Concepcion
WR · CLE @ PIT
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points11.1pts
Douglas
WR · MIA vs NE
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET
Projected points7.6pts
Start
Bench
Caleb Douglas or KC Concepcion: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start KC Concepcion over Caleb Douglas.
- Ahead by
- +3.5pts
- over Douglas
- Confidence
- High
- Start
- Started
- 58%
- of leagues
Flips if
An injury tag on KC Concepcion or a bigger role for Caleb Douglas.
Risk
Caleb Douglas has played 1 game since missing time. Weather in Caleb Douglas's game: Outdoor · 73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff.
Highlights
ConcepcionStartWR · CLE @ PITUsually 10.2+0.8pts this week
Helps him
- +1.5ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.25 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
Hurts him
- −0.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 46.0 receiving yards, below his usual 51.7.
- 7th toughestper targetEdgePIT allows plenty of WR chances because receivers see plenty of targets on them; per target they’re tough (1.60 pts, 7th toughest).
DouglasFirst outWR · MIA vs NEUsually 13.1−5.5pts this week
Helps him
- 21.0last weekHe caught 2 for 70 yards and two touchdowns last week (21.0 points).
Hurts him
- −2.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.21 touchdowns, below his usual 0.67.
- −2.4ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 37.5 receiving yards, below his usual 61.0.
- −0.5ptscatchesHis lines put him at 2.5 catches, below his usual 3.0.
- 4.3per gameHe sees only 4.3 targets a game.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionConcepcion: 11.1 (best)Douglas: 7.6
TD pointsof the projectionConcepcion: 1.5 (best)Douglas: 1.3
Expected TDsthis weekConcepcion: 0.25 (best)Douglas: 0.21
Projected team pointsConcepcion: 18.0Douglas: 18.0
Goal line carriesper gameConcepcion: 0.0Douglas: 0.0
Red zone carriesper gameConcepcion: 0.3 (best)Douglas: 0.0
Red zone targetsper gameConcepcion: 0.4Douglas: 0.7 (best)
Role
Snap shareConcepcion: 70%Douglas: 82% (best)
Usage worthptsConcepcion: 11.0 (best)Douglas: 7.5
Touch shareConcepcion: 12% (best)Douglas: 7%
Target shareConcepcion: 22% (best)Douglas: 18%
Touches / gameConcepcion: 5.6 (best)Douglas: 3.0
Targets / gameConcepcion: 6.4 (best)Douglas: 4.3
Air yards shareConcepcion: 22%Douglas: 23% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsConcepcion: BelowDouglas: 2 RZ targets
WOPRConcepcion: 0.48 (best)Douglas: 0.42
RZ target shareConcepcion: 17%Douglas: 50% (best)
Catch rateConcepcion: 67%Douglas: 69% (best)
SeparationConcepcion: 3.2 ydsDouglas: 5.3 yds (best)
YAC over expectedConcepcion: +1.3 (best)Douglas: +0.8
Usage worth vs scoredConcepcion: Earned by usage 11.0Scored 9.0Douglas: Earned by usage 7.5Scored 13.1
Rush yards / gameConcepcion: 4.9 (best)Douglas: 0.0
Points from rushingConcepcion: 5%Douglas: 0%
Vacated targets this weekConcepcion: 0.0Douglas: 0.0
High value touches / gameConcepcion: 4.4 (best)Douglas: 3.0
Goal line carry shareConcepcion: 0%Douglas: 0%
Red zone touches / gameConcepcion: 0.7Douglas: 0.7
Rush success rateConcepcion: 33%Douglas: 0 carries
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Concepcion: 0%Douglas: 0 carries
Inside 10 target shareConcepcion: 0%Douglas: 100% (best)
Rushing points / gameConcepcion: 0.5 pts / game (best)Douglas: 0.0 pts / game
Rushing floorConcepcion: 0.0 pts / gameDouglas: 0.0 pts / game
Range
FloorConcepcion: 7.1 (best)Douglas: 4.2
CeilingConcepcion: 17.1 (best)Douglas: 12.5
Points from TDssteadier when lowerConcepcion: 0%Douglas: 31%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Concepcion: 17%Douglas: 3 games
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterConcepcion: 17%Douglas: 3 games
SteadinessConcepcion: Up & down±6.9 pts · 6 gamesDouglas: 3 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmConcepcion: B- (best)Douglas: C+
Game scriptConcepcion: Expected to trail (best)Douglas: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterConcepcion: 1.6Douglas: 1.0 (best)
Defense funnelConcepcion: NeutralDouglas: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedConcepcion: 13th (average)Douglas: 19th (average) (best)
Starting QBConcepcion: Watson (Active)Douglas: Willis (Active)
Opp defender outConcepcion: Joseph-Day (DT)Douglas: None listed
WeatherConcepcion: No concernDouglas: Outdoor73F, 6 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfacegrassConcepcion: OpenDouglas: Open
Rest / scheduleConcepcion: NormalDouglas: Normal
Opp paceConcepcion: 13th (average) (best)Douglas: 16th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameConcepcion: 3.3 (best)19th (average)Douglas: 2.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedConcepcion: 61%14th (average)Douglas: 66% (best)26th (soft)
Opp rush yds allowedConcepcion: 7th (tough)Douglas: 8th (tough) (best)
Opp stuff rateConcepcion: 23%3rd (tough)Douglas: 13% (best)28th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedConcepcion: 3.64th (tough)Douglas: 4.1 (best)12th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgConcepcion: 10.9Douglas: 13.1 (best)
Last 5 avgConcepcion: 9.4Douglas: 13.1 (best)
vs seasonConcepcion: +1.9 (Rising) (best)Douglas: Rising
Yards per carryConcepcion: 3.8Douglas: 0 carries
Carries / gameConcepcion: 1.3 (best)Douglas: 0.0
Yards per route runConcepcion: 1.91Douglas: 2.86 (best)
Receiving aDOTConcepcion: 7.6Douglas: 10.5
Target share trendConcepcion: Left Week 5 hurtDouglas: Steady
Games since injuryConcepcion: None recentlyDouglas: 1
Crowd
Started in leaguesConcepcion: 59%Douglas: 61% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterConcepcion: WR26 (best)Douglas: WR51
Yards linereceivingConcepcion: 46.0 (best)Douglas: 37.5
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.