Williams
WR · WAS vs IND
Proj pts
6.2pts
market
Slayton
WR · NYG vs ARI
Proj pts
6pts
market
Antonio Williams or Darius Slayton: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Antonio Williams over Darius Slayton by 0.2. Antonio Williams leads at 6.2. Darius Slayton is the first one out, 0.2 short.
Highlights
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A vs WR
- Big-play upside33% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share12% target share
- Thin volume3.7 targets/g
Cons
- Thin volume4.5 targets/g
- Shaky floor4.4 floor
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: Williams 2, Slayton 8.
Latest game on the card: Slayton 9.4 (PPR points).
Why Antonio Williams
Start Antonio Williams — projects 6.2, a favorable matchup vs IND.
Antonio Williams projects 6.2 points. The matchup grades as favorable against IND. Usage: targets / game at 3.7. Net: start Antonio Williams this week.
Working for Williams: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A vs WR), Big-play upside (33% boom weeks).
Working against Williams: Low target share (12% target share), Thin volume (3.7 targets/g).
Where Williams leads the head-to-head: Projection (6.2 vs 6.0); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A vs C+); Implied team total (22.5 vs 21.0); Last 3 avg (8.4 vs 5.6); Last 5 avg (8.4 vs 8.0); Boom rate (33% vs 21%).
Why Darius Slayton
Sit Darius Slayton — projects 6.0, an even matchup vs ARI.
Darius Slayton projects 6.0 points on a 4.4–12.3 range. The matchup grades as neutral against ARI. Usage: targets / game at 4.5. Net: bench Darius Slayton this week.
Working against Slayton: Thin volume (4.5 targets/g), Shaky floor (4.4 floor).
Where Slayton leads the head-to-head: Target share (15% vs 12%); vs season (+0.4 vs +0.0); Consistency (44% vs 33%); Bust rate (21% vs 33%); Targets / game (4.5 vs 3.7); Snap share (81% vs 42%); Red zone targets (8 vs 2).
Recent form
Antonio Williams's last 3 games: PPR points 3.5, 5.4, 16.4 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Darius Slayton's last 5 games: PPR points 14.1, 9.3, 1.8, 5.6, 9.4 (oldest to newest).
Williams has already beaten Slayton's 6 projection in 1 of his 3; Slayton has beaten Williams's 6.2 in 3 of his 5.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Antonio Williams (WAS) faces IND, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 22.5, spread +3.5.
Darius Slayton (NYG) faces ARI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 21.0, spread +2.5.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)