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Home/NBA/Player Props/Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson headshot
F-G#3
KeldonJohnson
Points 6.5
San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs
vs NYKJun 13 · 8:30 PM ETFrost Bank Center
Keldon Johnson headshot
F-G#3
KeldonJohnson
Points 6.5(O -119 · U -110)
San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs
vs NYKJun 13 · 8:30 PM ETFrost Bank Center

What the line assumes

A 6.5-point line sits below Johnson's typical scoring night.

Median PPG: 12Line: 6.5

All player props

Every line available for Keldon tomorrow, with how often he cleared it across his recent games.

Prop summary

Consensus line

6.5

5 of 7 books agree

Updated June 11

Nuvela projection

8

Based on recent performance & game context

Season hit rate

87/109

above the line · 80%

Recent output relative to line

Last 10 games · sufficient sample
10
5
6
15
9
11
3
3
7
2
6.5
8
5/205/225/245/265/285/306/36/56/86/10
Tomorrow
Consensus line
6.5O -119 · U -110
Over win%
5/1050%
Median
6.5
Projection
8Tomorrow
Explore line6.5

Distribution by time window

WindowGPMedianOver win%
L553
2/5
40%
L10106.5
5/10
50%
L20208
12/20
60%
Season10912
87/109
80%

Research context for tomorrow

AI-generated
2 factors in playrest & schedule is the swing variable

Tough matchupNYK 12th vs forwards · pace -2.5 vs league

NYK is a top-12 defense against forwards.

Matchup & pace

Rest & venue4 days rest · -0.4 pts on rest

On 4 days rest, Johnson averages -0.4 points vs his season norm.

Rest & schedule

Injury analysis

AI-generated

One injury factor into tonight's number — Garcia's status is the biggest swing.

LOW impact
David Jones GarciaSAS · Out (Ankle)
Usage

Custom Splits

Interactive

Layer conditions to filter the sample. Median and over win% update live; below 8 games the sample is flagged as thin.

Location
Opp defense
Rest
Teammate
Any teammate
WithWithout
Matching games109
Median12
Over win%80%

Most similar games this season

AI-matched

Tomorrow's matchup has historically resembled these games most closely — matched on opponent defensive rank, team pace, rest days, and venue.

6/3vs NYK4d rest · def #7 · home3
6/5vs NYK2d rest · def #7 · home3
12/31vs NYK2d rest · def #7 · home19
3/8vs HOU2d rest · def #6 · home20
11/7vs HOU2d rest · def #6 · home8
5-game comp set average10.6 points · 3 of 5 above 6.5

New York defense by position

New York's defensive ranking against each position over the last 15 games. Keldon plays F-G.

PosRankPtsAstReb
PG220.98.65.2
SG1632.56.78.5
SF724.54.38.5
PF1821.33.99.6
C216.22.810.8

Similar forwards vs New York · recently

L15 games

Lead forwards in high-usage roles, their most recent matchup against New York.

PlayerDateMinPointsvs 6.5
PW
P. WatsonDEN
2/43310above
MB
M. BeauchampPHI
2/11168above
SB
S. BeyNO
3/242818above
KM
K. MiddletonDAL
2/32212above
KK
K. KnueppelCHA
4/123114above
JJ
J. Jaquez Jr.MIA
12/213423above

