Godwin
WR · TB vs ATL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Rest day
Projected points8.4pts
Waddle
WR · DEN vs KC
Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Chest
Projected points7.7ptsUsage estimate
9.6 if he plays · 80% to play
Toss-up
Bench
Chris Godwin Jr. or Jaylen Waddle: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Need a safe week? Chris Godwin Jr. Swinging for a big week? Jaylen Waddle.
- Ahead by
- +0.7pts
- over Waddle
- Confidence
- Lower
- Jaylen Waddle may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 38%
- of leagues
Waddle's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.
Case for Waddle
Godwin has the safer floor (6.1 to 4.7); Waddle has more upside (a ceiling of 12.8 to 11.7).
Flips if
If the weather in Chris Godwin Jr.'s game turns worse, start Jaylen Waddle.
Risk
Weather in Chris Godwin Jr.'s game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. Jaylen Waddle was limited in practice (chest): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 12:00 PM ET
Highlights
GodwinToss-upWR · TB vs ATLUsually 7.6+0.8pts this week
Helps him
- +1.8ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.30 touchdowns, above his usual 0.00.
Hurts him
- −0.5ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 29.5 receiving yards, below his usual 34.7.
- 4.9per gameHe sees only 4.9 targets a game.
WaddleFirst outWR · DEN vs KCUsually 9.1−1.4pts this week
Helps him
- +1.8ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.
Hurts him
- −1.9ptsinjuryHis questionable tag takes 1.9 points off his projection.
- −0.9ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
- KCvs WRsEdgeKC is the 7th toughest defense for receivers.
- 66%snapsHe plays only 66% of snaps, so his work comes in rotation.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionGodwin: 8.4 (best)Waddle: 7.7
TD pointsof the projectionGodwin: 1.8Waddle: Our estimate
Expected TDsthis weekGodwin: 0.30Waddle: Our estimate
Projected team pointsGodwin: 23.3 (best)Waddle: 19.8
Red zone targetsper gameGodwin: 0.4Waddle: 0.7 (best)
Role
Snap shareGodwin: 82% (best)Waddle: 66%
Usage worthptsGodwin: 7.8Waddle: 10.9 (best)
Target shareGodwin: 20%Waddle: 23% (best)
Targets / gameGodwin: 4.9Waddle: 6.4 (best)
Air yards shareGodwin: 9%Waddle: 37% (best)
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsGodwin: BelowWaddle: In line
WOPRGodwin: 0.32Waddle: 0.60 (best)
RZ target shareGodwin: 11%Waddle: 15% (best)
Catch rateGodwin: 79% (best)Waddle: 58%
SeparationGodwin: 4.8 yds (best)Waddle: 3.7 yds
YAC over expectedGodwin: +1.3 (best)Waddle: +0.5
Usage worth vs scoredGodwin: Earned by usage 7.8Scored 7.6Waddle: Earned by usage 10.9Scored 9.1
Vacated targets this weekGodwin: 1.0Waddle: 3.0 (best)
Inside 10 target shareGodwin: 0%Waddle: 0%
Range
FloorGodwin: 6.1 (best)Waddle: 4.7
CeilingGodwin: 11.7Waddle: 12.8 (best)
Points from TDssteadier when lowerGodwin: 0%Waddle: 9%
Big weeks (20+ pts)Godwin: 4%Waddle: 14% (best)
Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is betterGodwin: 34% (best)Waddle: 57%
SteadinessGodwin: Steady (best)±4.2 ptsWaddle: Up & down±6.9 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his positionGodwin: B- (best)2026, 7 gmWaddle: D2026, 6 gm
Game scriptGodwin: Expected to lead (best)Waddle: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterGodwin: 1.3 (best)Waddle: 1.7
Defense funnelGodwin: NeutralWaddle: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedGodwin: 29th (soft) (best)Waddle: 12th (average)
Starting QBGodwin: Mayfield (Active)Waddle: Nix (Active)
Opp defender outGodwin: None listedWaddle: Norman-Lott (DT)
WeatherGodwin: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rainWaddle: No concern
Roof / surfacegrassGodwin: OpenWaddle: Open
Rest / scheduleGodwin: NormalWaddle: Normal
Opp paceGodwin: 21st (average) (best)Waddle: 24th (slow)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameGodwin: 4.7 (best)30th (soft)Waddle: 3.217th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedGodwin: 64% (best)22nd (soft)Waddle: 57%5th (tough)
Form
Last 3 avgGodwin: 7.1 (best)Waddle: 6.7
Last 5 avgGodwin: 7.2Waddle: 8.2 (best)
vs seasonGodwin: −0.5 (Steady) (best)Waddle: −2.5 (Cooling)
Yards per route runGodwin: 1.33Waddle: 1.62 (best)
Receiving aDOTGodwin: 3.5Waddle: 10.1
Target share trendGodwin: RisingWaddle: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesGodwin: 39%Waddle: 43% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterGodwin: WR48 (best)Waddle: WR49
Yards linereceivingGodwin: 29.5Waddle: Our estimate
Deciding on someone else?
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