Loveland
TE · CHI @ SEA
Kickoff Mon 8:15 PM ET
Projected points10.9pts
Kincaid
TE · BUF vs BAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Chest
Projected points10.3pts
if he plays · 80% to play
Toss-up
Bench
Colston Loveland or Dalton Kincaid: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Toss-up. Colston Loveland gets the nod over Dalton Kincaid.
- Ahead by
- +0.6pts
- over Kincaid if he plays
- Confidence
- Lower
- Dalton Kincaid may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 85%
- of leagues
Case for Kincaid
The case for Kincaid is surer hands (79% of his targets caught to 62%) and an offense expected to score more (28.8 points to 21.8).
Flips if
An injury tag on Colston Loveland or a bigger role for Dalton Kincaid.
Risk
Dalton Kincaid was limited in practice (chest): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. As of Fri 1:00 PM ET
Highlights
LovelandToss-upTE · CHI @ SEAUsually 8.9+2.0pts this week
Helps him
- +1.6pts2 linesReceiving yards 42.5 (usual 34.9) and catches 4.5 (usual 3.7) both sit above his usual.
- +5.2last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 5.2 points above his season average.
Hurts him
- SEAvs TEsEdgeSEA is the 4th toughest defense for tight ends.
- 4.8floorA quiet week could drop to about 4.8 points.
KincaidFirst outTE · BUF vs BALUsually 10.1+0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +1.2ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.36 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.
- 28.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.8 points, a high scoring spot.
- 33%big weeks33% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- −0.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 46.5 receiving yards, below his usual 52.5.
- 6th softestper targetEdgeBAL allows few TE chances because few passes go to tight ends against them; per target they’re soft (2.07 pts, 6th softest).
- 4.6floorA quiet week could drop to about 4.6 points.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionLoveland: 10.9 (best)Kincaid: 10.3
TD pointsof the projectionLoveland: 2.2Kincaid: 2.2
Expected TDsthis weekLoveland: 0.36Kincaid: 0.36
Projected team pointsLoveland: 21.8Kincaid: 28.8 (best)
Red zone targetsper gameLoveland: 1.4 (best)Kincaid: 1.0
Role
Snap shareLoveland: 85% (best)Kincaid: 68%
Usage worthptsLoveland: 10.7 (best)Kincaid: 8.6
Target shareLoveland: 19% (best)Kincaid: 18%
Targets / gameLoveland: 6.0 (best)Kincaid: 4.8
Air yards shareLoveland: 19%Kincaid: 19%
Vacated targets this weekLoveland: 2.0 (best)Kincaid: 0.0
RZ target shareLoveland: 28% (best)Kincaid: 19%
Inside 10 target shareLoveland: 27% (best)Kincaid: 17%
Catch rateLoveland: 62%Kincaid: 79% (best)
SeparationLoveland: 2.9 ydsKincaid: 3.0 yds (best)
YAC over expectedLoveland: −0.1Kincaid: +2.1 (best)
Usage worth vs scoredLoveland: Earned by usage 10.7Scored 8.9Kincaid: Earned by usage 8.6Scored 10.1
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsLoveland: In lineKincaid: In line
WOPRLoveland: 0.40 (best)Kincaid: 0.38
Range
FloorLoveland: 4.8 (best)Kincaid: 4.6
CeilingLoveland: 20.5 (best)Kincaid: 18.4
Points from TDssteadier when lowerLoveland: 19%Kincaid: 10%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Loveland: 29%Kincaid: 33% (best)
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterLoveland: 43% (best)Kincaid: 50%
SteadinessLoveland: Volatile±8.0 pts · 7 gamesKincaid: Volatile (best)±8.6 pts · 6 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmLoveland: DKincaid: C (best)
Game scriptLoveland: Expected to trailKincaid: Expected to lead (best)
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterLoveland: 1.7Kincaid: 0.9 (best)
Defense funnelLoveland: NeutralKincaid: Pass
Opp pass yds allowedLoveland: 1st (tough)Kincaid: 15th (average) (best)
Starting QBLoveland: Williams (Active)Kincaid: Allen (Active)
Opp defender outLoveland: None listedKincaid: Robinson (LB)
Roof / surfaceturfLoveland: OpenKincaid: Open
Rest / scheduleLoveland: 11 days restKincaid: Off a bye
Opp paceLoveland: 9th (fast) (best)Kincaid: 17th (average)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameLoveland: 0.1 (best)4th (tough)Kincaid: 0.01st (tough)
Opp catch rate allowedLoveland: 72%14th (average)Kincaid: 76% (best)25th (soft)
Form
Last 3 avgLoveland: 14.1 (best)Kincaid: 5.4
Last 5 avgLoveland: 12.2 (best)Kincaid: 8.5
vs seasonLoveland: +5.2 (Rising) (best)Kincaid: −4.7 (Cooling)
Yards per route runLoveland: 1.33Kincaid: 2.76 (best)
Receiving aDOTLoveland: 6.9Kincaid: 9.3
Target share trendLoveland: RisingKincaid: Rising
Crowd
Started in leaguesLoveland: 85% (best)Kincaid: 61%
Nuvela position ranklower is betterLoveland: TE7 (best)Kincaid: TE8
Yards linereceivingLoveland: 42.5Kincaid: 46.5 (best)
Deciding on someone else?
Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.