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Sit or start?
Week7 · 2026
Scoring

Updated Fri 23 Oct, 7:04 PM ET

Bench
RBCAR

AJ Dillon

Carolina Panthers

vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersSun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Full

Projected
3.8pts
Week rank
RB53
Started
—

Range if activeNuvela estimate

Floor 2.7Ceiling 5.9

RBCAR vs TBRB533.8 projected (2.7–5.9)PPR

Should I start AJ Dillon in Week 7?

Sit AJ Dillon in Week 7.

Dillon projects 3.8 PPR points to Quinshon Judkins’s 11.0.

Measured against the RB24 start line: Quinshon Judkins, RB24 at 11.0 projected PPR points, the last running back inside it.

ConfidenceHighStart · 7.2 pts · The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate

Edge

Quinshon Judkins projects 7.2 more than AJ Dillon.

Why

His lines put him at 0.44 touchdowns, above his usual 0.20.

What flips it

If Quinshon Judkins is ruled out or inactive, start AJ Dillon.

Why AJ Dillon

Sit AJ Dillon, 7.2 pts behind Quinshon Judkins.

Working for Dillon: Room to bounce back, Positive game script (Expected to lead).

Working against Dillon: Committee back (10% of touches), Tough matchup (C- vs RB · 2026, 6 gm).

Matchup

AJ Dillon (CAR) faces TB, kickoff Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. His team projects 23.8 points. His team is expected to lead.

Recent form

AJ Dillon's last 5 games: PPR points 2025 Wk 18 · 1.3, Wk 1 · 2.8, Wk 2 · -0.3, Wk 3 · 2.4, Wk 4 · 1.7 (oldest to newest).

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Compare AJ Dillon with…

The players closest to AJ Dillon in this week’s PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning, or compare your own players.

AJ DillonRB53 · 3.8 proj

Pick 1 to 4 players to compare with Dillon.

Closest calls

More close calls for Dillon

More RB start/sit callsRunning backs this week: the Week 7 RB rankings and all 489 calls

Stats behind the call

Each of Dillon’s figures beside the RB24 start line. Blue means he’s ahead of it.

StatDillonBenchvs TBRB24 lineJudkins · @ TEN
Scoring
ProjectionDillon: 3.8Judkins: 11.0
TD pointsof the projectionDillon: Our estimateJudkins: 2.6
Expected TDsthis weekDillon: Our estimateJudkins: 0.44
Projected team pointsDillon: 23.8 (ahead of the line)Judkins: 19.5
Goal line carriesper gameDillon: 0.0Judkins: 0.6
Red zone carriesper gameDillon: 0.3Judkins: 1.8
Red zone targetsper gameDillon: 0.0Judkins: 0.8
Range
Last 5 games PPR pointsRB24 line 11.0Avg 1.6AJ Dillon’s last 5 games in PPR points, oldest to newest: 2025 Week 18, 1.3; Week 1, 2.8; Week 2, -0.3; Week 3, 2.4; Week 4, 1.7. Week 7 projection 3.8. The RB24 start line is 11.0.
FloorDillon: 2.7Judkins: 7.2
CeilingDillon: 5.9Judkins: 16.0
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDillon: 0%Judkins: 11%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Dillon: 0%Judkins: 20%
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterDillon: 100%Judkins: 20%
SteadinessDillon: Up & down±1.4 pts · 4 gamesJudkins: Steady±5.9 pts · 5 games

AJ Dillon player props

Hit rates, game log and usage: AJ Dillon props.

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