What is Mitchell Robinson's points prop tonight?

Mitchell Robinson's points line is set at 3.5 for the New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs game (Jun 13 · 8:30 PM ET). nuvela.ai is research, not a pick.

How often does Mitchell Robinson go over 3.5 points?

Over the last 10 games, Mitchell Robinson has gone over 3.5 points 7 times (70%).

What does Nuvela project for Mitchell Robinson's points?

Nuvela's data-based projection is 4.3 points, compared with the market line of 3.5. Nuvela surfaces the research behind the line; it does not make picks.

Mitchell Robinson Props vs Spurs: Points 3.5

C-F#23

Points 3.5

New York Knicks

@ SASJun 13 · 8:30 PM ETFrost Bank Center

C-F#23

Points 3.5(O -102 · U -129)

New York Knicks

@ SASJun 13 · 8:30 PM ETFrost Bank Center

What the line assumes

A 3.5-point line sits below Robinson's typical scoring night.

Median PPG: 5Line: 3.5

All player props

Every line available for Mitchell tomorrow, with how often he cleared it across his recent games.

Prop summary

Consensus line

3.5

5 of 7 books agree

Updated June 11

Nuvela projection

4.3

Based on recent performance & game context

Season hit rate

55/81

above the line · 68%

Recent output relative to line

Last 10 games · sufficient sample

3.5

4.3

5/85/105/195/215/235/256/36/56/86/10

Tomorrow

Consensus line

3.5O -102 · U -129

Over win%

7/1070%

Median

4.5

Projection

4.3Tomorrow

Explore line3.5

Distribution by time window

Window	GP	Median	Over win%
L5	5	5	3/5 60%
L10	10	4.5	7/10 70%
L20	20	6	14/20 70%
Season	81	5	55/81 68%

Research context for tomorrow

AI-generated

2 factors in playrest & schedule is the swing variable

Even matchupSAS 13th vs centers · pace +0.5 vs league

SAS is middle-of-the-pack defending centers.

Matchup & pace

Rest & venue4 days rest · -0.0 pts on rest

On 4 days rest, Robinson scores in line with his season norm.

Rest & schedule

Injury analysis

AI-generated

One injury factor into tonight's number — Garcia's status is the biggest swing.

LOW impact

David Jones GarciaSAS · Out (Ankle)

Matchup

Custom Splits

Interactive

Layer conditions to filter the sample. Median and over win% update live; below 8 games the sample is flagged as thin.

Location

Opp defense

Rest

Teammate

Any teammate

WithWithout

Matching games81

Median5

Over win%68%

Most similar games this season

AI-matched

Tomorrow's matchup has historically resembled these games most closely — matched on opponent defensive rank, team pace, rest days, and venue.

12/13@ ORL4d rest · def #13 · road5

3/29@ OKC3d rest · def #1 · road3

5/8@ PHI4d rest · def #17 · road6

11/26@ CHA4d rest · def #11 · road0

6/5@ SAS2d rest · def #3 · road7

5-game comp set average4.2 points · 3 of 5 above 3.5

San Antonio defense by position

San Antonio's defensive ranking against each position over the last 15 games. Mitchell plays C-F.

Pos	Rank	Pts	Ast	Reb
PG	3	21.1	6.9	5.8
SG	14	31.9	7.5	9.4
SF	12	25.5	5.1	9.1
PF	5	19.4	3.7	8.7
C	13	18.0	4.0	11.3

Similar forwards vs San Antonio · recently

L15 games

Lead forwards in high-usage roles, their most recent matchup against San Antonio.

