New

Week8 · 2026

Starting1

Scoring

New comparison

Toss-up

Addison

WR · MIN @ DET

Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET

Projected points9.2pts

First out

Sutton

WR · DEN vs KC

Kickoff Sun 4:25 PM ET

Projected points8.6ptsUsage estimate

Toss-up

Bench

Courtland Sutton or Jordan Addison: Who Should I Start in Week 8?

Toss-up. Jordan Addison gets the nod over Courtland Sutton.

Ahead by: +0.6pts; over Sutton
Confidence: Lower; The two projections come from different sources; one is a Nuvela estimate
Started: 46%; of leagues

Sutton's number is our own estimate because his prop lines aren't posted yet, so this call is less sure than the gap looks.

Case for Sutton

The case for Sutton is more of the red zone targets (27% to 7%).

Flips if

Start Courtland Sutton instead if you want more of the red zone targets (27% to 7%).

Risk

Jordan Addison has played 1 game since missing time, so his recent numbers lean on his 2025 games.

Highlights

Injuries as of Fri 11:00 AM ET

AddisonToss-upWR · MIN @ DETUsually 7.5+1.7pts this week

Helps him

+0.9ptscatchesHis lines put him at 3.5 catches, above his usual 2.6.
90%snapsHe is on the field for 90% of snaps.
DETvs WRsEdgeDET is the 2nd softest defense for receivers.

Hurts him

5.1floorA quiet week could drop to about 5.1 points.

SuttonFirst outWR · DEN vs KCUsually 5.5+3.0pts this week

Helps him

+3.7ptstrack recordHis projection also weighs his past seasons, which ran above this year’s pace.

Hurts him

−0.5ptspaceFew players at his position keep up numbers like his, so we expect a little less.
4.7per gameHe sees only 4.7 targets a game.
KCvs WRsEdgeKC is the 7th toughest defense for receivers.

Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.

Stat comparison

Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.

Scoring

Projection9.28.6

TD pointsof the projection1.6Our estimate

Expected TDsthis week0.27Our estimate

Projected team points21.319.8

Red zone targetsper game0.21.0

Role

Snap share90%77%

Usage worthpts8.78.6

Target share20%17%

Targets / game5.04.7

Air yards share35%30%

Receiving TDs vs RZ targets1 RZ targetIn line

WOPR0.520.48

RZ target share7%27%

Catch rate52%48%

Separation2.9 yds2.8 yds

YAC over expected+1.7+0.6

Usage worth vs scoredEarned by usage 8.7Scored 7.5Earned by usage 8.6Scored 5.5

Vacated targets this week1.73.0

Inside 10 target share0%33%

Range

Floor5.14.9

Ceiling14.813.1

Points from TDssteadier when lower16%16%

Big weeks (20+ pts)11%8%

Dud weeks (under 7 pts)lower is better49%44%

SteadinessUp & down±6.0 ptsUp & down±5.9 pts

Matchup

Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 6 gmA+D

Game scriptExpected to trailExpected to trail

Opp takeaways / gamelower is better1.01.7

Defense funnelNeutralNeutral

Opp pass yds allowed32nd (soft)12th (average)

Starting QBMurray (Active)Nix (Active)

Roof / surfaceDometurfOpengrass

Rest / scheduleNormalNormal

Opp pace4th (fast)24th (slow)

Opp deep targets allowed / game4.328th (soft)3.217th (average)

Opp catch rate allowed66%27th (soft)57%5th (tough)

Form

Last 3 avg11.17.1

Last 5 avg7.56.0

vs season+3.6 (Rising)+1.5 (Rising)

Yards per route run1.310.95

Receiving aDOT13.211.1

Target share trendCoolingSteady

Games since injury1None recently

Crowd

Started in leagues46%Not widely started

Nuvela position ranklower is betterWR40WR46

Yards linereceiving38.5Our estimate

Deciding on someone else?

Choose 2 to 5 players for any week.

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