Douglas
WR · MIA vs NE
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points7.6pts
Cooper
WR · PHI @ WAS
Kickoff Sun 8:20 PM ET
Projected points7.7ptsUsage estimate
Toss-up
Bench
Caleb Douglas or Darius Cooper: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Caleb Douglas gets the nod over Darius Cooper.
- Confidence
- Lower
- The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
- Started
- 61%
- of leagues
Cooper's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Cooper
The case for Cooper is the easier matchup (the 11th softest defense for receivers, while Douglas faces the 16th softest defense for receivers) and a defense that gives up more deep shots (3.8 a game to 2.0).
Flips if
If the weather in Caleb Douglas's game turns worse, start Darius Cooper.
Risk
Caleb Douglas has played 1 game since missing time. Weather in Caleb Douglas's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
DouglasToss-upWR · MIA vs NEUsually 13.1−5.5pts this week
Helps him
- 21.0last weekHe caught 2 for 70 yards and two touchdowns last week (21.0 points).
Hurts him
- −2.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.21 touchdowns, below his usual 0.67.
- −2.4ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 37.5 receiving yards, below his usual 61.0.
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 3.0.
- 4.3per gameHe sees only 4.3 targets a game.
CooperFirst outWR · PHI @ WASUsually 6.9+0.7pts this week
Helps him
- +2.0ptsroleHe’s expected to play more snaps this week than he has lately.
- WASvs WRsEdgeWAS is the 11th softest defense for receivers.
Hurts him
- −1.3ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran below this year’s pace.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionDouglas: 7.6Cooper: 7.7 (best)
TD pointsof the projectionDouglas: 1.3Cooper: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekDouglas: 0.21Cooper: Our estimate
Projected team pointsDouglas: 18.0 (best)Cooper: 17.0
Red zone targetsper gameDouglas: 0.7 (best)Cooper: 0.6
Role
Snap shareDouglas: 82% (best)Cooper: 56%
Usage worthptsDouglas: 7.5 (best)Cooper: 4.7
Target shareDouglas: 18% (best)Cooper: 8%
Targets / gameDouglas: 4.3 (best)Cooper: 2.6
Air yards shareDouglas: 23% (best)Cooper: 12%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsDouglas: 2 RZ targetsCooper: Above
WOPRDouglas: 0.42 (best)Cooper: 0.21
RZ target shareDouglas: 50% (best)Cooper: 24%
Catch rateDouglas: 69% (best)Cooper: 50%
SeparationDouglas: 5.3 yds (best)Cooper: 2.1 yds
YAC over expectedDouglas: +0.8 (best)Cooper: +0.2
Usage worth vs scoredDouglas: Earned by usage 7.5Scored 13.1Cooper: Earned by usage 4.7Scored 6.9
Vacated targets this weekDouglas: 0.0Cooper: 0.0
Inside 10 target shareDouglas: 100% (best)Cooper: 33%
Range
FloorDouglas: 4.2 (best)Cooper: 3.9
CeilingDouglas: 12.5Cooper: 12.7 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerDouglas: 31%Cooper: 49%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Douglas: 3 gamesCooper: 0%
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterDouglas: 3 gamesCooper: 40%
SteadinessDouglas: 3 gamesCooper: Up & down±7.3 pts · 5 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionDouglas: C+2026, 7 gmCooper: B (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptDouglas: Expected to trailCooper: Expected to trail (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterDouglas: 1.0 (best)Cooper: 1.3
Defense funnelDouglas: NeutralCooper: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedDouglas: 19th (average)Cooper: 28th (soft) (best)
Starting QBDouglas: Willis (Active)Cooper: McKee (Active)
Opp defender outDouglas: None listedCooper: Kinlaw (DT)
WeatherDouglas: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rainCooper: No concern
Roof / surfacegrassDouglas: OpenCooper: Open
Rest / scheduleDouglas: NormalCooper: Normal
Opp paceDouglas: 16th (average)Cooper: 12th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameDouglas: 2.01st (tough)Cooper: 3.8 (best)26th (soft)
Opp catch rate allowedDouglas: 66%26th (soft)Cooper: 67% (best)28th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgDouglas: 13.1 (best)Cooper: 6.6
Last 5 avgDouglas: 13.1 (best)Cooper: 7.6
vs seasonDouglas: Rising (best)Cooper: −0.4 (Steady)
Yards per route runDouglas: 2.86 (best)Cooper: 1.17
Receiving aDOTDouglas: 10.5Cooper: 11.1
Target share trendDouglas: SteadyCooper: Steady
Games since injuryDouglas: 1Cooper: None recently
Crowd
Started in leaguesDouglas: 61%Cooper: Not widely started
Nuvela position ranklower is betterDouglas: WR51Cooper: WR49 (best)
Yards linereceivingDouglas: 37.5Cooper: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.