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Sit or StartSoon
MLBSoon
Jalen Brunson headshot
G#11

JalenBrunson

Points 26.5
New York KnicksNew York Knicks
vs SASTonight 8:30 PM ETMadison Square Garden
Jalen Brunson headshot
G#11

JalenBrunson

Points 26.5(O -117 · U -110)
New York KnicksNew York Knicks
vs SASTonight 8:30 PM ETMadison Square Garden

What the line assumes

A 26.5-point line puts Brunson right around his typical scoring night — close to a coin-flip.

Median PPG: 26Line: 26.5

All player props

Every line available for Jalen tonight, with how often he cleared it across his recent games.

Prop summary

Consensus line

26.5

4 of 7 books agree

Updated 42 min ago

Nuvela projection

25.3

4.5% below the line

Season hit rate

47/95

above the line · 49%

Recent output relative to line

Last 10 games · sufficient sample
35
26
33
22
38
19
30
15
30
20
26.5
25.3
5/45/65/85/105/195/215/235/256/36/5
Tonight
Consensus line
26.5O -117 · U -110
Over win%
5/1050%
Median
28
Projection
25.3Tonight
Explore line26.5

Distribution by time window

WindowGPMedianOver win%
L5520
2/5
40%
L101028
5/10
50%
L202027
10/20
50%
Season9526
47/95
49%

Research context for tonight

AI-generated
2 factors in playmatchup is the swing variable

Tough matchupSAS 8th vs guards · pace +0.5 vs league

SAS is a top-8 defense against guards.

Matchup & pace

Rest & venue4 days rest · +0.6 pts on rest

On 4 days rest, Brunson averages +0.6 points vs his season norm.

Rest & schedule

Injury analysis

AI-generated

One injury factor into tonight's number — Garcia's status is the biggest swing.

LOW impact
David Jones GarciaSAS · Out (Ankle)
Matchup

Custom Splits

Interactive

Layer conditions to filter the sample. Median and over win% update live; below 8 games the sample is flagged as thin.

Location
Opp defense
Rest
Teammate
Any teammate
WithWithout
Matching games95
Median26
Over win%49%

Most similar games this season

AI-matched

Tonight's matchup has historically resembled these games most closely — matched on opponent defensive rank, team pace, rest days, and venue.

12/16vs SAS3d rest · def #3 · home25
12/25vs CLE4d rest · def #15 · home34
5/4vs PHI4d rest · def #17 · home35
10/2vs PHIrest n/a · def #17 · home6
10/9vs MIN5d rest · def #8 · home11
5-game comp set average22.2 points · 2 of 5 above 26.5

San Antonio defense by position

San Antonio's defensive ranking against each position over the last 15 games. Jalen plays G.

PosRankPtsAstReb
PG321.16.95.8
SG1431.97.59.4
SF1225.55.19.1
PF519.43.78.7
C1318.04.011.3

Similar guards vs San Antonio · recently

L15 games

Lead guards in high-usage roles, their most recent matchup against San Antonio.

PlayerDateMinPointsvs 26.5
SC
S. CurryGS
11/143649above
LB
L. BallCHA
3/142217below
TM
T. MaxeyPHI
4/64015below
CW
C. WhiteCHA
3/142618below
JM
J. MurrayDEN
4/44615below
DG
D. GarlandLAC
4/22911below