Player	Date	Min	Points	vs 3.5
IJ I. JacksonLAC	3/16	17	11	above
IH I. HartensteinOKC	5/30	21	7	above
DG D. GaffordDAL	2/7	18	9	above
JP J. PoeltlTOR	2/25	28	15	above
JB J. BeringerMIN	5/15	8	4	above
WJ W. Carter Jr.ORL	2/1	19	2	below

Injury report

NYK· New York Knicks

SAS· SAS

Jones GarciaAnkle

OUT

Game log · season

most recent first

Date	Matchup	Score	Min	Line	Points	O/U	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK	FG	Rest	Def	Pace
6/10PO	vs SAS	W107-106	13	3.5	2	Under	2	5	1	0	0	2	1-520%	2d	#3	100.7
6/8PO	vs SAS	L111-115	7	3.5	5	Over	5	4	0	0	0	0	2-367%	3d	#3	100.7
6/5PO	@ SAS	W105-104	14	3.5	7	Over	7	3	0	0	1	1	2-2100%	2d	#3	100.7
6/3PO	@ SAS	W105-95	13	3.5	2	Under	2	6	0	0	0	0	1-250%	9d	#3	100.7
5/25PO	@ CLE	W130-93	18	3.5	8	Over	8	10	0	0	1	0	4-667%	2d	#15	100.7
5/23PO	@ CLE	W121-108	9	4.5	2	Under	2	3	0	0	0	0	1-1100%	2d	#15	100.7
5/21PO	vs CLE	W109-93	12	4.5	4	Under	4	4	0	0	0	1	2-2100%	2d	#15	100.7
5/19PO	vs CLE	W115-104	14	4.5	4	Under	4	6	1	0	2	0	1-333%	9d	#15	100.7
5/10PO	@ PHI	W144-114	16	4.5	6	Over	6	6	0	0	0	0	2-450%	2d	#17	100.4
5/8PO	@ PHI	W108-94	19	4.5	6	Over	6	6	0	0	1	1	1-333%	4d	#17	100.4
5/4PO	vs PHI	W137-98	12	4.5	2	Under	2	4	1	0	0	0	1-1100%	4d	#17	100.4
4/30PO	@ ATL	W140-89	9	3.5	6	Over	6	3	0	0	0	2	3-3100%	2d	#10	102.5
4/28PO	vs ATL	W126-97	16	3.5	7	Over	7	6	0	0	0	1	3-3100%	3d	#10	102.5
4/25PO	@ ATL	W114-98	15	4.5	6	Over	6	8	1	0	0	0	2-367%	2d	#10	102.5
4/23PO	@ ATL	L108-109	11	4.5	2	Under	2	4	0	0	1	0	1-250%	3d	#10	102.5
4/20PO	vs ATL	L106-107	18	4.5	13	Over	13	7	0	0	1	1	6-6100%	2d	#10	102.5
4/18PO	vs ATL	W113-102	14	5.5	3	Under	3	4	1	0	0	2	1-1100%	9d	#10	102.5
4/9	vs BOS	W112-106	19	4.5	7	Over	7	7	0	0	3	1	3-475%	3d	#4	95.6
4/6	@ ATL	W108-105	20	4.5	8	Over	8	12	1	0	2	3	4-667%	3d	#10	102.5
4/3	vs CHI	W136-96	23	7.5	17	Over	17	11	0	0	2	1	7-7100%	3d	#22	103.2
3/31	@ HOU	L94-111	16	4.5	5	Over	5	5	0	0	1	0	2-450%	2d	#6	97.0
3/29	@ OKC	L100-111	17	4.5	3	Under	3	4	0	0	0	2	1-333%	3d	#1	100.4
