New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
New comparison
Lean

St. Brown

WR · DET vs MIN

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points17.7pts

First out

Jefferson

WR · MIN @ DET

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points15.8pts

Lean

Bench

Amon-Ra St. Brown or Justin Jefferson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson.

Ahead by
+1.9pts
over Jefferson
Confidence
Moderate
Lean
Started
98%
of leagues

Flips if

Start Justin Jefferson instead if you want the easier matchup (the 2nd softest defense for receivers, while Brown faces the toughest defense for receivers).

Risk

Justin Jefferson has played 2 games since missing time.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 1:00 PM ET
St. BrownLeanWR · DET vs MINUsually 21.4−3.7pts this week

Helps him

  1. 11.3per gameHe sees 11.3 targets a game.
  2. 2.7red zoneHe gets 2.7 red zone targets a game, a real path to touchdowns.
  3. 87%snapsHe is on the field for 87% of snaps.

Hurts him

  1. −1.6ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.56 touchdowns, below his usual 0.83.
  2. −1.2ptscatchesHis lines put him at 6.5 catches, below his usual 7.7.
  3. −1.0ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 77.5 receiving yards, below his usual 87.5.
  4. MINvs WRsEdgeMIN is the toughest defense for receivers.
JeffersonFirst outWR · MIN @ DETUsually 16.7−0.9pts this week

Helps him

  1. +0.9ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 76.5 receiving yards, above his usual 67.5.
  2. DETvs WRsEdgeDET is the 2nd softest defense for receivers.

Hurts him

  1. −1.9ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.43 touchdowns, below his usual 0.75.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionSt. Brown: 17.7 (best)Jefferson: 15.8
TD pointsof the projectionSt. Brown: 3.4 (best)Jefferson: 2.6
Expected TDsthis weekSt. Brown: 0.56 (best)Jefferson: 0.43
Projected team pointsSt. Brown: 24.8 (best)Jefferson: 21.3
Red zone targetsper gameSt. Brown: 2.7 (best)Jefferson: 1.2
Role
Snap shareSt. Brown: 87% (best)Jefferson: 77%
Usage worthptsSt. Brown: 20.7 (best)Jefferson: 11.2
Target shareSt. Brown: 32% (best)Jefferson: 26%
Targets / gameSt. Brown: 11.3 (best)Jefferson: 6.2
Air yards shareSt. Brown: 35%Jefferson: 35%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsSt. Brown: AboveJefferson: Above
WOPRSt. Brown: 0.73 (best)Jefferson: 0.66
RZ target shareSt. Brown: 35% (best)Jefferson: 31%
Catch rateSt. Brown: 68%Jefferson: 74% (best)
SeparationSt. Brown: 2.7 ydsJefferson: 2.9 yds (best)
YAC over expectedSt. Brown: −1.1Jefferson: +1.0 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredSt. Brown: Earned by usage 20.7Scored 21.4Jefferson: Earned by usage 11.2Scored 14.4
Vacated targets this weekSt. Brown: 0.0Jefferson: 1.7 (best)
Inside 10 target shareSt. Brown: 27% (best)Jefferson: 25%
Range
FloorSt. Brown: 11.8 (best)Jefferson: 8.5
CeilingSt. Brown: 27.5 (best)Jefferson: 25.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerSt. Brown: 23%Jefferson: 25%
Big weeks (20+ pts)St. Brown: 46% (best)Jefferson: 25%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterSt. Brown: 4%Jefferson: 0% (best)
SteadinessSt. Brown: Very steady (best)±9.5 ptsJefferson: Steady±10.8 pts · 4 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmSt. Brown: FJefferson: A+ (best)
Game scriptSt. Brown: Expected to lead (best)Jefferson: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterSt. Brown: 1.8Jefferson: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelSt. Brown: NeutralJefferson: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedSt. Brown: 2nd (tough)Jefferson: 32nd (soft) (best)
Starting QBSt. Brown: Goff (Active)Jefferson: Murray (Active)
Roof / surfaceturfSt. Brown: DomeJefferson: Dome
Rest / scheduleSt. Brown: NormalJefferson: Normal
Opp paceSt. Brown: 26th (slow)Jefferson: 4th (fast) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameSt. Brown: 2.37th (tough)Jefferson: 4.3 (best)28th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedSt. Brown: 58%8th (tough)Jefferson: 66% (best)27th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgSt. Brown: 17.5 (best)Jefferson: 10.8
Last 5 avgSt. Brown: 19.9 (best)Jefferson: 14.4
vs seasonSt. Brown: −3.9 (Cooling)Jefferson: −3.6 (Cooling) (best)
Yards per route runSt. Brown: 2.46Jefferson: 2.90 (best)
Receiving aDOTSt. Brown: 8.9Jefferson: 10.9
Target share trendSt. Brown: SteadyJefferson: Left Week 3 hurt
Games since injurySt. Brown: None recentlyJefferson: 2
Crowd
Started in leaguesSt. Brown: 99% (best)Jefferson: 97%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterSt. Brown: WR6 (best)Jefferson: WR9
Yards linereceivingSt. Brown: 77.5 (best)Jefferson: 76.5

Deciding on someone else?

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