back (1.0 GL carries/g), Reliable (86% consistency).
Working against Sanders: Committee back (4% of touches), Low team total (18.0 team total).
Where Sanders leads the head-to-head: Floor (4.6 vs 3.6); Opportunity score (5.8 vs 3.3); Implied team total (18.0 vs 14.0); Last 5 avg (5.0 vs 3.8); Consistency (86% vs 11%); Bust rate (0% vs 50%); Carries / game (6.8 vs 4.1); Touches / game (7.5 vs 4.5); Target share (4% vs 2%); Yards per carry (3.4 vs 2.8); Snap share (26% vs 22%).
Recent form
Ollie Gordon II's last 5 games: PPR points 0.9, 1, 2.1, 0.7, 14.5 (oldest to newest).
Raheim Sanders's last 5 games: PPR points 4.1, 4.3, 5.6, 2.1, 9.1 (oldest to newest).
Gordon has already beaten Sanders's 7 projection in 1 of his 5; Sanders has beaten Gordon's 7.6 in 1 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Ollie Gordon II (MIA) faces MIN, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 14.0, spread +10.5.
Raheim Sanders (CLE) faces PIT, kickoff Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 18.0, spread +2.5.
What flips it
Gordon's edge is 0.6 points (7.6 to 7). Gordon's floor (3.6) sits under Sanders's projection, so a quiet game from Gordon flips it. Confidence in the call: moderate.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Omarion Hampton or Tony Pollard12.1 · 12.1
- Alvin Kamara or Quinshon Judkins17.8 · 17.8
- Emanuel Wilson or Jadarian Price9.8 · 9.7
- Bhayshul Tuten or David Montgomery17.0 · 17.1
- Ashton Jeanty or Jeremiyah Love22.6 · 22.4
- Christian McCaffrey or Jonathan Taylor28.2 · 28.4
- More RB start/sit calls (running backs this week)