3/26	@ CHA	L103-114	26	4.5	4	Under	4	6	1	0	1	1	2-2100%	2d	#11	97.6
3/24	vs NOP	W121-116	21	—	11	—	11	8	0	0	1	2	5-5100%	2d	#23	101.4
3/22	vs WAS	W145-113	17	6.5	10	Over	10	10	1	0	0	2	5-5100%	2d	#30	102.5
3/20	@ BKN	W93-92	24	6.5	3	Under	3	10	0	0	1	3	1-250%	3d	#25	97.6
3/17	vs IND	W136-110	19	5.5	8	Over	8	8	3	0	1	0	4-580%	2d	#24	101.8
3/15	vs GSW	W110-107	17	5.5	4	Under	4	10	0	0	3	2	2-2100%	2d	#16	100.0
3/13	@ IND	W101-92	31	7.5	12	Over	12	22	0	0	2	2	6-1060%	2d	#24	101.8
3/11	@ UTA	W134-117	22	5.5	6	Over	6	13	3	0	1	0	3-475%	3d	#29	103.5
3/8	@ LAL	L97-110	17	5.5	4	Under	4	4	0	0	1	0	2-367%	2d	#20	99.2
3/6	@ DEN	W142-103	14	4.5	13	Over	13	5	1	0	0	0	6-786%	3d	#21	99.5
3/3	@ TOR	W111-95	20	4.5	2	Under	2	10	0	0	2	0	1-1100%	2d	#5	99.2
3/1	vs SAS	W114-89	15	4.5	4	Under	4	5	0	0	1	1	2-2100%	2d	#3	100.7
2/27	@ MIL	W127-98	16	4.5	0	Under	0	3	3	0	1	2	0-0	3d	#26	98.3
2/24	@ CLE	L94-109	19	4.5	11	Over	11	16	1	0	0	2	5-683%	3d	#15	100.7
2/21	vs HOU	W108-106	18	4.5	6	Over	6	4	0	0	0	0	3-560%	2d	#6	97.0
2/19	vs DET	L111-126	19	4.5	7	Over	7	6	0	0	2	1	2-450%	8d	#2	99.9
2/11	@ PHI	W138-89	15	4.5	11	Over	11	6	0	0	0	4	3-3100%	3d	#17	100.4
2/8	@ BOS	W111-89	16	4.5	5	Over	5	9	2	0	0	0	1-250%	2d	#4	95.6
2/6	@ DET	L80-118	20	5.5	4	Under	4	3	0	0	0	0	2-2100%	2d	#2	99.9
2/4	vs DEN	W134-127	23	5.5	10	Over	10	8	0	0	1	1	5-5100%	3d	#21	99.5
2/1	vs LAL	W112-100	23	5.5	0	Under	0	7	1	0	0	1	0-10%	2d	#20	99.2
1/30	vs POR	W127-97	17	5.5	2	Under	2	7	2	0	0	0	1-1100%	3d	#12	101.6
1/27	vs SAC	W103-87	27	5.5	7	Over	7	13	0	0	2	0	3-560%	3d	#28	100.1
1/24	@ PHI	W112-109	27	5.5	6	Over	6	10	0	0	2	2	3-475%	3d	#17	100.4
1/21	vs BKN	W120-66	17	4.5	7	Over	7	7	0	0	1	2	3-3100%	2d	#25	97.6
1/19	vs DAL	L97-114	19	4.5	12	Over	12	14	0	0	0	2	6-875%	2d	#19	102.6
1/17	vs PHX	L99-106	19	5.5	1	Under	1	10	2	0	0	1	0-10%	3d	#9	98.1
1/14	@ SAC	L101-112	19	4.5	8	Over	8	11	0	0	1	1	3-3100%	3d	#28	100.1
1/11	@ POR	W123-114	25	3.5	6	Over	6	11	2	0	3	3	3-560%	2d	#12	101.6
1/9	@ PHX	L107-112	24	4.5	8	Over	8	14	1	0	0	0	4-580%	2d	#9	98.1
