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Scoring
#1 Start

Godwin

WR · TB vs GB

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

8.4pts

market

Lower Conf
Bench

Williams

WR · NYJ vs CHI

Sun 1:00 PM

Proj pts

8.1pts

market

Lower Conf

Chris Godwin Jr. or Isaiah Williams: who should I start in Week 4?

Toss-up: lean Chris Godwin Jr over Isaiah Williams by 0.3. Chris Godwin Jr. leads at 8.4. Isaiah Williams is the first one out, 0.4 short.

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Availability & news

  • Chris Godwin Jr.Practice: DNP

    Godwin (ankle) was a full practice participant Thursday, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.(rotowire, Oct 1, 2026)

  • Isaiah Williams

    Williams caught one of his two targets for 21 yards and returned four kickoffs for 95 yards over 63 total snaps in the Jets' 31-24 loss to the Lions on Sunday.(rotowire, Sep 29, 2026)

Highlights

Chris Godwin Jr.Start
WR · TB vs GB

Cons

  • Low team total17.5 team total
Isaiah WilliamsBench
WR · NYJ vs CHI

Pros

  • Favorable matchupFavorable · A- vs WR
  • Big-play upside40% boom weeks

Cons

  • Low target share9% target share
  • Thin volume2.4 targets/g

Some recent form, opportunity and matchup figures still lean on the 2025 season (not enough games played this season yet).

GodwinStart
WilliamsBench
Projection8.48.1
Floor7.22.7
Ceiling12.99.6
Target share18%9%
Matchup grade(recency weighted)C+A-
Implied team total17.520.0

Week 4 · Updated Tue 29 Sep, 6:00 AM ET

The widest gap between them, in proportion, is red zone targets: Godwin 8, Williams 1.

Godwin (Practice: DNP): “Godwin (ankle) was a full practice participant Thursday, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.” — RotoWire, Oct 1, 2026.

Williams: “Williams caught one of his two targets for 21 yards and returned four kickoffs for 95 yards over 63 total snaps in the Jets' 31-24 loss to the Lions on Sunday.” — RotoWire, Sep 29, 2026.

Latest game on the card: Godwin 5.5, Williams 3.1 (PPR points).

Why Chris Godwin Jr.

Start Chris Godwin Jr. — projects 8.4, an even matchup vs GB, but the role is cooling.

Chris Godwin Jr. projects 8.4 points on a 7.2–12.9 range. The matchup grades as neutral against GB. Usage: targets / game at 5.7. Net: start Chris Godwin Jr. this week.

Working against Godwin: Low team total (17.5 team total).

Where Godwin leads the head-to-head: Projection (8.4 vs 8.1); Floor (7.2 vs 2.7); Ceiling (12.9 vs 9.6); Target share (18% vs 9%); Last 3 avg (7.5 vs 5.2); Last 5 avg (9.6 vs 6.1); Consistency (31% vs 23%); Bust rate (22% vs 40%); Targets / game (5.7 vs 2.4); Snap share (71% vs 36%); Red zone targets (8 vs 1).

Why Isaiah Williams

Sit Isaiah Williams — projects 8.1, a favorable matchup vs CHI.

Isaiah Williams projects 8.1 points on a 2.7–9.6 range. The matchup grades as favorable against CHI. Usage: targets / game at 2.4. Net: bench Isaiah Williams this week.

Working for Williams: Favorable matchup (Favorable · A- vs WR), Big-play upside (40% boom weeks).

Working against Williams: Low target share (9% target share), Thin volume (2.4 targets/g).

Where Williams leads the head-to-head: Matchup grade (recency weighted) (A- vs C+); Implied team total (20.0 vs 17.5); vs season (+0.8 vs +0.2); Boom rate (40% vs 22%).

Recent form

Chris Godwin Jr.'s last 5 games: PPR points 23.8, 1.8, 8.3, 8.8, 5.5 (oldest to newest).

Isaiah Williams's last 5 games: PPR points 7.5, 7.4, 1.7, 10.8, 3.1 (oldest to newest).

Godwin has already beaten Williams's 8.1 projection in 3 of his 5; Williams has beaten Godwin's 8.4 in 1 of his 5.

At least 1 of these 5 games was played before the 2026 season.

Matchup

Chris Godwin Jr. (TB) faces GB, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated neutral. Betting line: implied team total 17.5, spread +3.5.

Isaiah Williams (NYJ) faces CHI, kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. The matchup is rated favorable. Betting line: implied team total 20.0, spread +3.5.

What flips it

Godwin's edge is 0.3 points (8.4 to 8.1). Williams's ceiling (9.6) clears Godwin's projection, so a big game from Williams flips it. Godwin's floor (7.2) sits under Williams's projection, so a quiet game from Godwin flips it too. Confidence in the call: lower.

How to read these numbers →

More start/sit comparisons from this week's PPR projections. Open a pair for the call and the reasoning.

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