What is Josh Hart's points prop tonight?

Josh Hart's points line is set at 10.5 for the New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs game (Jun 13 · 8:30 PM ET). nuvela.ai is research, not a pick.

How often does Josh Hart go over 10.5 points?

Over the last 10 games, Josh Hart has gone over 10.5 points 6 times (60%).

What does Nuvela project for Josh Hart's points?

Nuvela's data-based projection is 9 points, compared with the market line of 10.5. Nuvela surfaces the research behind the line; it does not make picks.

Josh Hart Props vs Spurs: Points 10.5

G#3

Points 10.5

New York Knicks

@ SASJun 13 · 8:30 PM ETFrost Bank Center

G#3

Points 10.5(O -101 · U -129)

New York Knicks

@ SASJun 13 · 8:30 PM ETFrost Bank Center

What the line assumes

A 10.5-point line puts Hart right around his typical scoring night.

Median PPG: 11Line: 10.5

All player props

Every line available for Josh tomorrow, with how often he cleared it across his recent games.

Prop summary

Consensus line

10.5

7 of 8 books agree

Updated June 11

Nuvela projection

Based on recent performance & game context

Season hit rate

47/86

above the line · 55%

Recent output relative to line

Last 10 games · sufficient sample

10.5

5/85/105/195/215/235/256/36/56/86/10

Tomorrow

Consensus line

10.5O -101 · U -129

Over win%

6/1060%

Median

Projection

9Tomorrow

Explore line10.5

Distribution by time window

Window	GP	Median	Over win%
L5	5	6	1/5 20%
L10	10	12	6/10 60%
L20	20	10	9/20 45%
Season	86	11	47/86 55%

Research context for tomorrow

AI-generated

2 factors in playmatchup is the swing variable

Tough matchupSAS 8th vs guards · pace +0.5 vs league

SAS is a top-8 defense against guards.

Matchup & pace

Rest & venue4 days rest · +0.3 pts on rest

On 4 days rest, Hart averages +0.3 points vs his season norm.

Rest & schedule

Injury analysis

AI-generated

One injury factor into tonight's number — Garcia's status is the biggest swing.

LOW impact

David Jones GarciaSAS · Out (Ankle)

Matchup

Custom Splits

Interactive

Layer conditions to filter the sample. Median and over win% update live; below 8 games the sample is flagged as thin.

Location

Opp defense

Rest

Teammate

Any teammate

WithWithout

Matching games86

Median11

Over win%55%

Most similar games this season

AI-matched

Tomorrow's matchup has historically resembled these games most closely — matched on opponent defensive rank, team pace, rest days, and venue.

12/13@ ORL4d rest · def #13 · road12

3/29@ OKC3d rest · def #1 · road15

2/6@ DET3d rest · def #2 · road5

6/5@ SAS2d rest · def #3 · road0

11/22@ ORL3d rest · def #13 · road12

5-game comp set average8.8 points · 3 of 5 above 10.5

San Antonio defense by position

San Antonio's defensive ranking against each position over the last 15 games. Josh plays G.

Pos	Rank	Pts	Ast	Reb
PG	3	21.1	6.9	5.8
SG	14	31.9	7.5	9.4
SF	12	25.5	5.1	9.1
PF	5	19.4	3.7	8.7
C	13	18.0	4.0	11.3

Similar guards vs San Antonio · recently

L15 games

Lead guards in high-usage roles, their most recent matchup against San Antonio.

Player	Date	Min	Points	vs 10.5
RJ R. Harper Jr.BOS	3/10	33	22	above
CW C. WilliamsUTA	1/22	23	12	above
TC T. CamaraPOR	4/28	33	7	below
TS T. da SilvaORL	2/1	28	7	below
JC J. ChampagnieWAS	12/21	21	5	below
LT L. TraversCLE	12/5	11	2	below

