A second opinion on every number.
See what the posted lines assume and what the data shows. Then make the call.
Josh AllenStart23.9ptsFloor 17.5Ceiling 34.7
Dak PrescottBench21.7ptsFloor 16.7Ceiling 29.2
- Prop lines compared across sportsbooks
- Updated nightly
- Verified box-score data
Props research
The line, and what is inside it.
Every prop carries an assumption. Each posted line sits beside a projection, so you can see where the two part.
DJ MooreBUFReceptions · vs Ravens
3.0
Nuvela projection
Posted line
4.5
Season range 0–6
Drake LondonATLReceptions · at Buccaneers
5.3
Nuvela projection
Posted line
6.5
Season range 2–9
Ladd McConkeyLACReceptions · at Rams
2.3
Nuvela projection
Posted line
3.5
Season range 0–5
Sit or start
Who are you deciding between?
Add all the players you are torn on. Nuvela ranks them and shows why.
2 to 5 players. Nuvela ranks them and shows why.
Live board
This week’s close calls
Games still to kick off, ranked by projection, head-to-head on the numbers.
Close calls
- QB16QB15TiedBoNixQB · DEN15.8 ptsPatrickMahomesQB · KC15.8 ptsWeek 8 · PPRSee breakdownBo Nix or Patrick Mahomes
- QB7QB80.1 pts apartDrakeMayeQB · NE17.4 ptsKylerMurrayQB · MIN17.4 ptsWeek 8 · PPRSee breakdownDrake Maye or Kyler Murray
- QB4QB50.1 pts apartJaydenDanielsQB · WAS19.3 ptsLamarJacksonQB · BAL19.2 ptsWeek 8 · PPRSee breakdownJayden Daniels or Lamar Jackson
Top 5 quarterbacks
Bars show projected points vs. QB1
- 1JoshAllenBUF23.9 pts
- 2DakPrescottDAL21.7 pts
- 3JoeBurrowCIN21.4 pts
- 4JaydenDanielsWAS19.3 pts
- 5LamarJacksonBAL19.2 pts
Close calls
- RB13RB11TiedAaronJonesRB · MIN15.6 ptsBuckyIrvingRB · TB15.6 ptsWeek 8 · PPRSee breakdownAaron Jones or Bucky Irving
- RB42RB41TiedKennyGainwellRB · TB5.7 ptsKimaniVidalRB · LAC5.7 ptsWeek 8 · PPRSee breakdownKenny Gainwell or Kimani Vidal
- RB6RB7TiedDerrickHenryRB · BAL16.8 ptsKyrenWilliamsRB · LA16.7 ptsWeek 8 · PPRSee breakdownDerrick Henry or Kyren Williams
Top 5 running backs
Bars show projected points vs. RB1
- 1JahmyrGibbsDET23.9 pts
- 2BijanRobinsonATL20.5 pts
- 3KennethWalker IIIKC19.4 pts
- 4D'AndreSwiftCHI17.3 pts
- 5JavonteWilliamsDAL17.1 pts
Close calls
- WR26WR27TiedJamesonWilliamsWR · DET11.0 ptsKCConcepcionWR · CLE11.0 ptsWeek 8 · PPRSee breakdownJameson Williams or KC Concepcion
- WR43WR42TiedKendrickBourneWR · ARI8.8 ptsMakaiLemonWR · PHI8.9 ptsWeek 8 · PPRSee breakdownKendrick Bourne or Makai Lemon
- WR44WR45TiedAntonioWilliamsWR · WAS8.7 ptsXavierWorthyWR · KC8.7 ptsWeek 8 · PPRSee breakdownAntonio Williams or Xavier Worthy
Top 5 wide receivers
Bars show projected points vs. WR1
- 1JaxonSmith-NjigbaSEA21.9 pts
- 2PukaNacuaLA21.6 pts
- 3CeeDeeLambDAL19.6 pts
- 4Ja'MarrChaseCIN19.2 pts
- 5ZayFlowersBAL18.1 pts
Close calls
- TE13TE12TiedBrentonStrangeTE · JAX9.6 ptsTylerHigbeeTE · LA9.6 ptsWeek 8 · PPRSee breakdownBrenton Strange or Tyler Higbee
- TE18TE17TiedAJBarnerTE · SEA8.5 ptsHaroldFannin Jr.TE · CLE8.5 ptsWeek 8 · PPRSee breakdownAJ Barner or Harold Fannin Jr.