Injury report

SAS· San Antonio Spurs
Jones GarciaAnkle
OUT
NYK· NYK

Game log · season

most recent first
DateMatchupScoreMinLinePointsO/UPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKFGRestDefPace
6/10PO@ NYKL106-107186.52Under2410101-520%2d#797.7
6/8PO@ NYKW115-111176.57Over7200103-560%3d#797.7
6/5POvs NYKL104-105166.53Under3420101-425%2d#797.7
6/3POvs NYKL95-10588.53Under3001001-425%4d#797.7
5/30PO@ OKCW111-103167.511Over11312104-850%2d#1100.4
5/28POvs OKCW118-91187.59Over9301104-757%2d#1100.4
5/26PO@ OKCL114-127206.515Over15421007-1354%2d#1100.4
5/24POvs OKCW103-82188.56Under6300103-1225%2d#1100.4
5/22POvs OKCL108-123129.55Under5201001-520%2d#1100.4
5/20PO@ OKCL113-1222610.510Under10512004-1233%2d#1100.4
5/18PO@ OKCW122-1152210.513Over13003004-944%3d#1100.4
5/15PO@ MINW139-109109.50Under0020000-20%3d#8101.5
5/12POvs MINW126-97228.521Over21201218-1173%2d#8101.5
5/10PO@ MINL109-114178.54Under4310102-450%2d#8101.5
5/8PO@ MINW115-108198.511Over11212103-743%2d#8101.5
5/6POvs MINW133-95199.59Under91010012-825%2d#8101.5
5/4POvs MINL102-104248.511Over11210005-1050%6d#8101.5
4/28POvs PORW114-95188.57Under7511003-838%2d#12101.6
4/26PO@ PORW114-93178.59Over9111103-560%2d#12101.6
4/24PO@ PORW120-1082111.55Under5531111-714%3d#12101.6
4/21POvs PORL103-106189.57Under7411203-743%2d#12101.6
4/19POvs PORW111-982010.53Under3711101-425%7d#12101.6
4/12vs DENL118-1282214.518Over18612006-1250%2d#2199.5
4/10vs DALW139-1202414.517Over17521006-1346%2d#19102.6
4/8vs PORW112-1012914.520Over20810218-1553%2d#12101.6
4/6vs PHIW115-1022511.513Over13911214-1429%2d#17100.4
4/4@ DENL134-1361712.510Under10200003-1030%2d#2199.5
4/2@ LACW118-992713.513Under13611006-1155%1d#1897.3
4/1@ GSWW127-1132613.511Under11312003-1127%2d#16100.0
3/30vs CHIW129-1142613.515Over15212105-1145%2d#22103.2
3/28@ MILW127-952312.516Over16052006-875%3d#2698.3
3/25@ MEMW123-982213.515Over15731007-1644%2d#27101.7
3/23@ MIAW136-1112411.521Over21613007-1450%2d#14104.2
3/21vs INDW134-1192513.524Over244420010-1283%2d#24101.8
3/19vs PHXW101-1002012.56Under6410003-1030%2d#998.1
3/17@ SACW132-1042013.518Over18112008-1267%1d#28100.1
3/16@ LACW119-1152212.58Under8500004-1040%2d#1897.3
3/14vs CHAW115-1022111.513Over13501006-967%2d#1197.6
3/12vs DENL131-1362213.55Under5731012-1217%2d#2199.5
3/10vs BOSW125-1162410.58Under8602003-743%2d#495.6
3/8vs HOUW145-1202610.520Over20124008-1362%2d#697.0
3/6vs LACW116-1122210.510Under10602004-944%1d#1897.3
3/5vs DETW121-1062211.58Under8410002-633%2d#299.9
3/3@ PHIW131-912210.512Over12900206-1155%2d#17100.4
3/1@ NYKL89-1141710.53Under3300001-425%3d#797.7
2/26@ BKNW126-1101810.513Over13401106-786%1d#2597.6
2/25@ TORW110-1071411.52Under2130001-617%2d#599.2
2/23@ DETW114-1032210.59Under9401104-1136%2d#299.9
2/21vs SACW139-1222111.518Over18103006-1250%2d#28100.1
2/19vs PHXW121-942011.56Under6210002-633%8d#998.1
2/11@ GSWW126-1132910.521Over21622108-1362%1d#16100.0
2/10@ LALW136-1082111.56Under6420003-1030%3d#2099.2
2/7vs DALW138-1251611.58Under8400003-560%2d#19102.6
2/5@ DALW135-1231912.512Under12640115-956%1d#19102.6
2/4vs OKCW116-1062913.525Over256240110-1759%3d#1100.4
2/1vs ORLW112-1032512.514Over141011005-956%1d#13100.6
1/31@ CHAL106-1111611.56Under6210101-520%3d#1197.6
1/28@ HOUW111-992710.517Over17751008-1553%3d#697.0
1/25vs NOPL95-10428—15—15211006-1250%3d#23101.4
1/22@ UTAW126-1093113.521Over21151119-1947%2d#29103.5
1/20@ HOUL106-1112711.512Over12600205-956%1d#697.0
1/19vs UTAW123-1102413.52Under2320021-425%2d#29103.5
1/17vs MINW126-1233111.520Over20123108-1457%2d#8101.5
1/15vs MILW119-1012112.57Under7821301-333%2d#2698.3
