New
Week8 · 2026
Starting1
Scoring
Pass TD
New comparison
Lean

Stafford

QB · LA vs LAC

Kickoff Sun 4:05 PM ET

Projected points14.8pts

First out

Watson

QB · CLE @ PIT

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points13.1pts

Lean

Bench

Deshaun Watson or Matthew Stafford: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Lean Matthew Stafford over Deshaun Watson.

Ahead by
+1.7pts
over Watson
Confidence
Moderate
Lean
Started
78%
of leagues

Flips if

Start Deshaun Watson instead if you want more points with his legs (3.1 a game to 0.3).

Risk

The risk: Stafford faces the Chargers, the 3rd toughest defense for quarterbacks.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 12:00 PM ET
StaffordLeanQB · LA vs LACUsually 17.6−2.9pts this week

Helps him

  1. 41.7dropbacksHe drops back 41.7 times a game.
  2. 30%big weeks30% of his games have been big weeks.
  3. 3games in a rowHe has thrown two or more touchdowns in 3 straight games.

Hurts him

  1. −2.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 1.50 passing TDs, below his usual 2.00.
  2. −1.3ptspass yardsHis lines put him at 250.5 passing yards, below his usual 284.1.
  3. LACvs QBsEdgeLAC is the 3rd toughest defense for quarterbacks.
  4. 11.3floorA quiet week could drop to about 11.3 points.
WatsonFirst outQB · CLE @ PITUsually 15.3−2.2pts this week

Helps him

  1. steadyHis weekly scores stay close to his average.

Hurts him

  1. −2.0ptspass TDsHis lines put him at 0.50 passing TDs, below his usual 1.00.
  2. −0.5ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 25.5 rushing yards, below his usual 30.7.
  3. PITvs QBsEdgePIT is the 7th toughest defense for quarterbacks.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Stat
Scoring
ProjectionStafford: 14.8 (best)Watson: 13.1
Rush TD pointsof the projectionStafford: 0.3Watson: 1.2 (best)
Rush TDs expectedthis weekStafford: 0.05Watson: 0.20 (best)
Projected team pointsStafford: 25.8 (best)Watson: 18.0
Goal line carriesper gameStafford: 0.1Watson: 0.1
Red zone carriesper gameStafford: 0.4Watson: 1.1 (best)
Pass attempts / gameStafford: 39.7 (best)Watson: 30.0
Role
Snap shareStafford: 98%Watson: 100% (best)
Touch shareStafford: 4%Watson: 15% (best)
Touches / gameStafford: 2.0Watson: 6.9 (best)
Yards per attemptStafford: 7.2 (best)Watson: 7.1
Pass TD rateStafford: 5% (best)Watson: 3%
Rush yards / gameStafford: 2.6Watson: 30.7 (best)
Points from rushingStafford: 1%Watson: 26%
Rushing points / gameStafford: 0.3 pts / gameWatson: 3.9 pts / game (best)
Rushing floorStafford: 0.3 pts / gameWatson: 3.1 pts / game (best)
Designed runs / gameStafford: 0.3Watson: 2.7 (best)
Scrambles / gameStafford: 0.6Watson: 3.3 (best)
Dropbacks / gameStafford: 41.7 (best)Watson: 37.0
Designed runs inside the 10 / gameStafford: 0.1Watson: 0.3 (best)
Sacks per dropbackStafford: 4% (best)Watson: 10%
INT rateStafford: 2.5%Watson: 1.4% (best)
Pass aDOTStafford: 7.9Watson: 7.4
High value touches / gameStafford: 0.1Watson: 0.4 (best)
Goal line carry shareStafford: 9%Watson: 17% (best)
Red zone touches / gameStafford: 0.4Watson: 1.1 (best)
Rush success rateStafford: 50%Watson: 55% (best)
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Stafford: 0%Watson: 7.1% (best)
Range
FloorStafford: 11.3 (best)Watson: 10.4
CeilingStafford: 20.7 (best)Watson: 17.3
Points from TDssteadier when lowerStafford: 0%Watson: 6%
Big weeks (25+ pts)Stafford: 30% (best)Watson: 0%
Dud weeks (under 12 pts)lower is betterStafford: 22%Watson: 14% (best)
SteadinessStafford: Very steady±7.9 ptsWatson: Very steady (best)±4.2 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionStafford: D2026, 6 gmWatson: D+ (best)2026, 7 gm
Game scriptStafford: Expected to lead (best)Watson: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterStafford: 1.7Watson: 1.6 (best)
Defense funnelStafford: NeutralWatson: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedStafford: 7th (tough)Watson: 13th (average) (best)
Opp sacks / gameStafford: 1.8 (best)Watson: 2.6
Opp defender outStafford: None listedWatson: Joseph-Day (DT)
Roof / surfaceStafford: DometurfWatson: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleStafford: NormalWatson: Normal
Opp paceStafford: 15th (average)Watson: 13th (average) (best)
Opp pressure rateStafford: 23%11th (average)Watson: 19% (best)24th (soft)
Pressure facedStafford: 15% (best)Watson: 26%
Opp rush yds allowedStafford: 21st (average) (best)Watson: 7th (tough)
Opp stuff rateStafford: 14% (best)25th (soft)Watson: 22%3rd (tough)
Opp yards per carry allowedStafford: 4.3 (best)17th (average)Watson: 3.96th (tough)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameStafford: 2.52nd (tough)Watson: 4.1 (best)24th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedStafford: 70% (best)26th (soft)Watson: 66%14th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgStafford: 20.6 (best)Watson: 13.3
Last 5 avgStafford: 18.5 (best)Watson: 14.6
vs seasonStafford: +2.9 (Rising) (best)Watson: −2.0 (Cooling)
Yards per carryStafford: 1.3Watson: 4.5 (best)
Carries / gameStafford: 2.0Watson: 6.9 (best)
Pass volume trendStafford: CoolingWatson: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesStafford: 78%Watson: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterStafford: QB21 (best)Watson: QB25
Yards linepassingStafford: 250.5 (best)Watson: 207.0

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

Sit or start?