Injury report

NYK· New York Knicks
SAS· SAS
Jones GarciaAnkle
OUT

Game log · season

most recent first
DateMatchupScoreMinLinePointsO/UPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKFGRestDefPace
6/5PO@ SASW105-1043825.520Under20562507-2528%2d#3100.7
6/3PO@ SASW105-953725.530Over303220012-3139%9d#3100.7
5/25PO@ CLEW130-933126.515Under15252006-1443%2d#15100.7
5/23PO@ CLEW121-1084126.530Over303601010-1953%2d#15100.7
5/21POvs CLEW109-934027.519Under193141007-1644%2d#15100.7
5/19POvs CLEW115-1044626.538Over385613015-2952%9d#15100.7
5/10PO@ PHIW144-1142827.522Under22466008-1747%2d#17100.4
5/8PO@ PHIW108-943826.533Over335930011-2250%2d#17100.4
5/6POvs PHIW108-1024126.526Under26161109-2143%2d#17100.4
5/4POvs PHIW137-983126.535Over351332012-1867%4d#17100.4
4/30PO@ ATLW140-892926.517Under17281206-1250%2d#10102.5
4/28POvs ATLW126-973526.539Over393830015-2365%3d#10102.5
4/25PO@ ATLW114-983427.519Under19033107-1839%2d#10102.5
4/23PO@ ATLL108-1094026.526Under263402011-2348%3d#10102.5
4/20POvs ATLL106-1073526.529Over292740010-2638%2d#10102.5
4/18POvs ATLW113-1023627.528Over28573109-2241%8d#10102.5
4/10vs TORW112-953123.529Over293222012-1867%1d#599.2
4/9vs BOSW112-1063724.525Over2511020010-1953%3d#495.6
4/6@ ATLW108-1053925.530Over3031332011-2642%3d#10102.5
4/3vs CHIW136-963027.517Under171101006-1346%3d#22103.2
3/31@ HOUL94-1113723.512Under12681105-1436%2d#697.0
3/29@ OKCL100-1113723.532Over325540013-2259%3d#1100.4
3/26@ CHAL103-1144026.526Under2621301010-2343%2d#1197.6
3/24vs NOPW121-11639—32—321720011-1958%2d#23101.4
3/22vs WASW145-1132824.523Under23042109-1947%2d#30102.5
3/20@ BKNW93-924123.517Under17581207-1937%5d#2597.6
3/15vs GSWW110-1073624.530Over30192219-2045%2d#16100.0
3/13@ INDW101-923729.529Under295901011-2544%2d#24101.8
3/11@ UTAW134-1173326.528Over28484307-1644%2d#29103.5
3/9@ LACL118-1263824.528Over284821012-2352%1d#1897.3
3/8@ LALL97-1104226.524Under24673008-1942%2d#2099.2
3/6@ DENW142-1033426.59Under93151103-1323%2d#2199.5
3/4vs OKCL100-1033923.516Under163152105-1828%1d#1100.4
3/3@ TORW111-953725.526Over2621021010-2245%2d#599.2
3/1vs SASW114-893226.524Under24474007-1644%2d#3100.7
2/27@ MILW127-983126.527Over277340011-1765%3d#2698.3
2/24@ CLEL94-1093625.520Under20143016-1932%2d#15100.7
2/22@ CHIW105-993626.519Under19591017-1937%1d#22103.2
2/21vs HOUW108-1063625.520Under20360006-1250%2d#697.0
2/19vs DETL111-1263826.533Over336832012-2060%8d#299.9
2/11@ PHIW138-893026.58Under8442003-650%1d#17100.4
2/10vs INDL134-1374227.540Over405841015-3148%2d#24101.8
2/8@ BOSW111-893325.531Over313840012-2157%2d#495.6
2/6@ DETL80-1183129.512Under12440204-2020%2d#299.9
2/4vs DENW134-1274725.542Over428952014-2752%1d#2199.5
2/3@ WASW132-1013125.521Under21141207-1644%2d#30102.5
2/1vs LALW112-1003726.512Under127132104-1527%2d#2099.2
1/30vs PORW127-973426.526Under26135208-2040%2d#12101.6
1/28@ TORW119-923024.513Under13140015-1338%1d#599.2
1/27vs SACW103-873527.528Over28344019-1753%3d#28100.1