1/13@ OKCL98-1192012.59Under9301004-1136%2d#1100.4
1/11@ MINL103-1042612.515Over15203005-863%1d#8101.5
1/10@ BOSW100-952811.518Over181012106-1346%3d#495.6
1/7vs LALW107-912811.527Over276020011-1385%1d#2099.2
1/6@ MEML105-1062811.513Over13502105-1338%3d#27101.7
1/3vs PORL110-1152413.55Under5810201-617%1d#12101.6
1/2@ INDW123-1132614.516Over16613106-967%2d#24101.8
12/31vs NYKW134-1323112.519Over19800205-1242%2d#797.7
12/29vs CLEL101-1131810.58Under8300002-367%2d#15100.7
12/27vs UTAL114-1272511.527Over2710150010-1567%2d#29103.5
12/25@ OKCW117-102178.59Over9701004-757%2d#1100.4
12/23vs OKCW130-110227.525Over251150010-1663%2d#1100.4
12/21@ WASW124-113247.512Over12902004-667%2d#30102.5
12/19@ ATLW126-98168.513Over13321006-875%1d#10102.5
12/18vs WASW119-94218.59Over9811004-850%2d#30102.5
12/16@ NYKL113-124166.53Under3401001-333%3d#797.7
12/13@ OKCW111-109148.53Under3601101-425%3d#1100.4
12/10@ LALW132-1192211.517Over17803105-956%2d#2099.2
12/8@ NOPW135-13217—12—12621005-863%3d#23101.4
12/5@ CLEL117-1302512.514Over14700125-1050%2d#15100.7
12/3@ ORLW114-1122511.513Over13410005-863%1d#13100.6
12/2vs MEMW126-1192812.511Under11641004-850%2d#27101.7
11/30@ MINL112-1252611.522Over22822208-1362%2d#8101.5
11/28@ DENW139-1362212.514Over14822004-757%2d#2199.5
11/26@ PORW115-1022314.511Under111020103-743%3d#12101.6
11/23@ PHXL102-1112514.514Under14622006-875%3d#998.1
11/20vs ATLW135-1263214.525Over25723109-1275%2d#10102.5
11/18vs MEMW111-1013013.518Over18721208-1553%2d#27101.7
11/16vs SACW123-110239.514Over141210007-1164%2d#28100.1
11/14vs GSWL108-109199.54Under4530012-729%2d#16100.0
11/12vs GSWL120-125249.56Under6910203-933%2d#16100.0
11/10@ CHIW121-1171910.510Under10710105-956%2d#22103.2
11/8vs NOPW126-11920—12—12840204-757%1d#23101.4
11/7vs HOUW121-1102710.58Under8640103-838%2d#697.0
11/5@ LALL116-1182411.512Over12110104-4100%3d#2099.2
11/2@ PHXL118-1302410.519Over19321008-1457%3d#998.1
10/30vs MIAW107-1012311.511Under11311004-757%3d#14104.2
10/27vs TORW121-1032411.510Under10502104-667%1d#599.2
10/26vs BKNW118-1072910.519Over19612105-956%2d#2597.6
10/24@ NOPW120-11619—8—81010004-757%2d#23101.4
10/22@ DALW125-922511.511Under11521105-683%5d#19102.6
10/17vs INDW133-10417—12—12110006-1250%4d#24101.8
10/13@ INDW124-10820—14—14313305-5100%3d#24101.8
10/10vs UTAW134-13017—11—11510004-667%2d#29103.5
10/8@ MIAW112-10726—19—19611007-978%—#14104.2
Averages22.011.012.012.04.91.21.10.60.151%2.3d#14100.3

Prop odds

Points 6.5 — over/under odds across the market.

Open Line
O 6.5-103
U 6.5-129
Consensus
O 6.5-119
U 6.5-110
DraftKings
O 6.5-119
U 6.5-107
FanDuel
O 6.5-113
U 6.5-113
BetMGM
O 6.5-135
U 6.5+100
BetRivers
O 6.5-115
U 6.5-118
ESPN BET
O 7.5+125
U 7.5-165
Hard Rock Bet
O 6.5-115
U 6.5-115
Bovada
O 8.5+165
U 8.5-220

Take this research further

Each question opens in the Research Assistant with this player's context pre-loaded.

Common questions

Auto-generated from the data on this page. Research, not picks.

What is Keldon Johnson's points prop tonight?
Keldon Johnson's points line is set at 6.5 for the San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks game (Jun 13 · 8:30 PM ET). nuvela.ai is research, not a pick.
How often does Keldon Johnson go over 6.5 points?
Over the last 10 games, Keldon Johnson has gone over 6.5 points 5 times (50%).
What does Nuvela project for Keldon Johnson's points?
Nuvela's data-based projection is 8 points, compared with the market line of 6.5. Nuvela surfaces the research behind the line; it does not make picks.

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