Keldon Johnson

What the line assumes
A 6.5-point line sits below Johnson's typical scoring night.
All player props
Every line available for Keldon tomorrow, with how often he cleared it across his recent games.
Prop summary
Consensus line
6.5
5 of 7 books agree
Updated June 11Nuvela projection
8
Based on recent performance & game context
Season hit rate
87/109
above the line · 80%
Recent output relative to line
Last 10 games · sufficient sampleDistribution by time window
| Window | GP | Median | Over win% |
|---|---|---|---|
| L5 | 5 | 3 | 2/5 40% |
| L10 | 10 | 6.5 | 5/10 50% |
| L20 | 20 | 8 | 12/20 60% |
| Season | 109 | 12 | 87/109 80% |
Research context for tomorrow
AI-generatedTough matchupNYK 12th vs forwards · pace -2.5 vs league
NYK is a top-12 defense against forwards.
Rest & venue4 days rest · -0.4 pts on rest
On 4 days rest, Johnson averages -0.4 points vs his season norm.
Injury analysis
AI-generatedOne injury factor into tonight's number — Garcia's status is the biggest swing.
Custom Splits
InteractiveLayer conditions to filter the sample. Median and over win% update live; below 8 games the sample is flagged as thin.
Most similar games this season
AI-matchedTomorrow's matchup has historically resembled these games most closely — matched on opponent defensive rank, team pace, rest days, and venue.
New York defense by position
New York's defensive ranking against each position over the last 15 games. Keldon plays F-G.
| Pos | Rank | Pts | Ast | Reb |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | 2 | 20.9 | 8.6 | 5.2 |
| SG | 16 | 32.5 | 6.7 | 8.5 |
| SF | 7 | 24.5 | 4.3 | 8.5 |
| PF | 18 | 21.3 | 3.9 | 9.6 |
| C | 2 | 16.2 | 2.8 | 10.8 |
Similar forwards vs New York · recently
L15 gamesLead forwards in high-usage roles, their most recent matchup against New York.
| Player | Date | Min | Points | vs 6.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
PW P. WatsonDEN | 2/4 | 33 | 10 | above |
MB M. BeauchampPHI | 2/11 | 16 | 8 | above |
SB S. BeyNO | 3/24 | 28 | 18 | above |
KM K. MiddletonDAL | 2/3 | 22 | 12 | above |
KK K. KnueppelCHA | 4/12 | 31 | 14 | above |
JJ J. Jaquez Jr.MIA | 12/21 | 34 | 23 | above |
Injury report
Game log · season
most recent firstProp odds
Points 6.5 — over/under odds across the market.
Take this research further
Each question opens in the Research Assistant with this player's context pre-loaded.
Common questions
Auto-generated from the data on this page. Research, not picks.
- What is Keldon Johnson's points prop tonight?
- Keldon Johnson's points line is set at 6.5 for the San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks game (Jun 13 · 8:30 PM ET). nuvela.ai is research, not a pick.
- How often does Keldon Johnson go over 6.5 points?
- Over the last 10 games, Keldon Johnson has gone over 6.5 points 5 times (50%).
- What does Nuvela project for Keldon Johnson's points?
- Nuvela's data-based projection is 8 points, compared with the market line of 6.5. Nuvela surfaces the research behind the line; it does not make picks.