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Home/NBA/Player Props/Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson headshot
G#11
JalenBrunson
Points 28.5
New York KnicksNew York Knicks
@ SASJun 13 · FinalFrost Bank Center
Jalen Brunson headshot
G#11
JalenBrunson
Points 28.5(O -110 · U -120)
New York KnicksNew York Knicks
@ SASJun 13 · FinalFrost Bank Center

Key research points

Jalen Brunson's points line is set at 28.5 for the New York Knicks at San Antonio Spurs (the most recent game). Over the last 10 games he has cleared 28.5 6 times (60%), with a median of 30. Nuvela's data-based projection is 29 points. Research, not a pick.

Sources: Jalen Brunson on NBA.com · NBA Advanced Stats

What the line assumes

A 28.5-point line sits above Brunson's typical scoring night.

Median PPG: 27Line: 28.5

All player props

Every line available for Jalen in his last game, with how often he cleared it across his recent games.

Prop summary

Consensus line

28.5

5 of 7 books agree

Updated June 14

Nuvela projection

29

Based on recent performance & game context

Season hit rate

41/98

above the line · 42%

Recent output relative to line

Last 10 games · sufficient sample
22
38
19
30
15
30
20
32
36
45
28.5
5/105/195/215/235/256/36/56/86/106/13
Consensus line
28.5O -110 · U -120
Over win%
6/1060%
Median
30
Explore line28.5

Distribution by time window

WindowGPMedianOver win%
L5532
4/5
80%
L101030
6/10
60%
L202029
11/20
55%
Season9827
41/98
42%

Research context

AI-generated
1 factor in playmatchup is the swing variable

Tough matchupSAS 8th vs guards · pace +0.5 vs league

SAS is a top-8 defense against guards.

Matchup & pace

Injury analysis

AI-generated

One injury factor into tonight's number — Quaintance's status is the biggest swing.

LOW impact
Jayden QuaintanceSAS · Out (Knee)
Matchup

Custom Splits

Interactive

Layer conditions to filter the sample. Median and over win% update live; below 8 games the sample is flagged as thin.

Location
Opp defense
Rest
Teammate
Any teammate
WithWithout
Matching games98
Median27
Over win%42%

San Antonio defense by position

San Antonio's defensive ranking against each position over the last 15 games. Jalen plays G.

PosRankPtsAstReb
PG321.16.95.8
SG1431.97.59.4
SF1225.55.19.1
PF519.43.78.7
C1318.04.011.3

Similar guards vs San Antonio · recently

L15 games

Lead guards in high-usage roles, their most recent matchup against San Antonio.

PlayerDateMinPointsvs 28.5
SC
S. CurryGS
11/143649above
LB
L. BallCHA
3/142217below
TM
T. MaxeyPHI
4/64015below
CW
C. WhiteCHA
3/142618below
JM
J. MurrayDEN
4/44615below
DG
D. GarlandLAC
4/22911below

Injury report

NYK· New York Knicks
BrunsonWrist
AVA
DiawaraFinger
AVA
SAS· SAS
Jones GarciaAnkle
AVA
QuaintanceKnee
OUT
Reed Jr.Rest
AVA

