Williams
WR · WAS vs PHI
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET
Projected points8.7pts
Virgil
WR · ARI @ DAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points7.3ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Antonio Williams or Reggie Virgil: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Antonio Williams gets the nod over Reggie Virgil.
- Ahead by
- +1.4pts
- over Virgil
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
- Started
- 41%
- of leagues
Virgil's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Flips if
Start Reggie Virgil instead if you want an offense expected to score more (23.8 points to 23.0).
Risk
The risk: Virgil faces a Cowboys defense without defensive end Jonathan Bullard.
Highlights
WilliamsToss-upWR · WAS vs PHIUsually 7.4+1.3pts this week
Helps him
- +1.2pts2 linesTouchdowns 0.28 (usual 0.17) and catches 3.5 (usual 3.0) both sit above his usual.
- PHIvs WRsEdgePHI is the 8th softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- 2ndlowest totalEdgeHe plays in the 2nd lowest scoring game on the slate.
VirgilFirst outWR · ARI @ DALUsually 1.6+5.7pts this week
Helps him
- +3.4ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
- +2.5ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
Hurts him
- +7.0spreadEdgeHis team is expected to trail by 7.0.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionWilliams: 8.7 (best)Virgil: 7.3
TD pointsof the projectionWilliams: 1.7Virgil: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekWilliams: 0.28Virgil: Our estimate
Projected team pointsWilliams: 23.0Virgil: 23.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameWilliams: 0.3Virgil: 0.3
Role
Snap shareWilliams: 55% (best)Virgil: 9%
Usage worthptsWilliams: 7.3 (best)Virgil: 3.0
Target shareWilliams: 14% (best)Virgil: 4%
Targets / gameWilliams: 4.3 (best)Virgil: 1.7
Air yards shareWilliams: 18% (best)Virgil: 6%
WOPRWilliams: 0.32 (best)Virgil: 0.09
RZ target shareWilliams: 10% (best)Virgil: 4%
Catch rateWilliams: 69% (best)Virgil: 40%
SeparationWilliams: 2.2 yds (best)Virgil: 1.0 yds
YAC over expectedWilliams: −0.8Virgil: +2.2 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredWilliams: Earned by usage 7.3Scored 7.4Virgil: Earned by usage 3.0Scored 1.6
Vacated targets this weekWilliams: 5.9 (best)Virgil: 3.3
Inside 10 target shareWilliams: 8% (best)Virgil: 6%
Range
FloorWilliams: 5.4 (best)Virgil: 4.0
CeilingWilliams: 13.3 (best)Virgil: 12.1
Points from TDssteadier when lowerWilliams: 14%Virgil: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Williams: 0%Virgil: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterWilliams: 67%Virgil: 3 games
SteadinessWilliams: Steady±4.6 pts · 6 gamesVirgil: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmWilliams: BVirgil: B+ (best)
Game scriptWilliams: Expected to lead (best)Virgil: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterWilliams: 0.4 (best)Virgil: 0.6
Defense funnelWilliams: NeutralVirgil: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedWilliams: 24th (soft) (best)Virgil: 15th (average)
Starting QBWilliams: Daniels (Active)Virgil: Brissett (Active)
Opp defender outWilliams: None listedVirgil: Bullard (DE)
Roof / surfaceWilliams: OpengrassVirgil: Retractable roofturf
Rest / scheduleWilliams: Off a byeVirgil: Normal
Opp paceWilliams: 27th (slow)Virgil: 9th (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameWilliams: 3.319th (average)Virgil: 4.6 (best)29th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedWilliams: 59%10th (tough)Virgil: 65% (best)25th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgWilliams: 6.4 (best)Virgil: 1.6
Last 5 avgWilliams: 5.6 (best)Virgil: 1.6
vs seasonWilliams: −1.0 (Cooling)Virgil: Cooling (best)
Yards per route runWilliams: 1.74Virgil: 1.93 (best)
Receiving aDOTWilliams: 11.7Virgil: 12.6
Target share trendWilliams: CoolingVirgil: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesWilliams: 41%Virgil: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterWilliams: WR43 (best)Virgil: WR53
Yards linereceivingWilliams: 35.0Virgil: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.