Injury report

NYK· New York Knicks

SAS· SAS

Jones GarciaAnkle

OUT

Game log · season

most recent first

Date	Matchup	Score	Min	Line	Points	O/U	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK	FG	Rest	Def	Pace
6/10PO	vs SAS	W107-106	33	10.5	6	Under	6	8	6	1	2	0	2-450%	2d	#3	100.7
6/8PO	vs SAS	L111-115	35	9.5	16	Over	16	9	5	4	0	0	6-1060%	3d	#3	100.7
6/5PO	@ SAS	W105-104	18	11.5	0	Under	0	6	4	0	1	1	0-40%	2d	#3	100.7
6/3PO	@ SAS	W105-95	27	11.5	3	Under	3	15	6	0	4	1	1-520%	9d	#3	100.7
5/25PO	@ CLE	W130-93	23	12.5	6	Under	6	11	6	1	2	0	2-540%	2d	#15	100.7
5/23PO	@ CLE	W121-108	35	12.5	12	Under	12	9	5	2	4	0	5-1242%	2d	#15	100.7
5/21PO	vs CLE	W109-93	33	11.5	26	Over	26	4	7	5	2	0	10-2148%	2d	#15	100.7
5/19PO	vs CLE	W115-104	31	12.5	13	Over	13	7	4	1	1	0	5-1145%	9d	#15	100.7
5/10PO	@ PHI	W144-114	29	12.5	17	Over	17	9	1	4	1	1	6-1060%	2d	#17	100.4
5/8PO	@ PHI	W108-94	40	12.5	12	Under	12	11	3	0	1	0	6-1250%	2d	#17	100.4
5/6PO	vs PHI	W108-102	44	11.5	5	Under	5	7	6	1	3	0	2-633%	2d	#17	100.4
5/4PO	vs PHI	W137-98	26	11.5	8	Under	8	8	6	1	3	1	3-743%	4d	#17	100.4
4/30PO	@ ATL	W140-89	27	11.5	14	Over	14	5	2	2	0	0	6-1060%	2d	#10	102.5
4/28PO	vs ATL	W126-97	30	11.5	9	Under	9	5	4	1	0	0	3-838%	3d	#10	102.5
4/25PO	@ ATL	W114-98	31	11.5	10	Under	10	9	3	1	2	0	4-1040%	2d	#10	102.5
4/23PO	@ ATL	L108-109	40	11.5	2	Under	2	9	6	0	2	0	1-911%	3d	#10	102.5
4/20PO	vs ATL	L106-107	35	11.5	15	Over	15	13	6	1	1	0	5-1145%	2d	#10	102.5
4/18PO	vs ATL	W113-102	37	10.5	10	Under	10	14	5	0	3	0	4-850%	8d	#10	102.5
4/10	vs TOR	W112-95	30	11.5	3	Under	3	4	2	0	2	0	0-20%	1d	#5	99.2
4/9	vs BOS	W112-106	35	11.5	26	Over	26	1	3	5	1	0	10-1567%	3d	#4	95.6
4/6	@ ATL	W108-105	30	11.5	2	Under	2	5	3	0	0	0	1-333%	3d	#10	102.5
4/3	vs CHI	W136-96	28	13.5	7	Under	7	11	4	0	0	0	3-560%	2d	#22	103.2
4/1	@ MEM	W130-119	25	13.5	5	Under	5	6	6	1	1	0	2-450%	1d	#27	101.7
3/31	@ HOU	L94-111	28	12.5	13	Over	13	5	2	1	0	0	5-1242%	2d	#6	97.0
3/29	@ OKC	L100-111	34	12.5	15	Over	15	6	3	5	2	0	5-956%	3d	#1	100.4
3/26	@ CHA	L103-114	39	12.5	16	Over	16	7	4	2	5	0	7-1164%	2d	#11	97.6
3/24	vs NOP	W121-116	38	—	10	—	10	8	3	0	0	0	3-838%	2d	#23	101.4
3/22	vs WAS	W145-113	28	11.5	16	Over	16	6	4	3	2	0	5-956%	5d	#30	102.5
3/17	vs IND	W136-110	26	12.5	33	Over	33	7	5	5	2	0	12-1392%	2d	#24	101.8
3/15	vs GSW	W110-107	31	10.5	7	Under	7	12	5	1	0	0	3-650%	6d	#16	100.0
3/9	@ LAC	L118-126	37	10.5	12	Over	12	13	3	1	0	0	5-771%	1d	#18	97.3
3/8	@ LAL	L97-110	22	11.5	8	Under	8	6	2	0	2	0	4-850%	2d	#20	99.2
3/6	@ DEN	W142-103	25	11.5	18	Over	18	5	2	2	0	0	8-1267%	2d	#21	99.5
3/4	vs OKC	L100-103	25	11.5	10	Under	10	12	3	0	0	0	4-1136%	1d	#1	100.4
3/3	@ TOR	W111-95	31	11.5	12	Over	12	7	7	0	3	2	6-786%	2d	#5	99.2
3/1	vs SAS	W114-89	30	10.5	10	Under	10	10	7	1	1	0	4-1429%	2d	#3	100.7
2/27	@ MIL	W127-98	25	10.5	12	Over	12	5	5	2	1	1	4-1136%	3d	#26	98.3
2/24	@ CLE	L94-109	26	11.5	10	Under	10	4	5	2	1	0	4-1136%	2d	#15	100.7
2/22	@ CHI	W105-99	33	11.5	11	Under	11	9	5	1	0	0	4-580%	1d	#22	103.2
2/21	vs HOU	W108-106	27	11.5	2	Under	2	6	6	0	1	0	1-714%	2d	#6	97.0
2/19	vs DET	L111-126	28	11.5	11	Under	11	4	3	0	0	0	5-863%	8d	#2	99.9
2/11	@ PHI	W138-89	29	12.5	6	Under	6	7	9	1	1	0	2-922%	1d	#17	100.4