Game log · season

most recent first
DateMatchupScoreMinLinePointsO/UPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKFGRestDefPace
6/13PO@ SASW94-904128.545Over453342014-2752%3d#3100.7
6/10POvs SASW107-1064427.536Over365733012-2548%2d#3100.7
6/8POvs SASL111-1153526.532Over325530011-2544%3d#3100.7
6/5PO@ SASW105-1043825.520Under20562507-2528%2d#3100.7
6/3PO@ SASW105-953725.530Over303220012-3139%9d#3100.7
5/25PO@ CLEW130-933126.515Under15252006-1443%2d#15100.7
5/23PO@ CLEW121-1084126.530Over303601010-1953%2d#15100.7
5/21POvs CLEW109-934027.519Under193141007-1644%2d#15100.7
5/19POvs CLEW115-1044626.538Over385613015-2952%9d#15100.7
5/10PO@ PHIW144-1142827.522Under22466008-1747%2d#17100.4
5/8PO@ PHIW108-943826.533Over335930011-2250%2d#17100.4
5/6POvs PHIW108-1024126.526Under26161109-2143%2d#17100.4
5/4POvs PHIW137-983126.535Over351332012-1867%4d#17100.4
4/30PO@ ATLW140-892926.517Under17281206-1250%2d#10102.5
4/28POvs ATLW126-973526.539Over393830015-2365%3d#10102.5
4/25PO@ ATLW114-983427.519Under19033107-1839%2d#10102.5
4/23PO@ ATLL108-1094026.526Under263402011-2348%3d#10102.5
4/20POvs ATLL106-1073526.529Over292740010-2638%2d#10102.5
4/18POvs ATLW113-1023627.528Over28573109-2241%8d#10102.5
4/10vs TORW112-953123.529Over293222012-1867%1d#599.2
4/9vs BOSW112-1063724.525Over2511020010-1953%3d#495.6
4/6@ ATLW108-1053925.530Over3031332011-2642%3d#10102.5
4/3vs CHIW136-963027.517Under171101006-1346%3d#22103.2
3/31@ HOUL94-1113723.512Under12681105-1436%2d#697.0
3/29@ OKCL100-1113723.532Over325540013-2259%3d#1100.4
3/26@ CHAL103-1144026.526Under2621301010-2343%2d#1197.6
3/24vs NOPW121-11639—32—321720011-1958%2d#23101.4
3/22vs WASW145-1132824.523Under23042109-1947%2d#30102.5
3/20@ BKNW93-924123.517Under17581207-1937%5d#2597.6
3/15vs GSWW110-1073624.530Over30192219-2045%2d#16100.0
3/13@ INDW101-923729.529Under295901011-2544%2d#24101.8
3/11@ UTAW134-1173326.528Over28484307-1644%2d#29103.5
3/9@ LACL118-1263824.528Over284821012-2352%1d#1897.3
3/8@ LALL97-1104226.524Under24673008-1942%2d#2099.2
3/6@ DENW142-1033426.59Under93151103-1323%2d#2199.5
3/4vs OKCL100-1033923.516Under163152105-1828%1d#1100.4
3/3@ TORW111-953725.526Over2621021010-2245%2d#599.2
3/1vs SASW114-893226.524Under24474007-1644%2d#3100.7
2/27@ MILW127-983126.527Over277340011-1765%3d#2698.3
2/24@ CLEL94-1093625.520Under20143016-1932%2d#15100.7
2/22@ CHIW105-993626.519Under19591017-1937%1d#22103.2
2/21vs HOUW108-1063625.520Under20360006-1250%2d#697.0
2/19vs DETL111-1263826.533Over336832012-2060%8d#299.9
2/11@ PHIW138-893026.58Under8442003-650%1d#17100.4
2/10vs INDL134-1374227.540Over405841015-3148%2d#24101.8
2/8@ BOSW111-893325.531Over313840012-2157%2d#495.6
2/6@ DETL80-1183129.512Under12440204-2020%2d#299.9
2/4vs DENW134-1274725.542Over428952014-2752%1d#2199.5
2/3@ WASW132-1013125.521Under21141207-1644%2d#30102.5
2/1vs LALW112-1003726.512Under127132104-1527%2d#2099.2
1/30vs PORW127-973426.526Under26135208-2040%2d#12101.6
1/28@ TORW119-923024.513Under13140015-1338%1d#599.2
1/27vs SACW103-873527.528Over28344019-1753%3d#28100.1
1/24@ PHIW112-1093826.531Over315660011-2446%3d#17100.4
1/21vs BKNW120-663125.520Under20451008-1747%2d#2597.6
1/19vs DALL97-1143427.522Under22061009-2438%5d#19102.6
1/14@ SACL101-112528.54Under4000002-367%3d#28100.1
1/11@ PORW123-1143727.526Under266831010-1953%2d#12101.6
1/9@ PHXL107-1123727.527Under27355009-1947%2d#998.1
