Mooney
WR · NYG vs ARI
Proj pts
6.3pts
market
Williams
WR · WAS vs IND
Proj pts
6.2pts
market
Antonio Williams or Darnell Mooney: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Darnell Mooney over Antonio Williams by 0.1. Darnell Mooney leads at 6.3. Antonio Williams is the first one out, 0.1 short.
Highlights
Cons
- Thin volume4.8 targets/g
- Shaky floor4.6 floor
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A vs WR
- Big-play upside33% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share12% target share
- Thin volume3.7 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: Mooney 8, Williams 2.
Latest game on the card: Mooney 4.9 (PPR points).
Why Darnell Mooney
Start Darnell Mooney — projects 6.3, an even matchup vs ARI.
Darnell Mooney projects 6.3 points on a 4.6–6.7 range. The matchup grades as neutral against ARI. Usage: targets / game at 4.8. Net: start Darnell Mooney this week.
Working against Mooney: Thin volume (4.8 targets/g), Shaky floor (4.6 floor).
Where Mooney leads the head-to-head: Projection (6.3 vs 6.2); Target share (16% vs 12%); Targets / game (4.8 vs 3.7); Snap share (82% vs 42%); Red zone targets (8 vs 2).
Why Antonio Williams
Sit Antonio Williams — projects 6.2, a favorable matchup vs IND.
Antonio Williams projects 6.2 points. The matchup grades as favorable against IND. Usage: targets / game at 3.7. Net: bench Antonio Williams this week.
Working for Williams: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A vs WR), Big-play upside (33% boom weeks).
Working against Williams: Low target share (12% target share), Thin volume (3.7 targets/g).
Where Williams leads the head-to-head: Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A vs C+); Implied team total (22.5 vs 21.0); Last 3 avg (8.4 vs 5.5); Last 5 avg (8.4 vs 5.4); vs season (+0.0 vs -0.6); Boom rate (33% vs 20%).
Recent form
Darnell Mooney's last 5 games: PPR points 5.5, 5, 4.7, 6.8, 4.9 (oldest to newest).
Antonio Williams's last 3 games: PPR points 3.5, 5.4, 16.4 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Mooney has already beaten Williams's 6.2 projection in 1 of his 5; Williams has beaten Mooney's 6.3 in 1 of his 3.
At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.
Matchup
Darnell Mooney (NYG) faces ARI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 21.0, spread +2.5.
Antonio Williams (WAS) faces IND, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 22.5, spread +3.5.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)