1/7	vs LAC	W123-111	24	4.5	4	Under	4	9	1	0	0	2	2-540%	2d	#18	97.3
1/5	@ DET	L90-121	25	3.5	2	Under	2	10	1	0	0	1	1-333%	2d	#2	99.9
1/3	vs PHI	L119-130	19	5.5	2	Under	2	5	2	0	2	0	1-250%	7d	#17	100.4
12/27	@ ATL	W128-125	18	5.5	6	Over	6	9	1	0	2	1	3-3100%	2d	#10	102.5
12/25	vs CLE	W126-124	17	5.5	0	Under	0	13	2	0	0	1	0-10%	2d	#15	100.7
12/23	@ MIN	L104-115	26	6.5	2	Under	2	7	1	0	1	2	1-425%	2d	#8	101.5
12/21	vs MIA	W132-125	22	5.5	9	Over	9	7	2	0	2	1	3-475%	2d	#14	104.2
12/19	vs PHI	L107-116	26	3.5	21	Over	21	16	1	0	1	2	7-888%	3d	#17	100.4
12/16	vs SAS	W124-113	18	3.5	4	Over	4	15	2	0	1	2	2-633%	3d	#3	100.7
12/13	@ ORL	W132-120	17	3.5	5	Over	5	9	0	0	0	4	2-2100%	4d	#13	100.6
12/9	@ TOR	W117-101	16	3.5	2	Under	2	5	4	0	1	1	0-0	2d	#5	99.2
12/7	vs ORL	W106-100	25	5.5	6	Over	6	13	2	0	1	1	3-475%	2d	#13	100.6
12/5	vs UTA	W146-112	16	4.5	4	Under	4	7	1	0	2	1	2-2100%	3d	#29	103.5
12/2	@ BOS	L117-123	16	3.5	1	Under	1	5	0	0	0	0	0-0	2d	#4	95.6
11/30	vs TOR	W116-94	17	4.5	2	Under	2	15	0	0	0	0	1-425%	2d	#5	99.2
11/28	vs MIL	W118-109	19	3.5	6	Over	6	7	1	0	2	0	3-3100%	2d	#26	98.3
11/26	@ CHA	W129-101	17	4.5	0	Under	0	5	1	0	3	1	0-0	4d	#11	97.6
11/22	@ ORL	L121-133	17	4.5	6	Over	6	3	0	0	0	2	3-3100%	3d	#13	100.6
11/19	@ DAL	W113-111	22	5.5	3	Under	3	8	1	0	0	1	1-1100%	2d	#19	102.6
11/17	@ MIA	L113-115	18	5.5	5	Under	5	11	1	0	1	0	2-367%	3d	#14	104.2
11/14	vs MIA	W140-132	14	5.5	0	Under	0	10	2	0	0	0	0-20%	2d	#14	104.2
11/12	vs ORL	L107-124	17	5.5	2	Under	2	8	0	0	0	0	1-250%	3d	#13	100.6
11/9	vs BKN	W134-98	17	4.5	8	Over	8	8	0	0	2	2	4-4100%	4d	#25	97.6
11/5	vs MIN	W137-114	16	4.5	8	Over	8	10	1	0	1	3	4-580%	3d	#8	101.5
11/2	vs CHI	W128-116	13	5.5	0	Under	0	5	1	0	0	2	0-30%	2d	#22	103.2
10/31	@ CHI	L125-135	20	4.5	4	Under	4	11	2	0	0	0	2-367%	22d	#22	103.2
10/9	vs MIN	W100-95	13	—	1	—	1	6	0	0	1	1	0-0	5d	#8	101.5
10/4	@ PHI	W113-104	13	—	6	—	6	8	0	0	0	0	3-560%	2d	#17	100.4
10/2	vs PHI	W99-84	18	—	7	—	7	16	1	0	1	1	3-650%	—	#17	100.4
Averages			18.1	4.7	5.5		5.5	8.1	0.7	0.0	0.8	1.0	70%	3.1d	#14	100.5

