Kincaid
TE · BUF vs BAL
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ETLatest report: Limited · Chest
Projected points10.3pts
if he plays · 80% to play
Pitts
TE · ATL @ TB
Kickoff Sun 1:00 PM ET
Projected points8.8pts
Start · check inactives
Bench
Dalton Kincaid or Kyle Pitts: Who Should I Start in Week 8?
Start Dalton Kincaid. If he's inactive, start Kyle Pitts.
- Ahead by
- +1.5pts
- over Pitts if he plays
- Confidence
- Depends on inactives
- Dalton Kincaid may not play (about 80% to play)
- Started
- 60%
- of leagues
Flips if
If Dalton Kincaid is inactive, start Kyle Pitts.
Risk
Dalton Kincaid was limited in practice (chest): check the inactives, posted about 90 minutes before kickoff. If he sits, start Kyle Pitts. Weather in Kyle Pitts's game: Outdoor · 73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain. Check it again before kickoff. As of Fri 2:00 PM ET
Highlights
KincaidStart · check inactivesTE · BUF vs BALUsually 10.1+0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +1.2ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.36 touchdowns, above his usual 0.17.
- 28.8team totalEdgeHis team is expected to score 28.8 points, a high scoring spot.
- 33%big weeks33% of his games have been big weeks.
Hurts him
- −0.6ptsrec yardsHis lines put him at 46.5 receiving yards, below his usual 52.5.
- 6th softestper targetEdgeBAL allows few TE chances because few passes go to tight ends against them; per target they’re soft (2.07 pts, 6th softest).
- 4.6floorA quiet week could drop to about 4.6 points.
PittsIf he sitsTE · ATL @ TBUsually 9.0−0.2pts this week
Helps him
- +1.4pts2 linesReceiving yards 35.5 (usual 27.3) and catches 3.5 (usual 2.9) both sit above his usual.
- TBvs TEsEdgeTB is the 8th softest defense for tight ends.
- +8.1last 3 vs avgHis last three games run 8.1 points above his season average.
- 3games in a rowHe has scored a touchdown in 3 straight games.
Hurts him
- −1.7ptstouchdownsHis lines put him at 0.29 touchdowns, below his usual 0.57.
Points are what each line adds to or takes off his usual week. EdgeFrom the game around him.
Stat comparison
Every player you picked, stat by stat, most important first.
Stat
Scoring
ProjectionKincaid: 10.3 (best)Pitts: 8.8
TD pointsof the projectionKincaid: 2.2 (best)Pitts: 1.7
Expected TDsthis weekKincaid: 0.36 (best)Pitts: 0.29
Projected team pointsKincaid: 28.8 (best)Pitts: 20.5
Red zone targetsper gameKincaid: 1.0 (best)Pitts: 0.9
Role
Snap shareKincaid: 68% (best)Pitts: 59%
Usage worthptsKincaid: 8.6 (best)Pitts: 6.7
Target shareKincaid: 18% (best)Pitts: 13%
Targets / gameKincaid: 4.8 (best)Pitts: 3.9
Air yards shareKincaid: 19% (best)Pitts: 11%
Vacated targets this weekKincaid: 0.0Pitts: 0.0
RZ target shareKincaid: 19%Pitts: 24% (best)
Inside 10 target shareKincaid: 17%Pitts: 36% (best)
Catch rateKincaid: 79% (best)Pitts: 74%
SeparationKincaid: 3.0 yds (best)Pitts: 2.7 yds
YAC over expectedKincaid: +2.1 (best)Pitts: +2.0
Usage worth vs scoredKincaid: Earned by usage 8.6Scored 10.1Pitts: Earned by usage 6.7Scored 9.0
Receiving TDs vs RZ targetsKincaid: In linePitts: Above
WOPRKincaid: 0.38 (best)Pitts: 0.29
Range
FloorKincaid: 4.6 (best)Pitts: 3.4
CeilingKincaid: 18.4 (best)Pitts: 15.2
Points from TDssteadier when lowerKincaid: 10%Pitts: 38%
Big weeks (15+ pts)Kincaid: 33% (best)Pitts: 29%
Dud weeks (under 5 pts)lower is betterKincaid: 50%Pitts: 43% (best)
SteadinessKincaid: Volatile (best)±8.6 pts · 6 gamesPitts: Volatile±8.5 pts · 7 games
Matchup
Matchup gradevs his position · 2026, 7 gmKincaid: CPitts: B (best)
Game scriptKincaid: Expected to lead (best)Pitts: Expected to trail
Opp takeaways / gamelower is betterKincaid: 0.9 (best)Pitts: 1.7
Defense funnelKincaid: PassPitts: Neutral
Opp pass yds allowedKincaid: 15th (average) (best)Pitts: 14th (average)
Starting QBKincaid: Allen (Active)Pitts: Penix (Active)
Opp defender outKincaid: Robinson (LB)Pitts: None listed
WeatherKincaid: No concernPitts: Outdoor73F, 10 mph wind, 100% rain
Roof / surfaceKincaid: OpenturfPitts: Opengrass
Rest / scheduleKincaid: Off a byePitts: Normal
Opp paceKincaid: 17th (average)Pitts: 14th (average) (best)
Opp deep targets allowed / gameKincaid: 0.01st (tough)Pitts: 0.6 (best)18th (average)
Opp catch rate allowedKincaid: 76% (best)25th (soft)Pitts: 70%12th (average)
Form
Last 3 avgKincaid: 5.4Pitts: 17.1 (best)
Last 5 avgKincaid: 8.5Pitts: 12.1 (best)
vs seasonKincaid: −4.7 (Cooling)Pitts: +8.1 (Rising) (best)
Yards per route runKincaid: 2.76 (best)Pitts: 1.41
Receiving aDOTKincaid: 9.3Pitts: 5.0
Target share trendKincaid: RisingPitts: Steady
Crowd
Started in leaguesKincaid: 61%Pitts: 80% (best)
Nuvela position ranklower is betterKincaid: TE8 (best)Pitts: TE14
Yards linereceivingKincaid: 46.5 (best)Pitts: 35.5
Deciding on someone else?
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