TeSlaa
WR · DET vs CAR
Proj pts
6.3pts
market
Williams
WR · WAS vs IND
Proj pts
6.2pts
market
Antonio Williams or Isaac TeSlaa: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Isaac TeSlaa over Antonio Williams by 0.1. Isaac TeSlaa leads at 6.3. Antonio Williams is the first one out, 0.1 short.
Highlights
Pros
- High-scoring spot27.0 team total
- Big-play upside36% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share6% target share
- Thin volume1.9 targets/g
Pros
- Favorable matchupFavorable · A vs WR
- Big-play upside33% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share12% target share
- Thin volume3.7 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: TeSlaa 11, Williams 2.
Why Isaac TeSlaa
Start Isaac TeSlaa — projects 6.3, a tough matchup vs CAR.
Isaac TeSlaa projects 6.3 points on a 2.6–14.9 range. The matchup grades as tough against CAR. Usage: targets / game at 1.9. Net: start Isaac TeSlaa this week.
Working for TeSlaa: High-scoring spot (27.0 team total), Big-play upside (36% boom weeks).
Working against TeSlaa: Low target share (6% target share), Thin volume (1.9 targets/g).
Where TeSlaa leads the head-to-head: Projection (6.3 vs 6.2); Implied team total (27.0 vs 22.5); Boom rate (36% vs 33%); Snap share (43% vs 42%); Red zone targets (11 vs 2).
Why Antonio Williams
Sit Antonio Williams — projects 6.2, a favorable matchup vs IND.
Antonio Williams projects 6.2 points. The matchup grades as favorable against IND. Usage: targets / game at 3.7. Net: bench Antonio Williams this week.
Working for Williams: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A vs WR), Big-play upside (33% boom weeks).
Working against Williams: Low target share (12% target share), Thin volume (3.7 targets/g).
Where Williams leads the head-to-head: Target share (12% vs 6%); Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A vs D); Last 3 avg (8.4 vs 4.7); Last 5 avg (8.4 vs 4.7); vs season (+0.0 vs -2.1); Consistency (33% vs 10%); Bust rate (33% vs 36%); Targets / game (3.7 vs 1.9).
Recent form
Isaac TeSlaa's last 3 games: PPR points 0, 4.6, 9.6 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Antonio Williams's last 3 games: PPR points 3.5, 5.4, 16.4 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
TeSlaa has already beaten Williams's 6.2 projection in 1 of his 3; Williams has beaten TeSlaa's 6.3 in 1 of his 3.
Matchup
Isaac TeSlaa (DET) faces CAR, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 27.0, spread -3.5.
Antonio Williams (WAS) faces IND, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 22.5, spread +3.5.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)