Prop odds

Points 3.5 — over/under odds across the market.

Open Line

O 3.5-108

U 3.5-122

Consensus

O 3.5-102

U 3.5-129

DraftKings

O 3.5-106

U 3.5-120

FanDuel

O 3.5+108

U 3.5-138

BetMGM

O 3.5+100

U 3.5-135

BetRivers

O 3.5-106

U 3.5-129

ESPN BET

O 4.5+150

U 4.5-200

Hard Rock Bet

O 3.5-105

U 3.5-125

Bovada

O 4.5+160

U 4.5-215

Take this research further

Each question opens in the Research Assistant with this player's context pre-loaded.

Common questions

Auto-generated from the data on this page. Research, not picks.

What is Mitchell Robinson's points prop tonight?: Mitchell Robinson's points line is set at 3.5 for the New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs game (Jun 13 · 8:30 PM ET). nuvela.ai is research, not a pick.
How often does Mitchell Robinson go over 3.5 points?: Over the last 10 games, Mitchell Robinson has gone over 3.5 points 7 times (70%).
What does Nuvela project for Mitchell Robinson's points?: Nuvela's data-based projection is 4.3 points, compared with the market line of 3.5. Nuvela surfaces the research behind the line; it does not make picks.

Window

Median

Over win%

3/5

60%

L10

4.5

7/10

70%

L20

14/20

70%

Season

55/81

68%

Pos

Rank

Pts

Ast

Reb

21.1

6.9

5.8

31.9

7.5

9.4

25.5

5.1

9.1

19.4

3.7

8.7

18.0

4.0

11.3

Player

Date

Min

Points

vs 3.5

I. JacksonLAC

3/16

above

I. HartensteinOKC

5/30

above

D. GaffordDAL

2/7

above

J. PoeltlTOR

2/25

above

J. BeringerMIN

5/15

above

W. Carter Jr.ORL

2/1

below

Date

Matchup

Score

Min

Line

Points

O/U

PTS

REB

AST

3PM

STL

BLK

Rest

Def

Pace

6/10PO

vs SAS

W107-106

3.5

Under

1-520%

100.7

6/8PO

vs SAS

L111-115

3.5

Over

2-367%

100.7

6/5PO

@ SAS

W105-104

3.5

Over

2-2100%

100.7

6/3PO

@ SAS

W105-95

3.5

Under

1-250%

100.7

5/25PO

@ CLE

W130-93

3.5

Over

4-667%

#15

100.7

5/23PO

@ CLE

W121-108

4.5

Under

1-1100%

#15

100.7

5/21PO

vs CLE

W109-93

4.5

Under

2-2100%

#15

100.7

5/19PO

vs CLE

W115-104

4.5

Under

1-333%

#15

100.7

5/10PO

@ PHI

W144-114

4.5

Over

2-450%

#17

100.4

5/8PO

@ PHI

W108-94

4.5

Over

1-333%

#17

100.4

5/4PO

vs PHI

W137-98

4.5

Under

1-1100%

#17

100.4

4/30PO

@ ATL

W140-89

3.5

Over

3-3100%

#10

102.5

4/28PO

vs ATL

W126-97

3.5

Over

3-3100%

#10

102.5

4/25PO

@ ATL

W114-98

4.5

Over

2-367%

#10

102.5

4/23PO

@ ATL

L108-109

4.5

Under

1-250%

#10

102.5

4/20PO

vs ATL

L106-107

4.5

Over

6-6100%

#10

102.5

4/18PO

vs ATL

W113-102

5.5

Under

1-1100%

#10

102.5

4/9

vs BOS

W112-106

4.5

Over

3-475%

95.6

4/6

@ ATL

W108-105

4.5

Over

4-667%

#10

102.5

4/3

vs CHI

W136-96

7.5

Over

7-7100%

#22

103.2

3/31

@ HOU

L94-111

4.5

Over

2-450%

97.0

3/29

@ OKC

L100-111

4.5

Under

1-333%

100.4

3/26

@ CHA

L103-114

4.5

Under

2-2100%

#11

97.6

3/24

vs NOP

W121-116

—

5-5100%

#23

101.4

3/22

vs WAS

W145-113

6.5

Over

5-5100%

#30

102.5

3/20

@ BKN

