Brown
RB · CIN vs TEN
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points16.6pts
Jacobs
RB · GB vs CAR
FinalGB 27 – 19 CAR
Final points23.2pts
projected 15.6
Chase Brown or Josh Jacobs: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Highlights
BrownRB · CIN vs TENUsually 12.5+4.2pts this week
Helps him
- +4.4ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.90 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.
- +1.0ptsrush yardsHis lines put him at 57.0 rushing yards, above his usual 47.5.
- 29.5team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 29.5 points, a high scoring spot.
- 5.5per gameHe adds 5.5 targets a game as a receiver.
Hurts him
- −1.2ptscatchesHis lines put him at 3.5 catches, below his usual 4.7.
JacobsRB · GB vs CARUsually 17.5−1.8pts this week
Helps him
- 1.0inside the 5He averages 1.0 carries a game inside the 5, so touchdowns stay in reach.
- 11.5floorA quiet week still projected to about 11.5 points.
- 43%big weeks43% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 17.5 receiving yards, below his usual 22.2.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionBrown: 16.6 (best)Jacobs: 15.6
TD pointsof the projectionBrown: 5.4 (best)Jacobs: 5.2
Expected TDsthis weekBrown: 0.90 (best)Jacobs: 0.86
Projected team pointsBrown: 29.5 (best)Jacobs: 25.5
Goal line carriesper gameBrown: 0.7Jacobs: 1.0 (best)
Red zone carriesper gameBrown: 2.2Jacobs: 3.0 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameBrown: 0.5Jacobs: 2.0 (best)
Role
Snap shareBrown: 71% (best)Jacobs: 52%
Usage worthptsBrown: 16.4Jacobs: 20.1 (best)
Touch shareBrown: 38% (best)Jacobs: 35%
Target shareBrown: 15%Jacobs: 17% (best)
Touches / gameBrown: 18.3 (best)Jacobs: 16.0
Targets / gameBrown: 5.5Jacobs: 7.0 (best)
Air yards shareBrown: Behind the lineJacobs: 8%
Vacated touches this weekBrown: 0.0Jacobs: 10.2 (best)
High value touches / gameBrown: 5.8Jacobs: 7.0 (best)
Goal line carry shareBrown: 67%Jacobs: 100% (best)
Red zone touches / gameBrown: 2.7Jacobs: 5.0 (best)
Rush success rateBrown: 38% (best)Jacobs: 36%
Breakaway rate (20+ yd runs)Brown: 0%Jacobs: 0%
Usage worth vs scoredBrown: Earned by usage 16.4Scored 12.5Jacobs: Earned by usage 20.1Scored 20.1
Rush yards / gameBrown: 47.5 (best)Jacobs: 36.0
Points from rushingBrown: 46%Jacobs: 18%
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsBrown: BelowJacobs: 2 RZ targets
WOPRBrown: 0.21Jacobs: 0.31 (best)
RZ target shareBrown: 10%Jacobs: 33% (best)
Inside 10 target shareBrown: 12% (best)Jacobs: 0%
Catch rateBrown: 85% (best)Jacobs: 71%
Rushing points / gameBrown: 5.8 pts / game (best)Jacobs: 3.6 pts / game
Rushing floorBrown: 5.2 pts / game (best)Jacobs: 3.6 pts / game
Range
FloorBrown: 10.6Jacobs: 11.5 (best)
CeilingBrown: 22.5 (best)Jacobs: 21.6
Points from TDssteadier when lowerBrown: 8%Jacobs: 30%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Brown: 16%Jacobs: 43% (best)
Dud weeks (under 8 pts)lower is betterBrown: 10% (best)Jacobs: 11%
SteadinessBrown: Very steady (best)±7.0 ptsJacobs: Very steady±7.9 pts
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionBrown: B+2026, 7 gmJacobs: A (best)2026, 6 gm
Game scriptBrown: Expected to lead (best)Jacobs: Expected to lead
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterBrown: 1.0 (best)Jacobs: 1.2
Defense funnelBrown: NeutralJacobs: Neutral
Opp rush yds allowedBrown: 26th (soft)Jacobs: 32nd (soft) (best)
Backfield roleBrown: LeadJacobs: Backup
Opp defender outBrown: None listedJacobs: Phillips (LB)
Roof / surfaceBrown: OpenturfJacobs: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleBrown: NormalJacobs: Short week (4d)
Opp paceBrown: 32nd (slow)Jacobs: 6th (fast) (best)
Opp stuff rateBrown: 19%13th (average)Jacobs: 12% (best)30th (soft)
Opp yards per carry allowedBrown: 4.112th (average)Jacobs: 5.2 (best)31st (soft)
Opp pass yds allowedBrown: 23rd (soft) (best)Jacobs: 6th (tough)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameBrown: 0.1 (best)24th (soft)Jacobs: 0.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedBrown: 80% (best)18th (average)Jacobs: 74%11th (average)
Starting QBBrown: Burrow (Active)Jacobs: Love (Active)
Form
Last 3 avgBrown: 12.0Jacobs: 1 game
Last 5 avgBrown: 11.2Jacobs: 1 game
vs seasonBrown: −0.5 (Steady)Jacobs: 0.0 (best)
Yards per carryBrown: 3.5 (best)Jacobs: 3.3
Carries / gameBrown: 13.7 (best)Jacobs: 11.0
Yards per route runBrown: 1.15Jacobs: 2.89 (best)
Receiving aDOTBrown: −0.8Jacobs: 5.1
Touch share trendBrown: SteadyJacobs: 1 game
Crowd
Started in leaguesBrown: 90%Jacobs: 96% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterBrown: RB8 (best)Jacobs: RB11
Yards linerushingBrown: 57.0Jacobs: 60.5 (best)
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