Virgil
WR · ARI @ DAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points7.3ptsUsage estimate
Johnston
WR · LAC @ LA
Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET
Projected points7.6ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Quentin Johnston or Reggie Virgil: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Reggie Virgil gets the nod over Quentin Johnston.
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
Case for Johnston
The case for Johnston is more upside (a ceiling of 13.8 to 12.1) and more of the snaps (81% to 9%).
Flips if
Start Quentin Johnston instead if you want more of the snaps (81% to 9%).
Risk
Quentin Johnston has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games.
Highlights
VirgilToss-upWR · ARI @ DALUsually 1.6+5.7pts this week
Helps him
- +3.4ptspaceMost players at his position produce more than he has, so we expect him to bounce back some.
- +2.5ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
Hurts him
- +7.0spreadEdgeHis team is expected to trail by 7.0.
JohnstonFirst outWR · LAC @ LAUsually 5.0+2.7pts this week
Helps him
- +3.2ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
Hurts him
- 15%targetsHe draws only 15% of his team’s targets.
- 4.4per gameHe sees only 4.4 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionVirgil: 7.3Johnston: 7.6 (best)
Projected team pointsVirgil: 23.8 (best)Johnston: 19.3
Red zone targetsper gameVirgil: 0.3 (best)Johnston: 0.0
Role
Snap shareVirgil: 9%Johnston: 81% (best)
Usage worthptsVirgil: 3.0Johnston: 7.4 (best)
Target shareVirgil: 4%Johnston: 15% (best)
Targets / gameVirgil: 1.7Johnston: 4.4 (best)
Air yards shareVirgil: 6%Johnston: 25% (best)
WOPRVirgil: 0.09Johnston: 0.40 (best)
RZ target shareVirgil: 4% (best)Johnston: 0%
Catch rateVirgil: 40% (best)Johnston: 36%
SeparationVirgil: 1.0 ydsJohnston: 2.9 yds (best)
YAC over expectedVirgil: +2.2 (best)Johnston: −1.3
Usage worth vs scoredVirgil: Earned by usage 3.0Scored 1.6Johnston: Earned by usage 7.4Scored 5.0
Vacated targets this weekVirgil: 3.3Johnston: 4.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareVirgil: 6% (best)Johnston: 0%
Range
FloorVirgil: 4.0Johnston: 4.0
CeilingVirgil: 12.1Johnston: 13.8 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerVirgil: 0%Johnston: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Virgil: 3 gamesJohnston: 8%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterVirgil: 3 gamesJohnston: 61%
SteadinessVirgil: 3 gamesJohnston: Up & down±6.1 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmVirgil: B+ (best)Johnston: C
Game scriptVirgil: Expected to trailJohnston: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterVirgil: 0.6 (best)Johnston: 0.9
Defense funnelVirgil: NeutralJohnston: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedVirgil: 15th (average) (best)Johnston: 4th (tough)
Starting QBVirgil: Brissett (Active)Johnston: Herbert (Active)
Opp defender outVirgil: Bullard (DE)Johnston: None listed
Roof / surfaceturfVirgil: Retractable roofJohnston: Dome
Rest / scheduleVirgil: NormalJohnston: Off a bye
Opp paceVirgil: 9th (fast)Johnston: 3rd (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameVirgil: 4.6 (best)29th (soft)Johnston: 2.15th (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedVirgil: 65% (best)25th (soft)Johnston: 53%1st (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgVirgil: 1.6Johnston: 6.2 (best)
Last 5 avgVirgil: 1.6Johnston: 5.0 (best)
vs seasonVirgil: CoolingJohnston: +1.3 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runVirgil: 1.93 (best)Johnston: 1.31
Receiving aDOTVirgil: 12.6Johnston: 14.0
Target share trendVirgil: SteadyJohnston: Steady
Games since injuryVirgil: None recentlyJohnston: 1
Crowd
Nuvela position ranklower is betterVirgil: WR53Johnston: WR50 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.