W93-92

6.5

Under

1-250%

#25

97.6

3/17

vs IND

W136-110

5.5

Over

4-580%

#24

101.8

3/15

vs GSW

W110-107

5.5

Under

2-2100%

#16

100.0

3/13

@ IND

W101-92

7.5

Over

6-1060%

#24

101.8

3/11

@ UTA

W134-117

5.5

Over

3-475%

#29

103.5

3/8

@ LAL

L97-110

5.5

Under

2-367%

#20

99.2

3/6

@ DEN

W142-103

4.5

Over

6-786%

#21

99.5

3/3

@ TOR

W111-95

4.5

Under

1-1100%

99.2

3/1

vs SAS

W114-89

4.5

Under

2-2100%

100.7

2/27

@ MIL

W127-98

4.5

Under

0-0

#26

98.3

2/24

@ CLE

L94-109

4.5

Over

5-683%

#15

100.7

2/21

vs HOU

W108-106

4.5

Over

3-560%

97.0

2/19

vs DET

L111-126

4.5

Over

2-450%

99.9

2/11

@ PHI

W138-89

4.5

Over

3-3100%

#17

100.4

2/8

@ BOS

W111-89

4.5

Over

1-250%

95.6

2/6

@ DET

L80-118

5.5

Under

2-2100%

99.9

2/4

vs DEN

W134-127

5.5

Over

5-5100%

#21

99.5

2/1

vs LAL

W112-100

5.5

Under

0-10%

#20

99.2

1/30

vs POR

W127-97

5.5

Under

1-1100%

#12

101.6

1/27

vs SAC

W103-87

5.5

Over

3-560%

#28

100.1

1/24

@ PHI

W112-109

5.5

Over

3-475%

#17

100.4

1/21

vs BKN

W120-66

4.5

Over

3-3100%

#25

97.6

1/19

vs DAL

L97-114

4.5

Over

6-875%

#19

102.6

1/17

vs PHX

L99-106

5.5

Under

0-10%

98.1

1/14

@ SAC

L101-112

4.5

Over

3-3100%

#28

100.1

1/11

@ POR

W123-114

3.5

Over

3-560%

#12

101.6

1/9

@ PHX

L107-112

4.5

Over

4-580%

98.1

1/7

vs LAC

W123-111

4.5

Under

2-540%

#18

97.3

1/5

@ DET

L90-121

3.5

Under

1-333%

99.9

1/3

vs PHI

L119-130

5.5

Under

1-250%

#17

100.4

12/27

@ ATL

W128-125

5.5

Over

3-3100%

#10

102.5

12/25

vs CLE

W126-124

5.5

Under

0-10%

#15

100.7

12/23

@ MIN

L104-115

6.5

Under

1-425%

101.5

12/21

vs MIA

W132-125

5.5

Over

3-475%

#14

104.2

12/19

vs PHI

L107-116

3.5

Over

7-888%

#17

100.4

12/16

vs SAS

W124-113

3.5

Over

2-633%

100.7

12/13

@ ORL

W132-120

3.5

Over

2-2100%

#13

100.6

12/9

@ TOR

W117-101

3.5

Under

0-0

99.2

12/7

vs ORL

W106-100

5.5

Over

3-475%

#13

100.6

12/5

vs UTA

W146-112

4.5

Under

2-2100%

#29

103.5

12/2

@ BOS

L117-123

3.5

Under

0-0

95.6

11/30

vs TOR

W116-94

4.5

Under

1-425%

99.2

11/28

vs MIL

W118-109

3.5

Over

3-3100%

#26

98.3

11/26

@ CHA

W129-101

4.5

Under

0-0

#11

97.6

11/22

@ ORL

L121-133

4.5

Over

3-3100%

#13

100.6

11/19

@ DAL

W113-111

5.5

Under

1-1100%

#19

102.6

11/17

@ MIA

L113-115

5.5

Under

2-367%

#14

104.2

11/14

vs MIA

W140-132

5.5

Under

0-20%

#14

104.2

11/12

vs ORL

L107-124

5.5

Under

1-250%

#13

100.6

11/9

vs BKN

W134-98

4.5

Over

4-4100%

#25

97.6

11/5

vs MIN

W137-114

4.5

Over

4-580%

101.5

11/2

vs CHI

W128-116

5.5

Under

0-30%

#22

103.2

10/31

@ CHI

L125-135

4.5

Under

2-367%

22d

#22

103.2

10/9

vs MIN

W100-95

—

0-0

101.5

10/4

@ PHI

W113-104

—

3-560%

#17

100.4

10/2

vs PHI

W99-84

—

3-650%

—

#17

100.4

Averages

18.1

4.7

5.5

8.1

0.7

0.0

0.8

1.0

70%

3.1d

#14

100.5