Scoring
#1 Start

Tuten

RB · JAX vs CIN

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

16.8pts

market

Mod Conf
Bench

Monangai

RB · CHI vs NYJ

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

15.7pts

market

Mod Conf

Bhayshul Tuten or Kyle Monangai: who should I start in Week 4?

Start Bhayshul Tuten. Bench Kyle Monangai. Bhayshul Tuten leads at 16.8. Kyle Monangai is the first one out, 1.1 short.

Crowd: 85% of managers started Tuten.

Highlights

Bhayshul TutenStart
RB · JAX vs CIN

Pros

  • Run-funnel matchupRun-funnel vs RB
  • Spike upside21.4 ceiling

Cons

  • Committee back11% of touches
Kyle MonangaiBench
RB · CHI vs NYJ

Pros

  • Run-funnel matchupRun-funnel vs RB
  • Positive game scriptFavored

Cons

  • Committee back22% of touches

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

TutenStart
MonangaiBench
Projection16.815.7
Floor8.87.2
Ceiling21.417.4
Touch share11%22%
Opportunity score4.88.9
Matchup grade(recency weighted)A+A+
Implied team total24.523.5

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is touch share: Tuten 11%, Monangai 22%.

Latest game on the card: Tuten 17, Monangai 3.1 (PPR points).

Why Bhayshul Tuten

Start Bhayshul Tuten — projects 16.8, a run-funnel matchup vs CIN, with a rising role.

Bhayshul Tuten projects 16.8 points on a 8.8–21.4 range. The matchup grades as run-funnel against CIN. Usage: carries / game at 5.5. Net: start Bhayshul Tuten this week.

Working for Tuten: Run-funnel matchup (Run-funnel vs RB), Spike upside (21.4 ceiling).

Working against Tuten: Committee back (11% of touches).

Where Tuten leads the head-to-head: Projection (16.8 vs 15.7); Floor (8.8 vs 7.2); Ceiling (21.4 vs 17.4); Implied team total (24.5 vs 23.5); Last 3 avg (13.7 vs 10.4); Last 5 avg (11.7 vs 9.0); vs season (+3.4 vs -1.1); Consistency (45% vs 35%); Boom rate (29% vs 25%).

Why Kyle Monangai

Sit Kyle Monangai — projects 15.7, a run-funnel matchup vs NYJ.

Kyle Monangai projects 15.7 points on a 7.2–17.4 range. The matchup grades as run-funnel against NYJ. Usage: carries / game at 9.9. Net: bench Kyle Monangai this week.

Working for Monangai: Run-funnel matchup (Run-funnel vs RB), Positive game script (Favored).

Working against Monangai: Committee back (22% of touches).

Where Monangai leads the head-to-head: Touch share (22% vs 11%); Opportunity score (8.9 vs 4.8); Bust rate (25% vs 29%); Carries / game (9.9 vs 5.5); Touches / game (11.0 vs 6.2); Target share (6% vs 3%); Yards per carry (4.6 vs 3.7); Snap share (41% vs 21%); Goal line carries (13 vs 8); Red zone carries (42 vs 27).

Recent form

Bhayshul Tuten's last 5 games: PPR points 9.3, 8.3, 9.8, 14.2, 17 (oldest to newest).

Kyle Monangai's last 5 games: PPR points 7.7, 5.9, 20.4, 7.8, 3.1 (oldest to newest).

Tuten has already beaten Monangai's 15.7 projection in 1 of his 5; Monangai has beaten Tuten's 16.8 in 1 of his 5.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Bhayshul Tuten (JAX) faces CIN, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated run-funnel. Betting line: implied team total 24.5, spread +2.5.

Kyle Monangai (CHI) faces NYJ, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated run-funnel. Betting line: implied team total 23.5, spread -3.5.

What flips it

Tuten's edge is 1.1 points (16.8 to 15.7). Monangai's ceiling (17.4) clears Tuten's projection, so a big game from Monangai flips it. Tuten's floor (8.8) sits under Monangai's projection, so a quiet game from Tuten flips it too. Confidence in the call: moderate.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.