Flowers
WR · BAL @ BUF
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points18.1pts
Brown
WR · NE @ MIA
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: DNP · Knee
Projected points12.3pts
if he plays · 46% to play
Start
Bench
A.J. Brown or Zay Flowers: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Zay Flowers over A.J. Brown.
- Ahead by
- +12.5pts
- over Brown
- Confidence
- High
- A.J. Brown may not play (about 46% to play)
- Started
- 99%
- of leagues
Flips if
An injury tag on Zay Flowers or a bigger role for A.J. Brown.
Risk
A.J. Brown missed practice (knee): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. Weather in A.J. Brown's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
FlowersStartWR · BAL @ BUFUsually 20.2−2.1pts this week
Helps him
- 31%targetsHe draws 31% of his team’s targets.
- BUFvs WRsEdgeBUF is the softest defense for receivers.
- 11.4floorA quiet week still projects to about 11.4 points.
Hurts him
- −1.1ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 82.5 receiving yards, below his usual 93.5.
- −1.0ptscatchesHis lines put him at 6.5 catches, below his usual 7.5.
BrownFirst outWR · NE @ MIAUsually 6.4+5.9pts this week
Helps him
- +2.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.49 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
- +1.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 48.5 receiving yards, above his usual 33.7.
- +1.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 4.5 catches, above his usual 3.0.
Hurts him
- MIAvs WRsEdgeMIA is the 4th toughest defense for receivers.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionFlowers: 18.1 (best)Brown: 12.3
TD pointsof the projectionFlowers: 3.0 (best)Brown: 2.9
Expected TDsthis weekFlowers: 0.50 (best)Brown: 0.49
Projected team pointsFlowers: 25.8 (best)Brown: 25.0
Red zone targetsper gameFlowers: 1.2 (best)Brown: 1.0
Role
Snap shareFlowers: 65%Brown: 70% (best)
Usage worthptsFlowers: 15.1 (best)Brown: 11.7
Target shareFlowers: 31% (best)Brown: 22%
Targets / gameFlowers: 8.8 (best)Brown: 6.7
Air yards shareFlowers: 33%Brown: 36% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsFlowers: AboveBrown: Below
WOPRFlowers: 0.69 (best)Brown: 0.56
RZ target shareFlowers: 27%Brown: 30% (best)
Catch rateFlowers: 75% (best)Brown: 45%
SeparationFlowers: 3.1 yds (best)Brown: 2.1 yds
YAC over expectedFlowers: +2.0 (best)Brown: −1.1
Usage worth vs scoredFlowers: Earned by usage 15.1Scored 20.4Brown: Earned by usage 11.7Scored 6.4
Vacated targets this weekFlowers: 0.7Brown: 9.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareFlowers: 8%Brown: 17% (best)
Range
FloorFlowers: 11.4 (best)Brown: 6.8
CeilingFlowers: 27.1 (best)Brown: 20.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerFlowers: 15%Brown: 0%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Flowers: 50%Brown: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterFlowers: 0%Brown: 3 games
SteadinessFlowers: Very steady±6.8 pts · 6 gamesBrown: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmFlowers: A+ (best)Brown: D-
Game scriptFlowers: Expected to trailBrown: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterFlowers: 1.0Brown: 0.8 (best)
Defense funnelFlowers: NeutralBrown: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedFlowers: 31st (soft) (best)Brown: 18th (average)
Starting QBFlowers: Huntley (Active)Brown: Maye (Active)
WeatherFlowers: No concernBrown: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfaceFlowers: OpenturfBrown: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleFlowers: NormalBrown: 10 days rest
Opp paceFlowers: 24th (slow) (best)Brown: 31st (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameFlowers: 3.2 (best)17th (average)Brown: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedFlowers: 64%21st (average)Brown: 72% (best)31st (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgFlowers: 18.3 (best)Brown: 6.4
Last 5 avgFlowers: 19.2 (best)Brown: 6.4
vs seasonFlowers: −2.0 (Cooling)Brown: Rising (best)
Yards per route runFlowers: 4.08 (best)Brown: 1.46
Receiving aDOTFlowers: 8.2Brown: 13.4
Target share trendFlowers: SteadyBrown: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesFlowers: 99% (best)Brown: 83%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterFlowers: WR5 (best)Brown: WR19
Yards linereceivingFlowers: 82.5 (best)Brown: 48.5
Deciding on someone else?
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