2/10	vs IND	L134-137	41	12.5	15	Over	15	11	11	2	2	1	5-863%	2d	#24	101.8
2/8	@ BOS	W111-89	26	12.5	19	Over	19	6	3	2	0	0	7-1450%	2d	#4	95.6
2/6	@ DET	L80-118	25	12.5	5	Under	5	6	2	1	0	0	2-729%	3d	#2	99.9
2/3	@ WAS	W132-101	22	12.5	4	Under	4	7	7	1	0	0	1-333%	2d	#30	102.5
2/1	vs LAL	W112-100	36	12.5	20	Over	20	4	2	3	0	1	8-1173%	2d	#20	99.2
1/30	vs POR	W127-97	30	11.5	20	Over	20	6	5	1	2	1	9-1753%	2d	#12	101.6
1/28	@ TOR	W119-92	35	11.5	22	Over	22	5	6	4	2	0	7-1164%	1d	#5	99.2
1/27	vs SAC	W103-87	31	11.5	7	Under	7	9	4	0	3	0	2-633%	3d	#28	100.1
1/24	@ PHI	W112-109	37	11.5	10	Under	10	13	7	1	0	1	4-944%	3d	#17	100.4
1/21	vs BKN	W120-66	25	10.5	11	Over	11	9	3	1	1	0	5-5100%	2d	#25	97.6
1/19	vs DAL	L97-114	28	11.5	8	Under	8	6	3	2	0	0	3-650%	4d	#19	102.6
1/15	@ GSW	L113-126	37	12.5	5	Under	5	5	10	0	0	0	1-714%	1d	#16	100.0
1/14	@ SAC	L101-112	32	11.5	10	Under	10	5	5	2	0	1	4-757%	3d	#28	100.1
1/11	@ POR	W123-114	31	10.5	18	Over	18	3	6	3	2	1	7-1547%	17d	#12	101.6
12/25	vs CLE	W126-124	26	12.5	15	Over	15	5	3	2	0	0	5-956%	2d	#15	100.7
12/23	@ MIN	L104-115	42	14.5	12	Under	12	15	8	1	2	0	5-1436%	2d	#8	101.5
12/21	vs MIA	W132-125	33	12.5	13	Over	13	10	5	3	2	0	5-1050%	2d	#14	104.2
12/19	vs PHI	L107-116	34	13.5	5	Under	5	10	6	1	1	0	2-729%	3d	#17	100.4
12/16	vs SAS	W124-113	29	13.5	11	Under	11	8	3	1	2	1	5-771%	3d	#3	100.7
12/13	@ ORL	W132-120	31	12.5	12	Under	12	6	6	0	3	1	6-1250%	4d	#13	100.6
12/9	@ TOR	W117-101	36	12.5	21	Over	21	6	4	4	2	0	8-1173%	2d	#5	99.2
12/7	vs ORL	W106-100	34	13.5	17	Over	17	12	1	3	2	1	7-1354%	2d	#13	100.6
12/5	vs UTA	W146-112	28	12.5	8	Under	8	6	6	0	1	0	3-650%	2d	#29	103.5
12/3	vs CHA	W119-104	37	13.5	15	Over	15	8	8	1	1	1	4-1136%	1d	#11	97.6
12/2	@ BOS	L117-123	36	12.5	19	Over	19	7	4	4	1	0	7-1164%	2d	#4	95.6
11/30	vs TOR	W116-94	35	12.5	20	Over	20	12	7	4	3	0	8-1267%	2d	#5	99.2
11/28	vs MIL	W118-109	40	12.5	19	Over	19	15	7	0	3	0	5-1242%	2d	#26	98.3
11/26	@ CHA	W129-101	34	11.5	22	Over	22	8	7	4	3	0	8-1362%	2d	#11	97.6
11/24	@ BKN	W113-100	38	11.5	7	Under	7	12	7	1	2	2	3-838%	2d	#25	97.6
11/22	@ ORL	L121-133	29	11.5	12	Over	12	5	2	1	0	0	5-956%	3d	#13	100.6
11/19	@ DAL	W113-111	30	12.5	16	Over	16	10	5	3	1	1	5-1050%	2d	#19	102.6
11/17	@ MIA	L113-115	34	12.5	14	Over	14	5	9	0	2	1	6-1155%	3d	#14	104.2
11/14	vs MIA	W140-132	34	11.5	12	Over	12	11	10	1	1	0	5-863%	2d	#14	104.2
11/12	vs ORL	L107-124	18	8.5	10	Over	10	3	2	1	1	1	4-1040%	1d	#13	100.6
11/11	vs MEM	W133-120	30	9.5	8	Under	8	4	8	1	2	0	2-729%	2d	#27	101.7
11/9	vs BKN	W134-98	21	9.5	11	Over	11	7	2	1	1	0	5-771%	4d	#25	97.6
11/5	vs MIN	W137-114	27	7.5	18	Over	18	5	4	4	0	0	7-1258%	2d	#8	101.5
11/3	vs WAS	W119-102	26	8.5	12	Over	12	10	5	2	0	0	5-771%	1d	#30	102.5
11/2	vs CHI	W128-116	26	7.5	14	Over	14	9	3	1	1	0	5-1050%	2d	#22	103.2
10/31	@ CHI	L125-135	15	9.5	0	Under	0	1	1	0	0	0	0-10%	3d	#22	103.2
10/28	@ MIL	L111-121	26	8.5	3	Under	3	4	4	1	2	0	1-520%	2d	#26	98.3
10/26	@ MIA	L107-115	29	8.5	6	Under	6	5	5	0	1	0	2-540%	2d	#14	104.2
10/24	vs BOS	W105-95	19	8.5	2	Under	2	14	3	0	0	0	1-813%	22d	#4	95.6
10/2	vs PHI	W99-84	7	—	2	—	2	3	1	0	0	0	0-10%	—	#17	100.4
Averages			30.3	11.5	11.5		11.5	7.6	4.7	1.5	1.3	0.3	49%	3.0d	#14	100.5