- TE9TE8TiedDaltonKincaidTE · BUF10.3 ptsT.J.HockensonTE · MIN10.3 ptsWeek 8 · PPRSee breakdownDalton Kincaid or T.J. Hockenson
Top 5 tight ends
Bars show projected points vs. TE1
- 1TreyMcBrideARI19.4 pts
- 2BrockBowersLV16.2 pts
- 3TuckerKraftGB · Played11.7 pts
- 4SamLaPortaDET11.4 pts
- 5DallasGoedertPHI11.2 pts
How the call is built
The Projection
This week's projected points in your scoring format, with a floor and a ceiling.
The Data
Verified box-score: volume, role, red-zone work and availability.
The Call
The highest projections fill your lineup spots as Start, the rest Bench; a toss-up goes to the stats that decide it. Your call.
Pricing
Every plan reads the same numbers.
All that changes is how many questions you get.
Free
2 credits, then 1 a week
$0/ week
No card, no trial to end
Enough to settle a start/sit call or two before kickoff, on the same numbers everyone else pays for.
- Every analysis tool, nothing held back
- Prop lines compared across sportsbooks
- 1 credit a week after your first week
WeeklyMost popular
600 credits a week
$5.99/ week
7-day free trial, cancel any time
For the manager who researches every week. Hundreds of questions, topped back up every 7 days.
- Everything in Free
- 600 credits a week
- Enough for a full slate, every week
Monthly
2000 credits a month
$19.99/ month
7-day free trial, cancel any time
The same thing priced for a season rather than a week, and it works out cheaper across the month.
- Everything in Weekly
- 2000 credits a month
- Carries you through the bye weeks
Questions
Everything you would ask before paying.
What is Nuvela?
An AI research desk for fantasy football. It reads the posted lines and the verified box-score data behind every prop line and lineup call, then shows you where the two disagree.
Why not just use a stats site?
Raw stats are everywhere. The work is connecting them to the question in front of you. Every read here carries the sample it rests on, the conditions attached to it, and the one thing that would flip it.
Who is it for?
Anyone who would rather understand why a line sits where it does than be handed a pick. Experience matters less than wanting to see the working.
What does it cover?
The NFL, in full. Every player, every week, across props and lineups. More leagues coming.
Does it replace my own rankings?
No. It gives you a second opinion with its reasoning attached, so you can disagree with it on the merits rather than on vibes.
Where does the data come from?
Verified box-score feeds plus posted player lines. A comparison is rebuilt whenever a projection, an injury report or a player line changes.
How is the call made?
We project each player's points for the week: from the consensus of his posted player lines, or from his usage when no line is posted yet. The highest projections fill your lineup spots and are called Start; the rest are Bench. Inside a toss-up, under a point apart, the projection alone does not decide it: the player who wins more of the stats that decide it gets the nod.
What can I research?
Usage and role, matchup history, pace, red-zone share, route participation, prop line context and schedule. Enough to work out what a line assumes, and whether that assumption holds up.
Does it predict results?
No. Football carries variance that no amount of data removes. We flag when a sample is too small to lean on, show the conditions attached to a read, and say what would have to be true for a call to land. Nothing here implies certainty.
Which scoring formats are supported?
PPR, Half PPR and Standard, with custom scoring available on paid plans.
Is it free?
Yes. 3 free credits before you sign up, 2 more in your first week, then 1 every week, on the same tools every paid plan gets. One credit is one question or one comparison. The paid plans buy you more of them, not more features.
How do I get started?
Create a free account and add the players you are deciding between. No card, and the free plan does not expire.
Is my data private?
Your research and your account data stay private. Neither is sold or shared with third parties. The full detail is in the privacy policy.
Can I cancel my subscription anytime?
Any time before your next billing date, and nothing is charged again. The trial runs seven days before the first charge, and cancelling leaves you on the free plan rather than locking you out.
Can I get a refund?
Refunds cover one billing period, weekly or monthly, and only while no credits have been spent on the account.