1/7vs LACW123-1113328.526Under26374019-1275%2d#1897.3
1/5@ DETL90-1213028.525Under253020010-2148%2d#299.9
1/3vs PHIL119-1303529.531Over314420010-2148%1d#17100.4
1/2vs ATLL99-1113529.524Under242511010-2343%2d#10102.5
12/31@ SASL132-1343628.529Over294852010-2442%2d#3100.7
12/29@ NOPW130-12536—28—2831050010-2343%2d#23101.4
12/27@ ATLW128-1253829.534Over343540015-2952%2d#10102.5
12/25vs CLEW126-1243928.534Over341462010-2540%4d#15100.7
12/21vs MIAW132-1253827.547Over473860015-2658%2d#14104.2
12/19vs PHIL107-1163728.522Under22691007-2232%1d#17100.4
12/18@ INDW114-1133429.525Under257733010-2343%2d#24101.8
12/16vs SASW124-1134130.525Under254810111-2741%3d#3100.7
12/13@ ORLW132-1203928.540Over404821016-2759%4d#13100.6
12/9@ TORW117-1013928.535Over353460113-1968%2d#599.2
12/7vs ORLW106-1003829.530Over302910010-2343%2d#13100.6
12/5vs UTAW146-1123128.533Over33246009-1753%2d#29103.5
12/3vs CHAW119-1043729.526Under26251309-1656%1d#1197.6
12/2@ BOSL117-1233927.515Under152111106-2129%2d#495.6
11/30vs TORW116-943428.518Under18671006-1932%2d#599.2
11/28vs MILW118-1093930.537Over371541012-2157%2d#2698.3
11/26@ CHAW129-1013428.533Over332320014-2850%2d#1197.6
11/24@ BKNW113-1003327.527Under273341010-1953%2d#2597.6
11/22@ ORLL121-1333727.533Over3331130012-2157%3d#13100.6
11/19@ DALW113-1113526.528Over283521111-2348%7d#19102.6
11/12vs ORLL107-1243724.531Over313610010-2343%1d#13100.6
11/11vs MEMW133-1203625.532Over3251060011-1958%2d#27101.7
11/9vs BKNW134-982925.519Under19073006-1443%4d#2597.6
11/5vs MINW137-1143327.523Under237103109-2045%2d#8101.5
11/3vs WASW119-1023226.516Under16191106-1735%1d#30102.5
11/2vs CHIW128-1163227.531Over315342010-2245%2d#22103.2
10/31@ CHIL125-1353526.529Over292730012-2548%3d#22103.2
10/28@ MILL111-1213526.536Over364312014-2556%2d#2698.3
10/26@ MIAL107-1153526.537Over375753014-2654%2d#14104.2
10/24vs BOSW105-953526.531Over313530010-2050%2d#495.6
10/22vs CLEW119-1113424.523Under23451005-1828%5d#15100.7
10/17vs CHAW113-10834—31—317651012-2548%8d#1197.6
10/9vs MINW100-9527—11—11431004-1429%5d#8101.5
10/4@ PHIW113-10417—14—14121205-1050%2d#17100.4
10/2vs PHIW99-8417—6—6040002-825%—#17100.4
Averages35.026.826.126.13.36.52.50.80.146%2.6d#14100.4

Prop odds

Points 28.5 — over/under odds across the market.

Open Line
O 27.5-118
U 27.5-110
Consensus
O 28.5-110
U 28.5-120
DraftKings
O 28.5-115
U 28.5-110
FanDuel
O 27.5-122
U 27.5-104
BetMGM
O 28.5-120
U 28.5-111
BetRivers
O 28.5-103
U 28.5-134
ESPN BET
O 28.5+100
U 28.5-130
Hard Rock Bet
O 28.5-115
U 28.5-115
Bovada
O 33.5+185
U 33.5-250

Take this research further

Each question opens in the Research Assistant with this player's context pre-loaded.

Common questions

Auto-generated from the data on this page. Research, not picks.

What is Jalen Brunson's points prop?
Jalen Brunson's points line is set at 28.5 for the New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs game (the most recent game). nuvela.ai is research, not a pick.
How often does Jalen Brunson go over 28.5 points?
Over the last 10 games, Jalen Brunson has gone over 28.5 points 6 times (60%).
What does Nuvela project for Jalen Brunson's points?
Nuvela's data-based projection is 29 points, compared with the market line of 28.5. Nuvela surfaces the research behind the line; it does not make picks.

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