Prop odds

Points 10.5 — over/under odds across the market.

Open Line

O 10.5-101

U 10.5-130

Consensus

O 10.5-101

U 10.5-129

DraftKings

O 10.5+100

U 10.5-128

FanDuel

O 10.5+102

U 10.5-130

BetMGM

O 10.5-105

U 10.5-125

BetRivers

O 10.5-112

U 10.5-122

Fanatics

O 10.5+100

U 10.5-130

ESPN BET

O 10.5+110

U 10.5-145

Hard Rock Bet

O 10.5-105

U 10.5-125

Bovada

O 12.5+180

U 12.5-245

Take this research further

Each question opens in the Research Assistant with this player's context pre-loaded.

Related research

Nuvela articles covering Josh Hart.

Knicks vs Spurs Game 4 Props: Is Josh Hart's Rebounding Role More Stable Than Karl-Anthony Towns' Offensive Creation?Jun 10, 2026

Common questions

Auto-generated from the data on this page. Research, not picks.

What is Josh Hart's points prop tonight?: Josh Hart's points line is set at 10.5 for the New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs game (Jun 13 · 8:30 PM ET). nuvela.ai is research, not a pick.
How often does Josh Hart go over 10.5 points?: Over the last 10 games, Josh Hart has gone over 10.5 points 6 times (60%).
What does Nuvela project for Josh Hart's points?: Nuvela's data-based projection is 9 points, compared with the market line of 10.5. Nuvela surfaces the research behind the line; it does not make picks.

