Bell
WR · MIA vs MIN
Proj pts
8.6pts
market
Wilson
WR · PIT vs CLE
Final pts
16.4pts
7.7 proj · +8.7
Chris Bell or Roman Wilson: who should I start in Week 4?
Toss-up: lean Chris Bell over Roman Wilson by 0.9. Chris Bell leads at 8.6. Roman Wilson is the first one out, 0.9 short.
Availability & news
Chris BellPractice: Limited
Bell (knee) was a limited participant in Thursday's practice, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)
Highlights
Pros
- Big-play upside33% boom weeks
Cons
- Low target share10% target share
- Thin volume3.3 targets/g
Cons
- Low target share8% target share
- Thin volume2.3 targets/g
Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).
Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET
The widest gap between them, in proportion, is last 3 avg: Bell 4.7, Wilson 9.5.
Bell (Practice: Limited): “Bell (knee) was a limited participant in Thursday's practice, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.
Why Chris Bell
Start Chris Bell — projects 8.6, a tough matchup vs MIN.
Chris Bell projects 8.6 points. The matchup grades as tough against MIN. Usage: targets / game at 3.3. Net: start Chris Bell this week.
Working for Bell: Big-play upside (33% boom weeks).
Working against Bell: Low target share (10% target share), Thin volume (3.3 targets/g).
Where Bell leads the head-to-head: Projection (8.6 vs 7.7); Target share (10% vs 8%); Consistency (6% vs 0%); Boom rate (33% vs 22%); Bust rate (33% vs 56%); Targets / game (3.3 vs 2.3); Snap share (55% vs 42%).
Why Roman Wilson
Sit Roman Wilson — projects 7.7, a tough matchup vs CLE, with a rising role.
Roman Wilson projects 7.7 points on a 1.4–9.6 range. The matchup grades as tough against CLE. Usage: targets / game at 2.3. Net: bench Roman Wilson this week.
Working against Wilson: Low target share (8% target share), Thin volume (2.3 targets/g).
Where Wilson leads the head-to-head: Matchup grade (recency weighted) (D- vs F); Implied team total (20.5 vs 14.0); Last 3 avg (9.5 vs 4.7); Last 5 avg (9.5 vs 4.7); vs season (+4.3 vs +0.0); Red zone targets (1 vs 0).
Recent form
Chris Bell's last 3 games: PPR points 0, 3.5, 10.7 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Roman Wilson's last 3 games: PPR points 5.6, 7.8, 15 (low to high; the card does not say which came first).
Bell has already beaten Wilson's 7.7 projection in 1 of his 3; Wilson has beaten Bell's 8.6 in 1 of his 3.
Matchup
Chris Bell (MIA) faces MIN, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET. The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 14.0, spread +10.5.
Roman Wilson (PIT) played CLE (final: CLE 27 – 24 PIT). The matchup is rated tough. Betting line: implied team total 20.5, spread -2.5.
More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.
This week's toughest calls
- Christian Watson or Tee Higgins16.8 · 16.8
- Jaylen Waddle or Matthew Golden15.3 · 15.3
- Makai Lemon or Michael Pittman10.7 · 10.7
- KC Concepcion or Mack Hollins12.1 · 12.2
- Jakobi Meyers or Romeo Doubs11.8 · 11.8
- Malik Washington or Xavier Worthy11.3 · 11.3
- More WR start/sit calls (wide receivers this week)