Godwin
WR · TB vs ATL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Rest day
Projected points8.4pts
Douglas
WR · MIA vs NE
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points7.6pts
Toss-up
Bench
Caleb Douglas or Chris Godwin Jr.: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Chris Godwin Jr. gets the nod over Caleb Douglas.
- Ahead by
- +0.8pts
- over Douglas
- Confidence
- Lower
- Toss-up
- Started
- 38%
- of leagues
Case for Douglas
The case for Douglas is more upside (a ceiling of 12.5 to 11.7) and a defense that allows more catches (66% of targets to 64%).
Flips if
An injury tag on Chris Godwin Jr. or a bigger role for Caleb Douglas.
Risk
Weather in Chris Godwin Jr.'s game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. Caleb Douglas has played 1 game since missing time. Weather in Caleb Douglas's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
GodwinToss-upWR · TB vs ATLUsually 7.6+0.8pts this week
Helps him
- +1.8ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.30 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
- more targets this weekEdgeWith Egbuka out, more targets should come his way this week.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 29.5 receiving yards, below his usual 34.7.
- 4.9per gameHe sees only 4.9 targets a game.
DouglasFirst outWR · MIA vs NEUsually 13.1−5.5pts this week
Helps him
- 21.0last weekHe caught 2 for 70 yards and two touchdowns last week (21.0 points).
Hurts him
- −2.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.21 touchdowns, below his usual 0.67.
- −2.4ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 37.5 receiving yards, below his usual 61.0.
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 3.0.
- 4.3per gameHe sees only 4.3 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionGodwin: 8.4 (best)Douglas: 7.6
TD pointsof the projectionGodwin: 1.8 (best)Douglas: 1.3
Expected TDsthis weekGodwin: 0.30 (best)Douglas: 0.21
Projected team pointsGodwin: 23.3 (best)Douglas: 18.0
Red zone targetsper gameGodwin: 0.4Douglas: 0.7 (best)
Role
Snap shareGodwin: 82%Douglas: 82%
Usage worthptsGodwin: 7.8 (best)Douglas: 7.5
Target shareGodwin: 20% (best)Douglas: 18%
Targets / gameGodwin: 4.9 (best)Douglas: 4.3
Air yards shareGodwin: 9%Douglas: 23% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsGodwin: BelowDouglas: 2 RZ targets
WOPRGodwin: 0.32Douglas: 0.42 (best)
RZ target shareGodwin: 11%Douglas: 50% (best)
Catch rateGodwin: 79% (best)Douglas: 69%
SeparationGodwin: 4.8 ydsDouglas: 5.3 yds (best)
YAC over expectedGodwin: +1.3 (best)Douglas: +0.8
Usage worth vs scoredGodwin: Earned by usage 7.8Scored 7.6Douglas: Earned by usage 7.5Scored 13.1
Vacated targets this weekGodwin: 9.2 (best)Douglas: 0.0
Inside 10 target shareGodwin: 0%Douglas: 100% (best)
Range
FloorGodwin: 6.1 (best)Douglas: 4.2
CeilingGodwin: 11.7Douglas: 12.5 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerGodwin: 0%Douglas: 31%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Godwin: 4%Douglas: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterGodwin: 34%Douglas: 3 games
SteadinessGodwin: Steady±4.2 ptsDouglas: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmGodwin: B- (best)Douglas: C+
Game scriptGodwin: Expected to lead (best)Douglas: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterGodwin: 1.3Douglas: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelGodwin: NeutralDouglas: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedGodwin: 29th (soft) (best)Douglas: 19th (average)
Starting QBGodwin: Mayfield (Active)Douglas: Willis (Active)
WeatherGodwin: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rainDouglas: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassGodwin: OpenDouglas: Open
Rest / scheduleGodwin: NormalDouglas: Normal
Opp paceGodwin: 21st (average)Douglas: 16th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameGodwin: 4.7 (best)30th (soft)Douglas: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedGodwin: 64%22nd (soft)Douglas: 66% (best)26th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgGodwin: 7.1Douglas: 13.1 (best)
Last 5 avgGodwin: 7.2Douglas: 13.1 (best)
vs seasonGodwin: −0.5 (Steady)Douglas: Rising (best)
Yards per route runGodwin: 1.33Douglas: 2.86 (best)
Receiving aDOTGodwin: 3.5Douglas: 10.5
Target share trendGodwin: RisingDouglas: Steady
Games since injuryGodwin: None recentlyDouglas: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesGodwin: 39%Douglas: 61% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterGodwin: WR47 (best)Douglas: WR51
Yards linereceivingGodwin: 29.5Douglas: 37.5 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
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