QBKC vs LVQB1217.0 projected (13.3–26.9)PPR

Should I start Patrick Mahomes in Week 4?

Start Patrick Mahomes in Week 4. Mahomes projects 17.0 PPR points to Jalen Hurts's 16.6.

Measured against the QB12 start line: Jalen Hurts, QB13 at 16.6 projected PPR points, the first quarterback below it.

Week 4 · Updated Tue 6:00 AM ET

Why Patrick Mahomes

Start Patrick Mahomes — projects 17.0, an even matchup vs LV, with a rising role.

Patrick Mahomes projects 17.0 points on a 13.3–26.9 range. The matchup grades as neutral against LV. Usage: pass attempts / game at 35.9. Net: Patrick Mahomes is start this week.

Working for Mahomes: Spike upside (26.9 ceiling), Heating up (22.2 last 3).

Matchup

Patrick Mahomes (KC) faces LV, kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 26.0, spread -4.5.

Recent form

Patrick Mahomes's last 5 games: PPR points 6.3, 13.1, 21.7, 29, 15.9 (oldest to newest).

At least 1 of these 5 were played before the 2026 season — the card does not date them.

What flips it

Mahomes's edge is 0.4 points (17 to 16.6). Hurts's ceiling (24.1) clears Mahomes's projection, so a big game from Hurts flips it. Mahomes's floor (13.3) sits under Hurts's projection, so a quiet game from Mahomes flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.

Compare Patrick Mahomes with…

The players closest to Patrick Mahomesin this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.