Window

Median

Over win%

1/5

20%

L10

6/10

60%

L20

9/20

45%

Season

47/86

55%

Pos

Rank

Pts

Ast

Reb

21.1

6.9

5.8

31.9

7.5

9.4

25.5

5.1

9.1

19.4

3.7

8.7

18.0

4.0

11.3

Player

Date

Min

Points

vs 10.5

R. Harper Jr.BOS

3/10

above

C. WilliamsUTA

1/22

above

T. CamaraPOR

4/28

below

T. da SilvaORL

2/1

below

J. ChampagnieWAS

12/21

below

L. TraversCLE

12/5

below

Date

Matchup

Score

Min

Line

Points

O/U

PTS

REB

AST

3PM

STL

BLK

Rest

Def

Pace

6/10PO

vs SAS

W107-106

10.5

Under

2-450%

100.7

6/8PO

vs SAS

L111-115

9.5

Over

6-1060%

100.7

6/5PO

@ SAS

W105-104

11.5

Under

0-40%

100.7

6/3PO

@ SAS

W105-95

11.5

Under

1-520%

100.7

5/25PO

@ CLE

W130-93

12.5

Under

2-540%

#15

100.7

5/23PO

@ CLE

W121-108

12.5

Under

5-1242%

#15

100.7

5/21PO

vs CLE

W109-93

11.5

Over

10-2148%

#15

100.7

5/19PO

vs CLE

W115-104

12.5

Over

5-1145%

#15

100.7

5/10PO

@ PHI

W144-114

12.5

Over

6-1060%

#17

100.4

5/8PO

@ PHI

W108-94

12.5

Under

6-1250%

#17

100.4

5/6PO

vs PHI

W108-102

11.5

Under

2-633%

#17

100.4

5/4PO

vs PHI

W137-98

11.5

Under

3-743%

#17

100.4

4/30PO

@ ATL

W140-89

11.5

Over

6-1060%

#10

102.5

4/28PO

vs ATL

W126-97

11.5

Under

3-838%

#10

102.5

4/25PO

@ ATL

W114-98

11.5

Under

4-1040%

#10

102.5

4/23PO

@ ATL

L108-109

11.5

Under

1-911%

#10

102.5

4/20PO

vs ATL

L106-107

11.5

Over

5-1145%

#10

102.5

4/18PO

vs ATL

W113-102

10.5

Under

4-850%

#10

102.5

4/10

vs TOR

W112-95

11.5

Under

0-20%

99.2

4/9

vs BOS

W112-106

11.5

Over

10-1567%

95.6

4/6

@ ATL

W108-105

11.5

Under

1-333%

#10

102.5

4/3

vs CHI

W136-96

13.5

Under

3-560%

#22

103.2

4/1

@ MEM

W130-119

13.5

Under

2-450%

#27

101.7

3/31

@ HOU

L94-111

12.5

Over

5-1242%

97.0

3/29

@ OKC

L100-111

12.5

Over

5-956%

100.4

3/26

@ CHA

L103-114

12.5

Over

7-1164%

#11

97.6

3/24

vs NOP

W121-116

—

3-838%

#23

101.4

3/22

vs WAS

W145-113

11.5

Over

5-956%

#30

102.5

3/17

vs IND

W136-110

12.5

Over

12-1392%

#24

101.8

3/15

vs GSW

W110-107

10.5

Under

3-650%

#16

100.0

3/9

@ LAC

L118-126

10.5

Over

5-771%

#18

97.3

3/8

@ LAL

L97-110

11.5

Under

4-850%

#20

99.2

3/6

@ DEN

W142-103

11.5

Over

8-1267%

#21

99.5

3/4

vs OKC

L100-103

11.5

Under

4-1136%

100.4

3/3

@ TOR

W111-95

11.5

Over

6-786%

99.2

3/1

vs SAS

W114-89

10.5

Under

4-1429%

100.7

2/27

@ MIL

W127-98

10.5

Over

4-1136%

#26

98.3

2/24

@ CLE

L94-109

11.5

Under

4-1136%

#15

100.7

2/22

@ CHI

W105-99

11.5

Under

4-580%

#22

103.2

