Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Start if active

Rice

WR · KC @ DEN

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Hamstring

Projected points11.8pts

if he plays · 80% to play

First out

Virgil

WR · ARI @ DAL

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points7.3ptsUsage estimate

Start if active

Bench

Rashee Rice or Reggie Virgil: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean Rashee Rice over Reggie Virgil.

Ahead by: +4.5pts; over Virgil if he plays
Confidence: Moderate; Rashee Rice may not play (about 80% to play)
Started: 47%; of leagues

Virgil's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Flips if

If Rashee Rice is ruled out before Reggie Virgil's game starts, start Reggie Virgil.

Risk

Rashee Rice was limited in practice (hamstring): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Rashee Rice missed his last 2 games (hamstring). The Week 8 injury report isn't out yet. As of Fri 1:00 PM ET

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 1:00 PM ET

RiceStart if activeWR · KC @ DENUsually 12.7−0.9pts this week

Helps him

OutEllissEdgeHe faces a Broncos defense without linebacker Jonah Elliss.
15.8last weekHe caught 7 for 88 yards in Week 3 (15.8 points).

Hurts him

−1.2ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 51.5 receiving yards, below his usual 63.3.
4.2per gameHe sees only 4.2 targets a game.
toughestper targetEdgeDEN allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.41 pts, toughest).

VirgilFirst outWR · ARI @ DALUsually 1.6+5.7pts this week

Helps him

+3.4ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
+2.5ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.

Hurts him

+7.0spreadEdgeHis team is expected to trail by 7.0.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection11.87.3

TD pointsof the projection2.0Our estimate

Expected TDsthis week0.34Our estimate

Projected team points20.823.8

Red zone targetsper game1.00.3

Role

Snap share62%9%

Usage worthpts7.73.0

Target share15%4%

Targets / game4.31.7

Air yards share15%6%

Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsIn line1 RZ target

WOPR0.350.09

RZ target share19%4%

Catch rate76%40%

Separation4.2 yds1.0 yds

YAC over expected+1.7+2.2

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 7.7Scored 9.5Earned by usage 3.0Scored 1.6

Vacated targets this week3.83.3

Inside 10 target share0%6%

Range

Floor7.64.0

Ceiling18.912.1

Points from TDssteadier when lower16%0%

Big weeks (20+ pts)29%3 games

Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is better0%3 games

SteadinessVery steady±7.3 pts3 games

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmDB+

Game scriptExpected to leadExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.40.6

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed17th (average)15th (average)

Starting QBMahomes (Active)Brissett (Active)

Opp defender outElliss (LB)Bullard (DE)

Roof / surfaceOpengrassRetractable roofturf

Rest / scheduleNormalNormal

Opp pace30th (slow)9th (fast)

Opp deep targets allowed / game3.319th (average)4.629th (soft)

Opp catch rate allowed54%2nd (tough)65%25th (soft)

Form

Last 3 avg9.41.6

Last 5 avg9.51.6

vs season−0.1Cooling

Yards per route run2.471.93

Receiving aDOT7.412.6

Target share trendLeft Week 4 hurtSteady

Games since injury0None recently

Crowd

Started in leagues47%Not widely started

Nuvela position ranklower is betterWR22WR53

Yards linereceiving51.5Our estimate

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