Nix
QB · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points15.8pts
Watson
QB · CLE @ PIT
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points13.1pts
Lean
Bench
Bo Nix or Deshaun Watson: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Lean Bo Nix over Deshaun Watson.
- Ahead by
- +2.7pts
- over Watson
- Confidence
- Moderate
- Lean
- Started
- 42%
- of leagues
Flips if
Start Deshaun Watson instead if you want more points with his legs (3.1 a game to 1.8).
Risk
The risk: Watson faces a Steelers defense without defensive tackle Sebastian Joseph-Day.
Highlights
NixLeanQB · DEN vs KCUsually 13.7+2.2pts this week
Helps him
- +2.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, above his usual 1.00.
- +1.0ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 205.5 passing yards, above his usual 181.6.
- 25.0ceilingHis best weeks reach about 25.0 points.
Hurts him
- −0.7ptsrush TDsHis lines put him at 0.17 rushing TDs, below his usual 0.29.
- 5th toughestper passEdgeKC allows plenty of QB chances because teams throw a lot against them; per pass they’re tough (0.41 pts, 5th toughest).
- 10.6floorA quiet week could drop to about 10.6 points.
WatsonFirst outQB · CLE @ PITUsually 15.3−2.2pts this week
Helps him
- steadyHis weekly scores stay close to his average.
Hurts him
- −2.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 0.50 passing TDs, below his usual 1.00.
- −0.5ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 25.5 rushing yards, below his usual 30.7.
- PITvs QBsEdgePIT is the 7th toughest defense for quarterbacks.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionNix: 15.8 (best)Watson: 13.1
Rush TD pointsof the projectionNix: 1.0Watson: 1.2 (best)
Rush TDs expectedthis weekNix: 0.17Watson: 0.20 (best)
Projected team pointsNix: 19.8 (best)Watson: 18.0
Goal line carriesper gameNix: 0.4 (best)Watson: 0.1
Red zone carriesper gameNix: 0.7Watson: 1.1 (best)
Pass attempts / gameNix: 31.1 (best)Watson: 30.0
Role
Snap shareNix: 100%Watson: 100%
Touch shareNix: 10%Watson: 15% (best)
Touches / gameNix: 4.1Watson: 6.9 (best)
Yards per attemptNix: 5.8Watson: 7.1 (best)
Pass TD rateNix: 3%Watson: 3%
Rush yards / gameNix: 15.7Watson: 30.7 (best)
Points from rushingNix: 24%Watson: 26%
Rushing points / gameNix: 3.3 pts / gameWatson: 3.9 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorNix: 1.8 pts / gameWatson: 3.1 pts / game (best)
Designed runs / gameNix: 2.1Watson: 2.7 (best)
Scrambles / gameNix: 1.0Watson: 3.3 (best)
Dropbacks / gameNix: 33.7Watson: 37.0 (best)
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameNix: 0.6 (best)Watson: 0.3
Sacks per dropbackNix: 4% (best)Watson: 10%
INT rateNix: 1.4%Watson: 1.4%
Pass aDOTNix: 5.7Watson: 7.4
High value touches / gameNix: 0.6 (best)Watson: 0.4
Goal line carry shareNix: 23% (best)Watson: 17%
Red zone touches / gameNix: 0.7Watson: 1.1 (best)
Rush success rateNix: 45%Watson: 55% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Nix: 4.5%Watson: 7.1% (best)
Range
FloorNix: 10.6 (best)Watson: 10.4
CeilingNix: 25.0 (best)Watson: 17.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerNix: 13%Watson: 6%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Nix: 13% (best)Watson: 0%
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterNix: 35%Watson: 14% (best)
SteadinessNix: Steady±7.8 ptsWatson: Very steady (best)±4.2 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionNix: C- (best)2026, 6 gmWatson: D+2026, 7 gm
Game scriptNix: Expected to trail (best)Watson: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterNix: 1.7Watson: 1.6 (best)
Defense funnelNix: NeutralWatson: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedNix: 12th (average)Watson: 13th (average) (best)
Opp sacks / gameNix: 1.2 (best)Watson: 2.6
Opp defender outNix: None listedWatson: Joseph-Day (DT)
Roof / surfacegrassNix: OpenWatson: Open
Rest / scheduleNix: NormalWatson: Normal
Opp paceNix: 24th (slow)Watson: 13th (average) (best)
Opp pressure rateNix: 19%23rd (soft)Watson: 19%24th (soft)
Pressure facedNix: 22% (best)Watson: 26%
Opp rush yds allowedNix: 13th (average) (best)Watson: 7th (tough)
Opp stuff rateNix: 18% (best)13th (average)Watson: 22%3rd (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedNix: 3.62nd (tough)Watson: 3.9 (best)6th (tough)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameNix: 4.020th (average)Watson: 4.1 (best)24th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedNix: 65%8th (tough)Watson: 66% (best)14th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgNix: 12.9Watson: 13.3 (best)
Last 5 avgNix: 15.3 (best)Watson: 14.6
vs seasonNix: −0.8 (Steady) (best)Watson: −2.0 (Cooling)
Yards per carryNix: 3.8Watson: 4.5 (best)
Carries / gameNix: 4.1Watson: 6.9 (best)
Pass volume trendNix: SteadyWatson: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesNix: 43%Watson: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterNix: QB16 (best)Watson: QB25
Yards linepassingNix: 205.5Watson: 207.0 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.