2/21

vs HOU

W108-106

11.5

Under

1-714%

97.0

2/19

vs DET

L111-126

11.5

Under

5-863%

99.9

2/11

@ PHI

W138-89

12.5

Under

2-922%

#17

100.4

2/10

vs IND

L134-137

12.5

Over

5-863%

#24

101.8

2/8

@ BOS

W111-89

12.5

Over

7-1450%

95.6

2/6

@ DET

L80-118

12.5

Under

2-729%

99.9

2/3

@ WAS

W132-101

12.5

Under

1-333%

#30

102.5

2/1

vs LAL

W112-100

12.5

Over

8-1173%

#20

99.2

1/30

vs POR

W127-97

11.5

Over

9-1753%

#12

101.6

1/28

@ TOR

W119-92

11.5

Over

7-1164%

99.2

1/27

vs SAC

W103-87

11.5

Under

2-633%

#28

100.1

1/24

@ PHI

W112-109

11.5

Under

4-944%

#17

100.4

1/21

vs BKN

W120-66

10.5

Over

5-5100%

#25

97.6

1/19

vs DAL

L97-114

11.5

Under

3-650%

#19

102.6

1/15

@ GSW

L113-126

12.5

Under

1-714%

#16

100.0

1/14

@ SAC

L101-112

11.5

Under

4-757%

#28

100.1

1/11

@ POR

W123-114

10.5

Over

7-1547%

17d

#12

101.6

12/25

vs CLE

W126-124

12.5

Over

5-956%

#15

100.7

12/23

@ MIN

L104-115

14.5

Under

5-1436%

101.5

12/21

vs MIA

W132-125

12.5

Over

5-1050%

#14

104.2

12/19

vs PHI

L107-116

13.5

Under

2-729%

#17

100.4

12/16

vs SAS

W124-113

13.5

Under

5-771%

100.7

12/13

@ ORL

W132-120

12.5

Under

6-1250%

#13

100.6

12/9

@ TOR

W117-101

12.5

Over

8-1173%

99.2

12/7

vs ORL

W106-100

13.5

Over

7-1354%

#13

100.6

12/5

vs UTA

W146-112

12.5

Under

3-650%

#29

103.5

12/3

vs CHA

W119-104

13.5

Over

4-1136%

#11

97.6

12/2

@ BOS

L117-123

12.5

Over

7-1164%

95.6

11/30

vs TOR

W116-94

12.5

Over

8-1267%

99.2

11/28

vs MIL

W118-109

12.5

Over

5-1242%

#26

98.3

11/26

@ CHA

W129-101

11.5

Over

8-1362%

#11

97.6

11/24

@ BKN

W113-100

11.5

Under

3-838%

#25

97.6

11/22

@ ORL

L121-133

11.5

Over

5-956%

#13

100.6

11/19

@ DAL

W113-111

12.5

Over

5-1050%

#19

102.6

11/17

@ MIA

L113-115

12.5

Over

6-1155%

#14

104.2

11/14

vs MIA

W140-132

11.5

Over

5-863%

#14

104.2

11/12

vs ORL

L107-124

8.5

Over

4-1040%

#13

100.6

11/11

vs MEM

W133-120

9.5

Under

2-729%

#27

101.7

11/9

vs BKN

W134-98

9.5

Over

5-771%

#25

97.6

11/5

vs MIN

W137-114

7.5

Over

7-1258%

101.5

11/3

vs WAS

W119-102

8.5

Over

5-771%

#30

102.5

11/2

vs CHI

W128-116

7.5

Over

5-1050%

#22

103.2

10/31

@ CHI

L125-135

9.5

Under

0-10%

#22

103.2

10/28

@ MIL

L111-121

8.5

Under

1-520%

#26

98.3

10/26

@ MIA

L107-115

8.5

Under

2-540%

#14

104.2

10/24

vs BOS

W105-95

8.5

Under

1-813%

22d

95.6

10/2

vs PHI

W99-84

—

0-10%

—

#17

100.4

Averages

30.3

11.5

7.6

4.7

1.5

1.3

0.3

49%

3.0d

#14

100.5