1/24@ PHIW112-1093826.531Over315660011-2446%3d#17100.4
1/21vs BKNW120-663125.520Under20451008-1747%2d#2597.6
1/19vs DALL97-1143427.522Under22061009-2438%5d#19102.6
1/14@ SACL101-112528.54Under4000002-367%3d#28100.1
1/11@ PORW123-1143727.526Under266831010-1953%2d#12101.6
1/9@ PHXL107-1123727.527Under27355009-1947%2d#998.1
1/7vs LACW123-1113328.526Under26374019-1275%2d#1897.3
1/5@ DETL90-1213028.525Under253020010-2148%2d#299.9
1/3vs PHIL119-1303529.531Over314420010-2148%1d#17100.4
1/2vs ATLL99-1113529.524Under242511010-2343%2d#10102.5
12/31@ SASL132-1343628.529Over294852010-2442%2d#3100.7
12/29@ NOPW130-12536—28—2831050010-2343%2d#23101.4
12/27@ ATLW128-1253829.534Over343540015-2952%2d#10102.5
12/25vs CLEW126-1243928.534Over341462010-2540%4d#15100.7
12/21vs MIAW132-1253827.547Over473860015-2658%2d#14104.2
12/19vs PHIL107-1163728.522Under22691007-2232%1d#17100.4
12/18@ INDW114-1133429.525Under257733010-2343%2d#24101.8
12/16vs SASW124-1134130.525Under254810111-2741%3d#3100.7
12/13@ ORLW132-1203928.540Over404821016-2759%4d#13100.6
12/9@ TORW117-1013928.535Over353460113-1968%2d#599.2
12/7vs ORLW106-1003829.530Over302910010-2343%2d#13100.6
12/5vs UTAW146-1123128.533Over33246009-1753%2d#29103.5
12/3vs CHAW119-1043729.526Under26251309-1656%1d#1197.6
12/2@ BOSL117-1233927.515Under152111106-2129%2d#495.6
11/30vs TORW116-943428.518Under18671006-1932%2d#599.2
11/28vs MILW118-1093930.537Over371541012-2157%2d#2698.3
11/26@ CHAW129-1013428.533Over332320014-2850%2d#1197.6
11/24@ BKNW113-1003327.527Under273341010-1953%2d#2597.6
11/22@ ORLL121-1333727.533Over3331130012-2157%3d#13100.6
11/19@ DALW113-1113526.528Over283521111-2348%7d#19102.6
11/12vs ORLL107-1243724.531Over313610010-2343%1d#13100.6
11/11vs MEMW133-1203625.532Over3251060011-1958%2d#27101.7
11/9vs BKNW134-982925.519Under19073006-1443%4d#2597.6
11/5vs MINW137-1143327.523Under237103109-2045%2d#8101.5
11/3vs WASW119-1023226.516Under16191106-1735%1d#30102.5
11/2vs CHIW128-1163227.531Over315342010-2245%2d#22103.2
10/31@ CHIL125-1353526.529Over292730012-2548%3d#22103.2
10/28@ MILL111-1213526.536Over364312014-2556%2d#2698.3
10/26@ MIAL107-1153526.537Over375753014-2654%2d#14104.2
10/24vs BOSW105-953526.531Over313530010-2050%2d#495.6
10/22vs CLEW119-1113424.523Under23451005-1828%5d#15100.7
10/17vs CHAW113-10834—31—317651012-2548%8d#1197.6
10/9vs MINW100-9527—11—11431004-1429%5d#8101.5
10/4@ PHIW113-10417—14—14121205-1050%2d#17100.4
10/2vs PHIW99-8417—6—6040002-825%—#17100.4
Averages34.926.825.725.73.36.62.50.80.146%2.6d#15100.3

Prop odds

Points 26.5 — over/under odds across the market.

Open Line
O 26.5-111
U 26.5-118
Consensus
O 26.5-117
U 26.5-110
DraftKings
O 26.5-117
U 26.5-109
FanDuel
O 26.5-108
U 26.5-118
BetMGM
O 26.5-125
U 26.5-105
BetRivers
O 27.5+112
U 27.5-152
ESPN BET
O 27.5+110
U 27.5-145
Hard Rock Bet
O 26.5-120
U 26.5-110
Bovada
O 31.5+210
U 31.5-290

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